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N. Korea nuclear test: UN issues quick condemnation, but how far will it go?

US Ambassador Susan Rice says the Security Council's quick and unanimous condemnation of North Korea's nuclear test is a sign the UN response will be 'credible.' But all eyes are still on China.

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Craig Ruttle/AP
US Ambassador Susan Rice speaks at a news conference after the US Security Council held an emergency meeting on North Korea's nuclear test on Tuesday morning at UN headquarters, Tuesday.

The United Nations Security Council 鈥渟trongly condemned鈥 North Korea鈥檚 nuclear test carried out earlier Tuesday and committed to responding swiftly to the North鈥檚 鈥渃lear threat to international peace and security鈥 with a new round of sanctions targeting the isolated regime鈥檚 nuclear and missile programs.

Pyongyang鈥檚 third and apparently most powerful nuclear test may have been designed in part to convince the domestic North Korean audience of the young leader Kim Jong-un鈥檚 hold on power. But it also succeeded in further uniting the international community 鈥 notably including China 鈥 in opposition to the North鈥檚 actions.

US Ambassador Susan Rice, speaking at the UN after the Security Council鈥檚 condemnation, said the unanimous action indicates the 15-member body 鈥渨ill deliver a swift and credible response.鈥

Noting that already in January the council had committed to 鈥渟ignificant action鈥 if the North proceeded with another nuclear test, Ambassador Rice said the North鈥檚 鈥渉ighly provocative鈥 action meant that, 鈥渋ndeed, we will do so.鈥

It could still be a matter of weeks before the council comes up with a resolution whose measures could include everything from travel bans on officials involved in the North鈥檚 weapons programs to even stricter inspections of North Korean vessels and financial sanctions, regional experts say. During that time all eyes will be on China to see how far Beijing, increasingly exasperated with its troublesome ally and neighbor, is willing to go to punish the North for its actions. 聽聽聽聽聽

The North鈥檚 underground test, its third nuclear explosion in six years, set off the first international crisis of President Obama鈥檚 second term and served as a stark reminder that North Korea 鈥 and the nuclear proliferation risks and regional destabilization it threatens 鈥 is not going to fall far from the top of the president鈥檚 international priority list.

As usual, Pyongyang had two audiences in mind, regional analysts say, as it proceeded with a test that it had been warned by world powers 鈥 聽including the US and China 鈥 not to carry out: the regime鈥檚 domestic audience, and the international community, headed by the US.

Mr. Kim, in power for just a year, is still establishing his credentials with the country鈥檚 military leaders, experts say, and is also letting the North Korean population know that he is a strong leader in the tradition of his father and grandfather.

The North is also acting to convince the world 鈥 and in particular the US 鈥 that it is now a full-fledged nuclear power that can threaten others as much as it is threatened by them. That the regime in Pyongyang chose the day of Obama鈥檚 State of the Union address to conduct its test is an indicator of how much the test was meant as a message for the US, regional analysts say.

But others say the timing heightens other risks for the North.

That the test was carried out while South Korea holds the month-long revolving presidency of the UN Security Council virtually guaranteed a swift international response. South Korean Foreign Minister Kim Sung-hwan told reporters in New York after the council meeting that, while the North may have chosen to act while South Korea presides over the Security Council, the council鈥檚 鈥渟trong condemnation鈥 of the test was a message to the North that a united international community would 鈥渉old it responsible鈥 for its 鈥減rovocative act.鈥澛犅犅

In addition, China is likely to consider it an affront that Pyongyang carried out the test during its New Year holiday, says Victor Cha, who holds the Korea chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. 鈥淚n the world of diplomacy, little things do matter, and conducting the test during the Chinese New Year will be viewed by Beijing as extremely insulting,鈥 he says in a post on the CSIS website.

China, which is the impoverished and repressive North Korea鈥檚 lifeline and only major ally, went along with the US last month on tightening existing sanctions after the North carried out a long-range ballistic missile test.

On Tuesday Beijing summoned the North Korean ambassador to the Foreign Ministry to protest, and Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi announced that China was 鈥渟trongly dissatisfied and resolutely opposed鈥 to the nuclear test and urged the North to cease its destabilizing actions and to return to 鈥渄ialogue鈥 with the international community.

At the UN, Rice said the US was awaiting further information on the 鈥渢echnical specifications鈥 of Tuesday鈥檚 blast. But nuclear experts said it may have been the North鈥檚 first test of a uranium-fueled (rather than plutonium) device 鈥 a development that would have worrisome implications for the North鈥檚 potential as a security threat and as a proliferator of nuclear weapons.

Calling such a development a 鈥済ame-changer,鈥 former UN nuclear adviser and now Notre Dame University Professor George Lopez says a uranium explosion would suggest the North鈥檚 ability to both 鈥減roduce and export鈥 a uranium-fueled device 鈥 a development that would pose urgent new questions about North Korea鈥檚 cooperation with Iran in its nuclear program.

A uranium-fueled device would pose additional concerns because uranium enrichment can be carried out in a smaller space than is required by plutonium and thus is more easily hidden, nuclear experts say.

China will be deeply concerned about these developments on its border, Professor Lopez notes, but he adds that Beijing will continue to discourage any blunt economic reprisals that could destabilize the regime in Pyongyang and thus destabilize the region.

As a result, Lopez says he anticipates the Security Council coming up with a resolution whose measures focus on limiting both the North鈥檚 access to the materials and parts it needs to continue developing its nuclear program 鈥 and its ability to export its technology to others.

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