海角大神

After thousands died in crackdown, Iran is trying to change the narrative

In a photo obtained by the Associated Press, Iranians attend an antigovernment protest in Tehran, Jan. 9, 2026.

AP

January 24, 2026

The way Iranian state television journalist Fatemeh Faramarzi describes it, the violence she witnessed at the peak of Iran鈥檚 latest street protests 鈥 including her face being sprayed with shotgun pellets 鈥 could only have been carried out by 鈥渢errorists鈥 guided by foreign hands.

She was speaking to the IRIB channel鈥檚 prime-time 鈥淓yewitness鈥 program. It was created 鈥 after a lethal crackdown reportedly left thousands of Iranian citizens dead 鈥 to help shape the official narrative that Iran鈥檚 security forces were not to blame for the bloodshed, but were instead instrumental in stopping it.

Beginning in late December, hundreds of thousands of Iranians demonstrated throughout the country. The protests, which were triggered by economic grievances, turned into vehicles for anti-regime anger.

Why We Wrote This

Feeling threatened, Iran鈥檚 leaders deployed unprecedented brutality to suppress the latest protests. Now, amid an internet blackout, the regime is blaming outside 鈥渁gents鈥 and 鈥渢errorists鈥 for the death toll. Says one rights lawyer, such 鈥渄enial and distortion鈥 has been heard before.

Ms. Faramarzi described the burning of buses, a medical center, and a mosque in Tehran.

鈥淭he person who attacked and was right in front of my eyes was obviously a terrorist who had been trained to do the job and intended to kill me,鈥 she said. Her injuries appeared similar to many in images posted by protesters from the crackdown on Jan. 8-9.

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The 鈥淓yewitness鈥 program is one facet of a broad effort by Iran鈥檚 embattled leaders to create an alternative narrative, analysts say. It portrays legitimate street protests as having been hijacked by armed agents of the United States and Israel bent on boosting the death toll 鈥 and hastening the regime鈥檚 collapse.

The program now broadcasts daily on state TV, while an internet blackout continues to throttle other news sources.

Yet, a more accurate picture emerging from Iran 鈥 based on videos, and the voices of victims and their families 鈥 is of a ruling elite that deployed unprecedented brutality to suppress, for now, the most significant threat to the Islamic Republic in its 47 years.

鈥淟ong-standing pattern鈥

There is a 鈥渓ong-standing pattern of airing false statements and forced, torture-tainted confessions to blame killings and injuries on non-state actors,鈥 says Raha Bahreini, a human rights lawyer and Iran researcher for Amnesty International, contacted in Geneva.

鈥淭his is completely contradictory to a mountain of evidence including eyewitness accounts, and dozens of verified videos, geolocated and chronolocated, that show security forces were the only forces bearing firearms, shooting into crowds, and relentlessly firing at unarmed protesters and bystanders,鈥 says Ms. Bahreini.

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A man hands out posters of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during a funeral ceremony for members of the security forces killed in antigovernment protests, in Tehran, Jan. 14, 2026.
Vahid Salemi/AP

The latest crackdown by Iranian authorities has been 鈥渇ar more shocking鈥 than previous rounds of nationwide protests in 2017, 2019, and 2022, she says, and should prompt the United Nations鈥 referral of Iran to the International Criminal Court for crimes under international law.

Iranian officials have declared more than 3,000 people dead, which they blame on 鈥渢errorists.鈥 Iran鈥檚 supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on Tuesday blamed U.S. President Donald Trump 鈥 whose social media posts encouraged Iranian protesters, and promised to come to their 鈥渞escue鈥 鈥 for the 鈥渢housands鈥 killed by 鈥渆nemy agents.鈥

The U.S.-based Human Rights Activists News Agency, which has collated accurate data in the past, on Friday reported 5,002 confirmed deaths, with 9,787 others 鈥渟till under investigation.鈥 Officials say more than 100 security force members also died.

鈥淭he narrative of denial and distortion that they are promoting is very similar to the narrative we have heard from them for years now,鈥 says Ms. Bahreini, noting that Iran has often deployed armed officers in plainclothes alongside uniformed units.

Security forces have been 鈥渄umping鈥 victims at morgues 鈥渋n the most undignified way ... and [are pressuring] families to conduct burials in the dark,鈥 she says. 鈥淭hese patterns of persecution, harassment, and intimidation against families are clear indications 鈥 along with the internet shutdown 鈥 that the state again wants to cover up its crimes.鈥

In a statement on Friday, Amnesty International described a 鈥溾 now prevailing in Iran, with armed patrols, curfews, and a ban on gatherings.

American and Israeli statements

Still, Iran鈥檚 security organs have advanced their narrative by using public comments made by Mr. Trump and Israeli officials, who explicitly stated that Israel鈥檚 Mossad intelligence service was active in Iran.

The day after protests began on Dec. 28, for example, Mossad posted on its Persian-language X account: 鈥淟et鈥檚 come out to the streets together. The time has come. We are with you. Not just from afar and verbally. We are with you in the field as well.鈥

Iranian officials now refer to the protests as the 鈥13th day鈥 of war, an extension to the 12-day bombing campaign last June by Israel, which assassinated Iran鈥檚 top military commanders and struck its missile capacity, and was joined by the United States, which targeted Iran鈥檚 nuclear program. The war followed several exchanges of ground- and air-launched missiles between Israel and Iran and its allies resulting from Israel鈥檚 war with Hamas in Gaza.

The intelligence arm of Iran鈥檚 Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced on Friday it had achieved victory over the 鈥淎merican-Zionist sedition鈥 by dismantling an 鈥渆nemy command room composed of 10 hostile intelligence services.鈥

Seized documents, it said, described an operation based on 鈥渢hree pillars鈥 鈥 internal unrest, military intervention, and activation of groups 鈥 that aimed to 鈥渃reate an existential threat.鈥

Among blindfolded prisoners interviewed on state TV, which has broadcast coerced confessions in the past, was a man who said he joined a Mossad social media channel and was offered 鈥渨hopping amounts of money.鈥

鈥淚 shared photos of a certain [security] location. I was asked whether I have shooting skills. I also learned how to make explosives,鈥 said the man, identified only as 鈥淢ossad鈥檚 hand in Kermanshah.鈥 He said he was caught before he could fulfill plans to distribute weapons.

Iran鈥檚 hard-line chief justice, Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Ejei, said on Wednesday that those who killed, set fires, caused 鈥渕oral damage, and poured water into the enemy鈥檚 mill,鈥 would face national security charges.

People walk through Tehran's historic Grand Bazaar, Jan. 20, 2026. The recent antigovernment unrest began with economically motivated protests, including a strike by merchants that shut the bazaar.
Vahid Salemi/AP

Though Mr. Trump backed off promises to 鈥渞escue鈥 Iranian protesters and 鈥渉it very hard鈥 if any were killed, U.S. military forces are now building in the region. The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group will arrive from Asian waters within days.

鈥淲e have a lot of ships going that direction, just in case,鈥 Mr. Trump said on Thursday. 鈥淚鈥檇 rather not see anything happen, but we鈥檙e watching them very closely.鈥

Maintaining unity

鈥淭he key question is how long the regime leadership can remain unified, prevent defections within the security services, and continue relying on extreme violence against the population,鈥 says Ali Alfoneh, a senior fellow at the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington.

A de facto collective leadership has emerged to manage day-to-day affairs, he says, 鈥渋n the absence of effective leadership鈥 by the 86-year-old ayatollah. It includes the president, speaker of Parliament, judiciary chief, and representatives of the IRGC and the army.

鈥淭he regime鈥檚 collective leadership, rather than Khamenei, has already changed the playbook of violence,鈥 says Mr. Alfoneh, author of 鈥淧olitical Succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran.鈥

The group 鈥渋s clearly aware of the risk of security service defections in the event of renewed protests,鈥 he adds, and might seek an accommodation with the U.S. to bring sanctions relief, improve the economy, 鈥渁nd secure the regime鈥檚 long-term survival.鈥

Claims made about a Mossad presence, U.S. support, and thousands of Starlink satellite internet units smuggled into Iran do not add up to Israel or the U.S. 鈥渋nstigating the protests鈥 as claimed by Iranian officials, he says.

鈥淩ather, Israel and the U.S. took advantage of preexisting opposition to the Islamic Republic within Iran for their own purposes,鈥 says Mr. Alfoneh.

And there is no shortage of such opposition inside Iran, with state failures leading to 鈥渟evere polarization, mutual dehumanization, and the lack of a platform for dialogue,鈥 said Ahmad Zeidabadi, a journalist at the reformist newspaper Ham-Mihan, in a video on Thursday.

The newspaper was closed after publishing one story about security forces raiding a hospital, and another about the severity of the crackdown.

Among contradictions in the official narrative, Mr. Zeidabadi noted: 鈥淚f there is truth in all the claims about Mossad infiltration, and people having gone abroad to get trained and all that, then what have you been doing this whole time, while you claimed absolute dominance and intelligence superiority after the [12-day] war?鈥

An Iranian researcher contributed to this report.