Less Rose Garden, more travel: Biden energizes his campaign
| Scranton, Pa.
President Joe Biden emerges from 2446 North Washington Avenue in Scranton, Pennsylvania, and strolls down the driveway, flanked by six children, hand-in-hand with two.
This is President Biden鈥檚 happy place 鈥� his childhood home, in a city that has come to embody one of the main themes of his reelection campaign: that the 鈥渓ittle guy鈥� can succeed through hard work, love of family, and faith in God and the future.
The president鈥檚 visit to Scranton also reflects a new, more energetic phase in his campaign. Less 鈥淩ose Garden,鈥� Biden insiders say 鈥� referring to a White House-centered style of campaigning 鈥� and more travel around the country. Last week, Mr. Biden spent three days in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania 鈥� going to Scranton, Pittsburgh, and Philadelphia.
Why We Wrote This
U.S. President Joe Biden has been more visible as of late, traveling to battleground states and emphasizing key issues like abortion. It signals a new, more vigorous phase in the campaign.
Today, he鈥檚 in Tampa, Florida, talking up abortion rights. Later this week, he鈥檒l be in Syracuse, New York, announcing new federal funds for microchip production.
鈥淲e are entering a distinctly new period鈥� in the campaign, says Democratic pollster Celinda Lake. 鈥淚t鈥檚 been really noticeable since the State of the Union.鈥�
With former President Donald Trump as the presumptive 2024 Republican nominee, the United States is in uncharted territory: an incumbent president out on the campaign trail battling a quasi-incumbent, confined for now to a Manhattan courtroom as he聽fights criminal charges over hush money聽payments to a porn star.
It鈥檚 too soon to say how the 鈥渢rail versus trial鈥� scenario will play out. Recent polls have shown an uptick in Mr. Biden鈥檚 support, with most surveys showing him and Mr. Trump essentially in a dead heat, though it鈥檚 still early. For now, the Biden campaign is sticking to core messages, emphasizing issues like abortion that will energize key voter groups and highlighting economic initiatives aimed at improving the lives of everyday Americans.
鈥淭here are some key fundamentals that apply here,鈥� says veteran Democratic strategist Robert Shrum. 鈥淵ou鈥檝e got to make a positive case. But you can鈥檛 say, 鈥楨verything is hunky-dory.鈥� You can say, 鈥楢 lot of things are better, but there鈥檚 a lot more to do.鈥欌��
Aside from reproductive rights and 鈥渞eshoring鈥� of key economic components like microchips, the Biden administration has also focused on student loan forgiveness, health care costs, inflation, and public safety as pathways into Americans鈥� everyday lives.
Israel鈥檚 war in Gaza and climate change are also crucial issues to Mr. Biden鈥檚 chances in a close election, especially among young voters, as he seeks to ensure voters don鈥檛 peel off to outside candidates or simply stay home on Election Day.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., son of the slain Democratic icon, represents the biggest independent challenger this cycle. Last week in Philadelphia, more than a dozen members of the Kennedy clan 鈥� including six of Mr. Kennedy鈥檚 siblings 鈥� appeared in person to endorse Mr. Biden.
To the president, the event was deeply personal. He has a bust of Robert F. Kennedy, brother of the late President John F. Kennedy and a candidate for president in 1968 until his assassination, in his office. As fellow Irish-American Catholics, the Kennedy clan (aside from Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) have become loyal allies of Mr. Biden.
But whether the Kennedys will matter is questionable, as an unusually high number of voters have yet to engage in the 2024 election.聽shows that the share of voters with a 鈥渉igh interest鈥� in the current election has hit a 20-year low, compared with previous presidential races.
Furthermore, Mr. Biden鈥檚 team is more focused on issues than endorsements, including matters that speak to people directly, such as the economy and immigration, as well as abortion and the future of democracy.
On fundraising, the Biden campaign聽, with more than $192 million in cash on hand at the start of March, compared with the $93 million the Trump campaign and Republican National Committee had raised by the start of April.
But fundraising isn鈥檛 everything, as campaign professionals know. In 2016, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton聽聽as Mr. Trump in a losing effort.
In this still-early phase of the 2024 cycle, 鈥渇ree media鈥� is also a key part of the game. One challenge for both candidates is to garner as much free media as possible, and for Mr. Trump, that involves making a criminal trial into a positive, amid charges of a 鈥渨itch hunt.鈥澛燜or Mr. Biden, that means touting promises of a return to normality.
Which brings us back to Pennsylvania, where Mr. Biden made eight campaign appearances last year.
In south Scranton last week, at a campaign organizing event in a carpenters鈥� union hall, chief Biden campaign strategist Mike Donilon agreed that the president will keep appearing regularly in his home state 鈥� as well as the other top battleground states.
So just how crucial is Pennsylvania? 鈥淚t鈥檚 pretty high 鈥� Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan,鈥� Mr. Donilon tells the Monitor, rattling off the 鈥渂ig three.鈥�
Some analysts describe Pennsylvania as a microcosm of the country, though it鈥檚 a bit whiter and older.
鈥淚t does look like America in many ways, especially when you鈥檙e talking about voting behaviors,鈥� says Berwood Yost, director of polling at Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. 鈥淭he mix of geographies and educational attainment, plus age distribution and race 鈥� all those things come together in ways that lead to competitive elections.鈥�
Mr. Biden used his Pennsylvania connection for all he could last week.
In Scranton,聽as he prayed at a World War II war memorial and shook every hand in a visit to a cafe,聽the visuals were clear: His roots are in middle America, no matter how high he has risen.
