海角大神

Has the tide turned in Ukraine? Russians routed in northeast.

In a speedy counteroffensive, Ukraine retook much of a key eastern region, reversing hard-won Russian gains. The sudden, striking success is causing recriminations in Moscow and prompting some observers to claim Ukraine has turned the war in its favor. 

First Look

As the war in Ukraine marked 200 days on Sunday, the country has reclaimed broad swaths of the south and east in a long-anticipated counteroffensive that has dealt a heavy blow to Russia.

Ukraine claimed Monday that it took several more villages, pushing Russian forces right back to the northeastern border. After months of little discernible movement on the battlefield, Kyiv鈥檚 sudden momentum has lifted Ukrainian morale and provoked outrage in Russia and even some rare public criticism of President Vladimir Putin鈥檚 war.聽

鈥淚n some areas of the front, our defenders reached the state border with the Russian Federation,鈥� said Oleh Syniehubov, the governor of the northeastern Kharkiv region.聽

Russia鈥檚 Defense Ministry announced over the weekend that it was pulling back troops from two key cities in the Kharkiv region.聽

Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov said troops would be regrouped from the Balakliia and Izium areas to the eastern Donetsk region. Izium was a major base for Russian forces in the Kharkiv region, and earlier this week social media videos showed residents of Balakliia joyfully cheering as Ukrainian troops moved in.

鈥淭he Russian army in these days is demonstrating the best that it can do 鈥� showing its back,鈥� Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in a video released by his office Saturday night. 鈥淭hey made a good choice to run.鈥�

Mr. Konashenkov said the Russian move was being made 鈥渋n order to achieve the stated goals of the special military operation to liberate Donbas,鈥� an eastern area home to two separatist regions that Russia has declared sovereign.

It was not yet clear if Ukraine鈥檚 latest blitz could signal a turning point in the war 鈥� though some analysts suggested it might be, while also cautioning there would likely be months more fighting. Momentum has switched back and forth before.

Still, the mood was jubilant across the country.

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said Monday that its troops had liberated more than 20 settlements within the past day.聽

The Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based think tank, likewise referenced sweeping Ukrainian gains, estimating that Kyiv has seized around 2,500 square kilometers (965 square miles) in its eastern breakthrough. The institute said it appeared that 鈥渄isorganized Russian forces [were] caught in the rapid Ukrainian advance,鈥� and cited social media images of apparent Russian prisoners seized around Izium and surrounding towns.

The buoyant mood was captured by a defiant Mr. Zelenskyy on social media late Sunday.

鈥淒o you still think you can intimidate, break us, force us to make concessions?鈥� Mr. Zelenskyy asked. 鈥淐old, hunger, darkness, and thirst for us are not as scary and deadly as your 鈥榝riendship鈥� and 鈥榖rotherhood.鈥欌��

Meanwhile, in Russia, there were some signs of disarray as Russian military bloggers and patriotic commentators chastised the Kremlin for failing to mobilize more forces and take stronger action against Ukraine. Russia has continuously stopped short of calling its invasion of Ukraine a war, instead using the description 鈥渟pecial military operation.鈥�

Instead of a mass mobilization that could spur civil discontent and protest, it has relied on a limited contingent of volunteers.

Ramzan Kadyrov, the Moscow-backed leader of the Russian region of Chechnya, publicly criticized the Russian Defense Ministry for what he called 鈥渕istakes鈥� that made the Ukrainian blitz possible.

Even more notable, such criticism seeped onto state-controlled Russian TV.

鈥淧eople who convinced President Putin that the operation will be fast and effective ... these people really set up all of us,鈥� Boris Nadezhdin, a former parliament member, said on a talk show on NTV television. 鈥淲e鈥檙e now at the point here we have to understand that it鈥檚 absolutely impossible to defeat Ukraine using these resources and colonial war methods.鈥�

Yet even amid Ukraine鈥檚 ebullience, the casualties kept mounting. Ukraine鈥檚 presidential office said Monday that at least four civilians were killed and 11 others were wounded in a series of Russian attacks in nine regions of the country. The U.N. Human Rights Office said last week that 5,767 civilians were killed so far.

In a reminder of the war鈥檚 toll, a council member in Izium 鈥� one of the areas that Russia said it has withdrawn troops from 鈥� accused those forces of killing civilians and other atrocities.

鈥淩ussian troops committed crimes and tried to hide them,鈥� Maksym Strelnikov said. His claims could not immediately be verified.

Izium was a major base for Russian forces in the northeastern Kharkiv region. The first Ukrainian flag was raised over the city on Sept. 10, according to Mr. Strelnikov, and more have popped up across the whole city. Residents, some wrapped in the country鈥檚 blue-and-yellow flag, happily greeted Ukrainian forces, offering them food.

The Russians continued shelling Nikopol across the Dnipro from the Zaporizhzhia power plant, damaging several buildings there and leaving Europe鈥檚 largest nuclear facility in a precarious position. The last operational reactor in that plant has been shut down in a bid to prevent a radiation disaster as fighting raged nearby.

While the war likely will stretch into next year, the Institute for the Study of War said Monday that 鈥淯kraine has turned the tide of this war in its favor鈥� by effectively using Western-supplied weapons like the long-range HIMARS missile system and strong battlefield tactics. 鈥淜yiv will likely increasingly dictate the location and nature of the major fighting.鈥�

The British Defense Ministry, meanwhile, said it would likely further deteriorate the trust Russian forces have in their commanders and put Moscow鈥檚 troops on the back foot.

Some analysts praised Ukraine鈥檚 initial move on the southern Kherson area for drawing the attention of enemy troops there, before pouncing on more depleted Russian lines in the northeast.

Even around Kherson, Russia is struggling to bring forces across the Dnipro River to stop the Ukrainian offensive there, the British military said.

Despite Ukraine鈥檚 gains, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and the head of NATO warned Friday that the war would likely drag on for months. Mr. Blinken said the conflict was entering a critical period and urged Ukraine鈥檚 Western backers to keep up their support through what could be a difficult winter.

This story was reported by The Associated Press. Hanna Arhirova reported from Kyiv. AP writers Karl Ritter, in Kyiv, and Joanna Kozlowska, in London, contributed to this report.