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A step toward better justice: Prying open the 鈥榖lack box鈥 of plea deals

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Melanie Stetson Freeman/Staff/File
The Lady Justice statue outside the United States Supreme Court in Washington. Roughly 95% of criminal cases around the country are resolved via plea bargain, but the process, which generally takes place in secrecy, doesn't always deliver justice 鈥 to the defendant or the victim.

Last year, in Berkshire County in Massachusetts, local prosecutors charged two white men arrested in separate cases with assault and battery. Both were in their 30s, neither had any prior criminal history, and both cut deals in exchange for pleading guilty.

But their deals differed significantly, despite the similarity of their cases. One man received a short probation sentence that included rehabilitation services; the other received a long probation sentence and fines.

Roughly 95% of criminal cases around the country are resolved via plea bargain, the Department of Justice. 鈥淐riminal justice today is for the most part a system of pleas, not a system of trials,鈥 wrote U.S. Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy in . What鈥檚 more, they happen almost entirely in secret, often negotiated out of sight of a judge and always out of sight of a jury of peers.

Why We Wrote This

Plea bargaining is a largely secret process that doesn鈥檛 always do justice to the defendant or the victim. But efforts are underway to bring it out of the shadows 鈥 a first step in improving it.

Now, some prosecutor offices are working on prying open the 鈥渂lack box鈥 of plea bargaining. Hoping to make the process fairer and more transparent, they鈥檙e partnering with academics to track data related to their plea deals. Other prosecutors are trying to reduce the number of bargains they make.

Though far removed 鈥 perhaps too far removed 鈥 from the vision at America鈥檚 founding of a justice system built on a robust right to trial by jury, plea bargaining will likely always be needed. But there is now an increasing demand to improve the process.

鈥淲e have really needed this kind of data, this kind of research, for a long time,鈥 says Ronald Wright, a professor at Wake Forest University School of Law who researches criminal prosecutors. 鈥淚t鈥檚 groundbreaking.鈥

鈥淲e know about the outcomes [of plea bargains], and we know something about the inputs,鈥 he adds. But the middle of the process, 鈥渁ll the formulations that go into making the offers, we鈥檝e been blind to that for more than a century.鈥

鈥淲e want to be able to be transparent鈥

Plea negotiations mostly hinge on prosecutorial discretion. Their bail recommendation, for example, could keep a defendant in jail, thereby ratcheting up pressure to accept a plea. Another example is threatening more serious charges if a defendant refuses to accept a plea, known in the legal community as the 鈥渢rial penalty.鈥

Outside of the fact that almost all criminal cases are resolved through plea bargains, very little is known about them 鈥 including inside prosecutor offices themselves. But since last April, researchers at Duke University have been helping prosecutor offices in Durham County, North Carolina; and Berkshire County, Massachusetts, document felony plea negotiations more thoroughly. Both district attorneys 鈥 Satana Deberry in Durham and Andrea Harrington in Berkshire 鈥 were elected a few years ago after promising progressive reforms to their offices.

Ben Garver/The Berkshire Eagle/AP
Berkshire County District Attorney Andrea Harrington speaks during a news conference, March 14, 2019, in Pittsfield, Massachusetts. Ms. Harrigton's office has been working with researchers since last April to document its plea bargaining process more thoroughly as a first step in improving it.

In Durham, researchers鈥 preliminary findings have revealed that 79% of felony cases involved only one plea before the offer was accepted, and that the vast majority of defendants who accepted pleas were people of color (though the office didn鈥檛 specifically track demographic information).

Formal, written plea offers are rarely revised, the researchers wrote in published last year. And 鈥淎lford pleas,鈥 which contain a formal claim of innocence, are extremely uncommon. Defendants who accepted plea deals averaged around a decade less prison time than the maximum possible sentence for that category of crime. (Note: that maximum sentence would be reserved for people with lengthy criminal histories.) But the researchers added that they 鈥渓acked information concerning the reasoning of prosecutors for selecting plea options.鈥

鈥淲e want to be able to be transparent. We want to be able to tell our community what we do, who we鈥檙e prosecuting. We want to be able to be fairer,鈥 says Ms. Deberry.

There is less data out of the Berkshire County office so far, but the information has encouraged prosecutors to have more contact with victims, Ms. Harrington says. It also suggests that her office is achieving one of her goals: sending more defendants to appropriate treatment programs.

In addition, under Massachusetts law, judges can reject or make changes to plea agreements, and the Duke researchers write that the plea tracker 鈥渃ould eventually shed light on how the judges and defense counsel influence case outcomes in Massachusetts.鈥

Looking ahead, Brandon Garrett, a professor at Duke University School of Law and leader of the project, says he and his colleagues will begin working with another local prosecutor office in Utah this spring. They also hope to partner with public defender offices this year and collect plea bargaining data from their side.

鈥淏esides studying patterns, we want lawyers to do good work. Typically people do better work if there are steps to follow, if there are best practices,鈥 Professor Garrett says.

鈥淚 firmly believe documenting the plea process will be seen as something any ethical lawyer does 10 years from now,鈥 he adds, 鈥渆ven if no office had done it before a year ago.鈥

The plea tracker has also allowed Ms. Harrington to see why those two men in their 30s received such different sentences: The man with the longer sentence was believed to pose a higher risk of recidivism, she wrote in a ; for the man with the shorter sentence, the prosecutor wanted to ensure his mental health needs were addressed.聽

鈥淚 know we鈥檙e going to see problems. I know we鈥檙e going to see things that we need to address,鈥 she adds. 鈥淲e can鈥檛 fix things that we don鈥檛 necessarily understand.鈥

When pleas don鈥檛 deliver justice

The rampant and uneven nature of plea bargaining has had severe consequences for defendants and victims alike.

In 2002, for example, Christopher Ochoa was exonerated after in prison for the rape and murder of a young woman. He had confessed to the murder after more than 12 consecutive hours of police interrogation, and pleaded guilty in order to avoid the death penalty.

And last week a woman in Baltimore about attempted murder charges against her ex-boyfriend being dropped as part of a plea bargain, despite his having set her house on fire while she and her roommates slept inside.

鈥淧lea bargaining is rapidly becoming a system of ultimatums delivered by prosecutors, rather than real negotiation,鈥 says Mart铆n Sabelli, president of the National Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers.

As in Mr. Ochoa鈥檚 case, innocent defendants can be pressured into making confessions before even seeing a lawyer. If a defense lawyer does get to meet their client, prosecutors can make compelling plea offers before that lawyer has time to investigate the case, file motions, or even get to know the client. Plea offers can also be made, and accepted, before discovery, when prosecutors share evidence 鈥 including potentially exculpatory evidence 鈥 with the defense.

鈥淚 get some plea offers the first day I meet my client,鈥 says Mr. Sabelli. 鈥淸Defendants] just break under the threat of the trial penalty.鈥

鈥淚t fundamentally undermines the vision of the framers, and fundamentally undermines our basic sense of justice,鈥 he adds.

Having a guilty defendant accept responsibility for their crimes is important not just for a sense of justice, but for the individual鈥檚 rehabilitation, says Paul Heaton, academic director of the Quattrone Center for the Fair Administration of Justice at the University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School.

But pleas often don鈥檛 even mention the crime that occurred. 鈥淚n reality what usually happens is you鈥檙e not pleading out to what actually happened,鈥 but to a lesser charge, Mr. Heaton says.

Managing the 鈥渕ammoth in the room鈥

The right to a trial by jury is as old as America itself 鈥 and was of particular importance for the framers, who felt the visibility of the process would help ensure that a citizen鈥檚 rights are protected.

But as the legal system grew increasingly professionalized, plea bargaining became more common. And as the war on drugs escalated, flooding the system with new cases to prosecute, pleas became the only way the system could continue to function. But the framers鈥 vision of a justice system in full view of the public has been eroded in the process.

No one is seriously advocating for a return to the Colonial-era jury trial-only system, but some prosecutors 鈥 like Utah County Attorney David Leavitt, a Republican; and newly elected Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, a Democrat 鈥 are starting to reduce the number of plea bargains they negotiate.聽

Given the sheer volume of cases that move through the U.S. criminal justice system every day, plea bargaining will continue to be necessary. But across the ideological spectrum 鈥 and the libertarian are but two examples 鈥 many agree that plea bargains can be fairer and more transparent, and shouldn鈥檛 be coercive.

Before corrections can be made, however, the full extent of the problems in the plea process needs to be researched.

鈥淲e have a mammoth in the room. We can kind of see it, but we can鈥檛 see every part of it,鈥 says Mr. Sabelli. Having more data, he adds, 鈥渨ill help us understand more the nature of the beast.鈥

Clarification: This article has been updated to reflect that maximum possible sentences would be handed down to defendants with lengthy criminal histories.

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