海角大神

[听补迟听, a publication of the听.]

Weeds that resemble knee-high grass grow in planter pots in a small room at a U.S. Department of Agriculture lab just outside Washington, D.C. Light, heat, and carbon dioxide reach the plants at steady levels. For more than a month, the weeds have sustained the same conditions expected to be earth鈥檚 norm 35 years from now 鈥� carbon dioxide levels equivalent to an urban traffic jam, and temperatures tipping into the dangerous zone for the planet鈥檚 health.

But rather than choking from such treatment, the weeds 鈥� a wild plant called red rice 鈥� are thriving. The test lab mimics conditions expected听around the world by 2050, when an additional 2.6 billion people will be wondering what鈥檚 for dinner.听

Lewis Ziska, a plant physiologist with the USDA鈥檚 Agricultural Research Service,听, among other things, weeds in food production and human health. Weeds beguile Ziska. Weeds may be the听听to global crop yield.

But they also have traits that are useful to plant growth. Red rice, for instance, can adapt to more carbon dioxide and heat by producing more stems and grain 鈥� red rice has 80 to 90 percent more seed than cultivated rice.听

Now, plant breeders and plant physiologists are capitalizing on those traits and counting on all possible sources of genetic variation, including weedy lines of rice, to improve productivity in cultivated crop varieties. Such cross-breeding could play an important role in helping the world鈥檚 staple food crops better adapt to a warming climate.听

Plant physiologists such as Ziska usually put weeds in two categories: 鈥渁n unwanted or undesired plant species鈥� and 鈥渆arly vegetation following soil disturbance.鈥� Ziska thinks a third definition could be more suitable: the unloved flower.

鈥淎 weed is a plant whose virtues have yet to be discovered,鈥� he says, paraphrasing Emerson.听

Ziska is not the only one with this perspective. Many scientists now believe that weeds may be part of the solution to boosting harvests in a warming world. Wild lines of wheat, oats, and rice 鈥� which are, in fact, weeds 鈥� have genetic characteristics that may be useful to adapt their domesticated cousins to an uncertain future.听

Why weeds?

When other plants are wilting at extremes of temperature and rainfall, weeds thrive. Ziska studies weeds for their redemptive qualities. His research in this area was bolstered on a sweltering day in an abandoned industrial lot in Baltimore, 25 miles from his USDA research center, where he observed weeds that were two to four times bigger than weeds growing on his rural test plot. The urban weeds prompted further research on weeds that could be valuable to raising crops in high-carbon, high-heat scenarios.听

Ziska tries not to call red rice a weed. Sometimes he calls it skanky rice, but mostly he refers to it as wild or feral rice. All crop plants were wild at some point. They became domesticated in the same way cows and pigs became domesticated on farms: through breeding and selection.

Wild and feral crop relatives are the original source of raw genetic material from which all modern crop varieties were first developed, but these reservoirs of natural variation have not been well studied.听

Breeding from wild, ancestral plant populations may hold the key to creating crops of the future. Wheat breeding has already made significant progress in producing weedy lines, which have led to the cultivation of edible wheat. Because it has a large genome, wheat can incorporate traits that better withstand heat and drought.

Matthew Reynolds, head of the wheat physiology program at the听听in Mexico City, says that wheat producers are
fortunate because they are slightly ahead of the curve in developing heat- and drought-resistant varieties.听

The value of using wild relatives of crops as sources of environmental resilience and resistance to pests and diseases led to an estimated听听in annual benefits to the world economy by 1997, primarily through increased production, according to research at Cornell University.听

Although seeds are readily accessible in 1,700 gene banks throughout the world, 鈥渢hey are not used to their full potential in plant breeding,鈥� said, a plant geneticist at Cornell. 鈥淭here are still vast reserves of valuable genes and traits hidden in low-performing wild ancestors and long forgotten early farmer varieties that can be coaxed out of these ancient plants by crossing them with higher-yielding modern relatives. These crosses give rise to families of offspring that carry a myriad of new possibilities for the future.鈥澨�

McCouch says the plant breeder鈥檚 job is to utilize a combination of insight, field experience, technology, and innovative breeding strategies to select the most promising offspring and prepare them for release as new varieties. The breeding system allows ancient traits and genes to be constantly recycled and recombined, giving rise to an infinite range of new possibilities with every generation.听

鈥淭he same process happens in nature,鈥� she said, 鈥渂ut the plant breeder can bring together parents from diverse sources that would never have found each other in the wild.鈥澨�

Improved rice breeding has a long way to go. It takes about 10 years for a crop to go from breeding to production, and another five years to bring it to distribution to farmers.

That鈥檚 because it is a painstakingly slow process to select populations of offspring that contain combinations of traits and genes that have never been utilized in agriculture before, then test their resiliency to environmental stresses.听

But through such work weeds may become the unlikely hero of food production. Take red rice. As the name implies, weedy red rice looks like cultivated rice 鈥� the staple food for more than 3 billion people in the world 鈥� but it is an Asian wild grass. If it gets into a field of cultivated rice, it鈥檚 a fierce competitor. Because it looks so similar to rice, it develops incognito.

It grows vigorously. It propagates quickly. As it matures, it grows taller than other rice plants.听

Then the wind blows its seeds all over a field and the crop plants itself. Red rice can鈥檛 be controlled by herbicides because it is so closely related to most cultivated rice.

Once it鈥檚 established in a field, it is so aggressive that it will cut a field鈥檚 rice yield by 80 percent. Within five years it can become the dominant species in a field. Technically, red rice is edible but almost impossible to harvest because once it develops a seed, the seed falls to the ground and shatters.听

The goal, says Ziska, is to transfer the traits that make red rice so hardy into the more commonly cultivated rice crops.听

With a growing global population projected to reach 9.6 billion by mid-century, the demand for rice and other cereals is expected to rise by 14 percent per decade. But climate change is expected to cut into some of those crop yields. Today鈥檚 high temperatures stress the rice plants, limit growth, and shorten growing seasons. Increasing carbon dioxide causes weeds to outpace crop growth. Coastal deltas are major rice-growing areas worldwide, and repeated coastal flooding is worsening with rising sea levels and intensifying storms; Vietnam, one of the top exporters of rice globally, already is losing land in the Mekong Delta.听

To surmount these many challenges, new tools and technologies are being developed that allow plant breeders to utilize ever-more distantly related听wild and exotic relatives and to liberate the potential that remains locked up in these reservoirs of natural variation.听

However, crop resilience does not come in the form of a silver bullet.

鈥淚t will not be one new trait, one super crop variety or one new management system that allows us to meet the world鈥檚 demand for food,鈥� McCouch says. 鈥淚t takes time, effort and training to make significant genetic progress when utilizing these ancient sources of variation.鈥澨�

But Donald Boesch, president of the听听said agricultural science must move quickly to keep pace with climate change.

鈥淭his adaptation needs to be fast,鈥� said Boesch. 鈥淚t is not something we can gradually work on. We need to have our science to support adaptation done at the same time as the rapid change that is occurring. And that poses tremendous risks for food security.鈥澨�

Ziska believes weeds will likely be a key part of the solution.

鈥淭he feral cousins of today鈥檚 crops may allow us to adapt to meet food security needs,鈥� he says. 鈥淭his paradox of weeds I find fascinating. Let鈥檚 turn lemons into lemonade.鈥澨�

鈥⑻�听is a freelance journalist and writer based in Maryland. She reports on energy, climate change, the environment, and sustainable business for publications such as听Slate, Scientific American, and听The Guardian. She is a fellow at the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC).