海角大神

Experts cast doubt on Spiegel claim of Syrian nuclear facility

What the German magazine describes as a 'secret' Syrian military site has been known to military analysts for some time, and is generally viewed as a weapons depot or communications hub.

|
Google Earth
A Google Earth satellite image from Sept. 14 2011 of what the magazine Der Spiegel says is a 'secret' Syrian nuclear site but experts say is a known military installation.

German news magazine Der Spiegel alleges that the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is operating a secret nuclear facility close to the Lebanese border.

Der Spiegel , citing the opinion of unnamed "western intelligence agencies," that the Assad regime continues, with Iranian assistance, to seek a nuclear weapon more than seven years after Israel destroyed a covert Syrian nuclear reactor in the north-east of the country.

Nuclear weapons experts have voiced doubts about the claim. Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammed Zarif dismissed the report as "ridiculous."

The new alleged nuclear facility is located in a narrow valley, nine miles west of the town of Qusayr and only a few hundred yards north of the border with Lebanon, according to Der Spiegel.

The magazine claims that the underground site stores some 8,000 nuclear fuel rods and that either a new enrichment facility or nuclear reactor has been built there (the magazine isn't sure which). It also claims that intercepted radio communications between a member of Lebanon鈥檚 militant Shiite Hezbollah and a senior Syrian official contained a references to an 鈥渁tomic factory鈥 near Qusayr, using the codename 鈥淶amzam."

There has been no official reaction to the report in Syria and Lebanon. Lebanon was preoccupied with a double suicide bomb attack Saturday night at a Tripoli caf茅 popular with supporters of Mr. Assad which left nine people dead. The suicide attack, the first in Lebanon since the end of June, was claimed by the Al Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra.

In Israel, Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon told Channel 2 television that he could not 鈥渞elate to a pinpoint鈥 report but added that 鈥渢here is no question鈥 that the Assad regime had in the past built a nuclear reactor, a reference to the Al-Kibar facility that was destroyed by an Israeli air strike in 2007.

Der Spiegel鈥檚 report has drawn some initial skepticism from nuclear weapons experts.

鈥淭he story is perplexing鈥 so far we do not see anything that is distinctively nuclear,鈥 says David Albright, president of the Institute for Science and International Security which has conducted detailed satellite imagery analyses of suspected nuclear sites in the Middle East.

Although Der Spiegel describes the facility as 鈥渟ecret," Western intelligence agencies have been aware of its existence for several years. It has been visible on the Google Earth portal for three years and was described as a possible Scud ballistic missile storage facility in an August 2012 article in Jane鈥檚 Intelligence Review, a British monthly specializing in security affairs.

The site includes three 90 feet by 50 feet drive-in revetted bunkers built into the sides of the valley and two 65 feet by 40 feet bunkers, four of them arranged around a central asphalted pad. A track leads further up the hill to a second smaller facility which Der Spiegel suggests could be a ventilation shaft.

Other imagery analysts suspect it could be related to communications.

Google Earth images of the site lack sufficient resolution to confirm the identity of this feature. Der Spiegel adds that a 鈥減articularly suspicious detail鈥 is the 鈥渄eep well鈥 located beside the road leading to the facility which it says is connected to Zeita lake, three miles to the east. Nuclear reactors require access to large amounts of water. Syria鈥檚 Al-Kibar nuclear reactor was located beside the Euphrates river. Der Spiegel did not clarify how the 鈥渄eep well鈥 (which is not discernible on Google Earth imagery) was connected to the lake, which lies on the other side of steep hills.

鈥淎ccess to water can mean many things,鈥 says Albright. 鈥淧iping indicating both water intake and discharge would be more interesting but we do not see that.鈥

It is also unclear why the Assad regime would build a nuclear facility that has such an obviously military aspect. The Al-Kibar reactor was an anonymous-looking building that could have been a factory related to agro-industrial use. Syria鈥檚 alleged former uranium conversion facility at Marj Sultan east of Damascus resembled a civilian industrial estate surrounded by orchards.

聽But there is no mistaking the Qusayr facility for a military base. The five bunkers are identical in configuration to those found in numerous Syrian military sites, including missile bases, north of Damascus.

Furthermore, its location beside Lebanon鈥檚 northern border places it within observation range of the Israeli aircraft which patrol Lebanon鈥檚 airspace on a near daily basis. Israel says the overflights, which are routinely condemned by Beirut and the United Nations, are necessary to observe the activities of its arch foe Hezbollah.

Israeli jets often fly over the Hermel region of northern Lebanon which lies adjacent to the valley containing the alleged nuclear facility. It seems unlikely that Israel would be unaware of the facility鈥檚 existence given its reconnaissance capabilities above Lebanon and the fact that the site is well known to Western intelligence agencies.

Perhaps, the most compelling evidence that casts doubt on Spiegel's claim is the fact the site continues to exist and has not met the same fate as its alleged predecessor in an Israeli air strike seven years ago in north east Syria

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
Real news can be honest, hopeful, credible, constructive.
海角大神 was founded in 1908 to lift the standard of journalism and uplift humanity. We aim to 鈥渟peak the truth in love.鈥 Our goal is not to tell you what to think, but to give you the essential knowledge and understanding to come to your own intelligent conclusions. Join us in this mission by subscribing.
QR Code to Experts cast doubt on Spiegel claim of Syrian nuclear facility
Read this article in
/World/Middle-East/2015/0111/Experts-cast-doubt-on-Spiegel-claim-of-Syrian-nuclear-facility
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today
/subscribe