Is Obama passing the buck on underestimating Islamic State?
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| Washington
Is President Obama blaming everyone but himself for missing the danger posed by the Islamic State (IS), allowing it to grab a big slice of territory in Syria and Iraq?
That鈥檚 what critics are claiming Monday in the wake of Mr. Obama鈥檚 appearance on CBS's 鈥60 Minutes鈥 Sunday night.
Here鈥檚 the underpinning of their argument: At one point, interviewer Steve Kroft asked the president how it was that IS ended up in control of so much land, and whether that had been a surprise to him.
鈥淲ell, I think our head of the intelligence community, Jim Clapper, has acknowledged that I think they underestimated what had been taking place in Syria,鈥 Obama replied.
Mr. Kroft countered by saying that what Director of National Intelligence Clapper had really acknowledged was that the United States had overestimated the willingness of Iraq鈥檚 armed forces to stand up to the IS onslaught.
Obama agreed with this and then pointed fingers in another direction, saying that the US had left Iraq an 鈥渋ntact democracy鈥 with a military that was well equipped to fight. Then Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki squandered these advantages by focusing on building up his political base among his fellow Shiites, while remaining suspicious of Iraq鈥檚 Sunni Muslims and Kurds, the president said.
鈥淪o what you did not see was a government that had built a sense of national unity,鈥 said Obama.
At no point in this exchange did he acknowledge any personal responsibility for missing the phenomenon of the rise of IS. Perhaps that鈥檚 understandable: Presidents are very busy people who have to rely on their administration officials to guide them. But in this case, a little personal humility might have been well placed, some pundits argued.
The 鈥60 Minutes鈥 exchange showed 鈥渢he president鈥檚 maddening habit of shifting blame,鈥 writes National Journal鈥檚 . 鈥淭his is more than a tick; it鈥檚 a personality flaw and a political problem, because Americans want their leaders to be accountable and credible.鈥
Obama鈥檚 2008 election opponent was even more pointed.
鈥淭his idea that somehow we didn鈥檛 know this was happening 鈥 of course we knew it, I was there,鈥 said Sen. John McCain (R) of Arizona during an appearance on CNN.
(The 鈥淚 was there鈥 part of the above refers to Senator McCain鈥檚 frequent trips to Iraq in recent years.)
Intelligence officials appear to have been annoyed by Obama鈥檚 throwing their boss, Clapper, under a bus. In a piece by , some recount instances in which the US intelligence community did indeed warn of the likely course of action by IS leaders.
In prepared testimony at various points this year, intelligence officials said it was likely IS would try to capture ground in Syria and Iraq, for instance. Clapper himself earlier said that IS was one of the most effective fighting forces in Syria and a magnet attracting foreign recruits.
But it鈥檚 also true that for decades, US leaders from the president on down have complained that intelligence reports are both lengthy and vague, containing many assertions about possible future courses of action on the part of US adversaries. The Central Intelligence Agency can always point to something that showed it was right, because it鈥檚 said almost everything in one report or another.
There鈥檚 a natural tension between political leaders, who value narrow takes on What Will Happen, and intelligence officials, who know the world is a complicated and maddeningly unpredictable place.
In any case, it isn鈥檛 Obama who got the US into this mess in the first place, says left-leaning in the Washington Monthly.
It was the Bush administration that invaded Iraq with little thought to the sectarian consequences, writes Mr. Atkins Sunday in the Monthly鈥檚 鈥淧olitical Animal鈥 blog. That鈥檚 what cracked the region into the shifting tectonic plates of today.
鈥淚f some world leaders failed to predict the rise of ISIS adequately, it still represents a dramatic improvement over American leadership of the previous decade,鈥 he writes Atkins.