Pandemic politics? In Jordan, it has leveled the playing field.
| KARAK AND TAFILAH, Jordan
Lamb feasts, mass gatherings, concerts, and cash. Elections in Jordan were long synonymous with extravagance and socializing: heavy on cholesterol, light on politics.
Yet with the COVID-19聽pandemic raging throughout the country, this November鈥檚 parliamentary elections are looking very different for Jordanian聽voters聽like Khaled Saud who are long accustomed to being wooed in person.
In elections past,聽wealthy聽tribal sheikhs and businessmen would erect tents and, in a festival-like atmosphere, host hundreds of relatives, neighbors, and undecided voters for nightly banquets, including sweets, coffee, and promises of jobs 鈥撀爀ven cash.
Why We Wrote This
Few Americans would say the coronavirus has benefited this election season. But in Jordan, pandemic restrictions have played the role of equalizer, opening the door to new candidates, and perhaps more democracy.
But more than ever before, the pandemic has pushed Jordanian politics and politicking out of the tents and into the world of online human engagement.
鈥淚 am Googling candidates鈥櫬燵backgrounds and qualifications]聽before the Facebook rally starts,鈥澛爏ays聽Mr. Saud, a community organizer, as he squints at his smartphone in Rashidiya, in southern Jordan. 鈥淭imes change, and so must we.鈥�
The聽pandemic聽has posed聽challenges聽for campaigning and voting in聽an聽established聽democracy聽like the United States.
But in Jordan,聽the聽social restrictions are acting as a catalyst,聽shaking up an electoral culture built on blood ties, vote-buying, and tribal peer pressure聽that put聽clan above personal choice at the ballot box.
More broadly, the restrictions are becoming a great equalizer, allowing candidates with fewer financial resources and new political platforms, including women and young people, to enter the fray.
It is a fundamental shift聽that聽experts say is聽on a par with聽scrapping the Electoral College in the U.S.
鈥淯nlike the rest of the world, elections in Jordan were a social event rather than political,鈥� says Jehad al Momani, spokesman for Jordan鈥檚 Independent Electoral Commission. 鈥淣ow with the socializing taken away, candidates are faced with the fact that you have to have a political program, too.鈥�
Politics made affordable
Tribes and businessmen have long dominated Jordan鈥檚 Parliament, the kingdom鈥檚 lawmaking body, overwhelming聽purely聽political groups that have splintered聽into聽48聽mostly聽ineffective parties in a country of 6.5 million citizens.
Outside Amman, large tribes would agree on a candidate, expecting their followers to fall in line; smaller tribes were聽promised 鈥渂enefits.鈥� Candidates barely spoke a word. It was more of a coronation than a campaign.
But聽this year Jordan鈥檚 government has imposed strict measures for the elections聽Nov. 10, banning gatherings of more than 20 people, imposing weekend lockdowns and nighttime curfews, and making tent campaigning all but impossible. A five-day lockdown is set for Nov. 11.
The ban on social gatherings has聽also聽made聽competing in聽Jordanian elections affordable and, candidates say, accessible.聽
The average campaign once cost tens of thousands of dollars; now all that聽is needed is the $700 registration fee, leveling the playing field for women and youth candidates who would otherwise be unable to compete with deep-pocketed sheikhs and businessmen.
This has led to a record 364 women candidates, up 44% from 2016, and a 30% rise in candidates under the age of 40.
Samiha Sarayreh, a former school principal in Karak, in southern Jordan, is one of the dozens of women running for Parliament for the first time.
She uses Facebook, Zoom, and WhatsApp to reach her base of women and former colleagues聽鈥撀爏howcasing her trademark brutal honesty and commonsense outrage,聽and聽addressing issues such as distance learning, unemployment, and corruption.
鈥淕ive the women a chance鈥�
鈥淚 decided to run this year because I have the chance to reach voters directly, and they can decide who will speak for them, not what their tribe says or who has the most money,鈥� Mrs. Sarayreh says as she meets with three masked voters in her home in Karak.聽She says she is tapping into growing frustration with male-dominated parliaments and a broader push by King Abdullah to have more women in leadership positions. 聽
鈥淭here is a sense that we have tried men and have gotten the same disappointing results. Why not give the women a chance?鈥澛爏he says.
鈥淭he low cost of elections has created an opening for women and young people this year,鈥� says聽Wafa Yousif Tarawneh, who this year formed Jordan鈥檚 first all-women electoral list,聽Nishmiyat Haya, and is competing against relatives, much to the outrage of her tribe. She has inspired three additional all-women electoral lists across the country.
鈥淚n a time of pandemic, people are looking for policies and solutions, and there is a sense that women are more trustworthy and able to provide that,鈥� Ms. Tarawneh says.
While long given a free pass, tribes and businessmen have been put on their heels by the crisis,聽with citizens demanding solutions to the health crisis, education, and job creation in a country that has seen 23% nationwide unemployment and jobless rates reach 50% outside the capital.
鈥淧eople are demanding solutions,鈥� says Hussein Mahadin, dean of the school of sociology at the University of Mutah, who served as a moderator for candidate debates. 鈥淭he tribe鈥檚 monopoly on politics and society is being broken, and women and independents are finally breaking through.鈥�
With social pressures defanged by social distancing, citizens have felt freer to register and run in the elections without the green light from their elders.
In Karak, Jordan鈥檚 political heartland, tribes that once strategically fielded聽one or two candidates suddenly have eight or more members running for Parliament, all running on different platforms but splitting the familial vote.
The main road leading to the city and through outlying villages is plastered with posters of different faces with the same family name, one posted on top of the other as if in competition.
鈥淭ribes are being divided; I have my cousin, my uncle, and brother-in-law running. Which one am I supposed to choose?鈥� says Khaled, an English teacher who long voted聽the聽tribal consensus.
鈥淭his may be my one chance to make a free individual choice, because it is impossible to satisfy a divided tribe.鈥�
With the field divided,聽and聽unable to count on their generosity or peer pressure to secure votes, tribesmen and businessmen are being forced to campaign virtually and compete for undecided voters and persons they have never met.
鈥淏efore, a candidate would only address people they knew or were related to, so their speech was limited to the issues facing their relatives and village, if they ever spoke at all,鈥� says Mr. Mahadin, the sociologist.聽聽
鈥淣ow candidates are forced to go beyond their tribe; they have to address a larger segment of society. They have to focus on broader, inclusive social issues facing citizens across the country.鈥�
Platforms and issues
It鈥檚 easier said than done. Facebook Live and Zoom rallies by uncharismatic candidates used to a 鈥渃oronation鈥� have struggled, sputtered, and are panned on social media.
Money is still filtering into Jordan鈥檚 elections; flush聽candidates are spending tens of thousands of dollars on Facebook advertising. More creative candidates have tried to get around strict election laws by offering weekend getaways at four-star beachside hotels聽at rock-bottom prices聽for voters chafing at weekend lockdowns.聽
Yet again, COVID-19 is proving to be the great equalizer.
The virus has ravaged many electoral lists, forcing candidates off the campaign trail and even into the hospital in the election鈥檚 final days. One positive test can doom an entire list built on tribal name recognition.
鈥淧eople are learning the hard way: If you don鈥檛 have a political platform and your candidate gets sick, you鈥檙e stuck,鈥� says Badi Al Rafiya, campaign manager for the聽Islamist-leaning Islah coalition, which has had several candidates contract聽the coronavirus.
鈥淚f you focus on issues and not names and personalities, you can still find ways to succeed without face-to-face campaigning. A person can get ill, but the platform continues to resonate.鈥�
These changes are expected to continue long after COVID-19 subsides; multiple women鈥檚 coalitions are set to form Jordan鈥檚 first all-women political parties, and debates via social media are now the norm.
But political veterans say there will always be room for a little glad-handing in Jordan鈥檚 elections.
鈥淔acebook debates and Zoom campaigning may be the future, but聽as聽even America shows,鈥� Mr.聽Rafiya says, 鈥渘othing beats a rally.鈥�
