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Trump's steep learning curve

The education of Donald Trump in these first 100 days is about so much more than learning the vast array of issues that cross his Oval Office desk 鈥 and rethinking some positions along the way.

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Kevin Lamarque/Reuters
U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross (L) and others applaud as U.S. President Donald Trump presents the signed Memorandum on Aluminum Imports and Threats to National Security at the White House in Washington, U.S., April 27, 2017.

President Trump has learned plenty in his first 100 days in office. He has told us so.

Mr. Trump has learned that and are complicated, that and the are worth preserving after all, and that China, in fact, is not manipulating its currency. He鈥檚 also learned the enormous unilateral power American presidents enjoy as commander in chief 鈥 though he hasn't fully tested the limits of that power, or experienced the consequences of doing so.

But the education of Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States, is about so much more than learning the vast array of issues that cross his desk in the Oval Office 鈥 and rethinking some positions along the way. It鈥檚 about discovering that running a business and being president of the United States are dramatically different enterprises. And that campaigning isn鈥檛 the same as governing, even as he does both simultaneously.

Still, if there鈥檚 one point about Trump that both supporters and critics agree on, it鈥檚 that he鈥檚 a listener. . 鈥淚鈥檓 an intuitive person,鈥 . As president, that intuition is informed by exposing himself to differing views, both among his famously clashing advisers, in his cable-news viewing, and in his dealings with Congress.

鈥淚鈥檝e had long discussions with the president in the Oval Office,鈥 says Sen. Orrin Hatch (R) of Utah, who, as chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, is a central player in enacting Trump鈥檚 agenda. 鈥淗e listens.鈥

Trump is clearly learning something, says Dan Schnur, director of the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics at the University of Southern California.

鈥淭he question is whether he鈥檚 learning enough things quickly enough,鈥 says Mr. Schnur, who served as communications director for John McCain鈥檚 2000 presidential campaign.

Beyond the froth of headlines, deeper truths

The firing of Michael Flynn as national security adviser and his replacement with H.R. McMaster represents progress in the latter鈥檚 鈥渕ore conventional and less disruptive approach to security issues,鈥 Schnur says. 鈥淭he influence of people like [economic adviser] Gary Cohn demonstrates the same type of realization, that you can change Washington in some ways, but not in every way all at once.鈥

Indeed, some Trump skeptics on the Republican side have expressed relief that, over time, the president has amassed a team that includes respected figures from the world of national security and finance, and has declined to name some of the campaign gadflies (think Rudy Giuliani and Newt Gingrich) to formal positions in the administration.

For anti-Trump forces, the president鈥檚 loose, unorthodox style has made him hard to counter, especially amid the daily barrage of tweets and pivots. One day he鈥檚 ready to terminate NAFTA 鈥 the agreement that governs the $3.5 billion in daily trade among the US, Mexico, and Canada 鈥 and the next, he鈥檚 dialing back to a less-disruptive 鈥渞enegotiation.鈥

But beneath the froth of daily news coverage, there are deeper truths that have dominated Trump鈥檚 first 100 days in office: Foremost is the grand political science experiment of having a political novice in the Oval Office, surrounded by an inner circle of advisers who are also new to governing. It has been a bungee jump for everyone 鈥 Congress, the political parties, world leaders, and the American people.

Also central is Trump鈥檚 decision to start campaigning for reelection essentially from Day One of his presidency. on Inauguration Day of 2017, a move he says was not a 鈥渇ormal announcement of candidacy,鈥 but he has in fact been holding campaign events. His rally in Harrisburg, Pa., on Saturday night 鈥 counter-programming to the annual White House Correspondents鈥 Association dinner 鈥 is being organized by , not the White House.

All presidential actions have a political dimension, but Trump鈥檚 manifestation of that is unique.

鈥淗e is the first president in our history who did not believe that it was necessary to expand his base of support in order to succeed,鈥 says Schnur. 鈥淒on鈥檛 get me wrong, I鈥檓 sure he鈥檇 rather be more popular than he is, but I suspect Trump believes he probably couldn鈥檛 unify the country even if he wanted to.鈥

Consider the . Trump is the least popular president in modern history at this stage in office, at 42 percent job approval, and yet 96 percent of those who say they voted for him last November say they鈥檇 vote for him again today. The poll also indicates the possibility that Trump could win the popular vote 鈥 which he did not get last November 鈥 if a rerun of the 2016 election were held today. For those tired of the intense polarization gripping Washington, these results do not bode well.

Why it's hard for CEOs to run democracies

Another unique dimension of the Trump presidency is his background in business. There鈥檚 a longstanding trope that a businessman could do better in governing the country than a career politician, and Trump, in theory, provides an opportunity to test that proposition.

The test has only begun, but Gautam Mukunda, a professor at Harvard Business School, offers some early caveats.

鈥淣o doubt there is some overlap in the skills required to be president and the skills it takes to be a really good CEO,鈥 Mr. Mukunda says. 鈥淟arge organizations, even businesses and government ones, do have some commonalities.鈥

But there鈥檚 a fundamental difference between a business and a government. 鈥淔rom the very simplest thing, most corporate CEOs have a power and control over their organization that鈥檚 a lot more akin to an absolute dictator than it is to the president of the United States,鈥 he says. 聽

The goal of a business is to make a profit, whereas the goals of government are much more contentious, he adds. 鈥淪hould the United States government guarantee health insurance to all American citizens or not? That is a matter of great debate. The question of how we should do that is secondary to the question of if we should do that.鈥

Then there鈥檚 Trump himself 鈥 and his particular way of doing business. Trump is known for being litigious, and for constantly trying to get a better deal, even after a deal has been signed. When a deal falls apart, he can move on to another deal, with another set of people.

鈥淗is entire career he has played in a series of one-shot games,鈥 says Mukunda. As president, 鈥渉e鈥檚 still handling every interaction like they鈥檙e one-shot interactions. So he can get into a fight with the prime minister of Australia鈥 but he can鈥檛 go elsewhere for a better deal. Australia鈥檚 not going away.鈥

Ever the performer

Author Gwenda Blair has interviewed and interacted with Trump many times in her work on a of the businessman and reality TV performer, long before he announced for president.

Today, nothing about Trump鈥檚 presidency surprises her.

鈥淚t really is the same MO that we saw in his career up until the campaign, then throughout the whole campaign,鈥 says Ms. Blair. 鈥淗e鈥檚 a performer: Always keep people distracted, keep changing the subject. Really, he has spent 40 years honing his ability to keep all the attention on him, and it still works.鈥

Blair calls him the framer-in-chief. 鈥淗e keeps framing what success means,鈥 she says. 鈥淗e ran on the idea that he would have the most successful first 100 days ever.鈥

Every new president makes mistakes, and goes through a learning curve.聽 Trump鈥檚 first 100 days have been tougher than the norm, however. Trump failed on his first pass at health-care reform, and executive orders targeting illegal immigrants are stuck in court. But in his press releases and public statements, he鈥檚 projecting an image of success.

鈥淯ndergirding everything, really, is the ongoing delegitimization of traditional news, of the primacy of facts, the importance of accuracy in replacing that with a kind of ever-shifting narrative that accepts contradictions, zig-zags, 180-degree pivots,鈥 Blair says. 鈥淎nd on all of those things, there is no fixed point except him.鈥

The experiment has only just begun.

Staff writer Francine Kiefer contributed reporting.

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