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Only faint hope for UN 'last chance' plan to avert civil war in Syria

The UN Security Council has approved a statement urging Syria to halt all violence by next Tuesday or 'further steps' will be taken. But what those further steps are is not clear.

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Martial Trezzini/AP
Joint Special Envoy for Syria Kofi Annan attends a meeting at the European headquarters of the United Nations in Geneva, Switzerland, Wednesday.

The United Nations Security Council unanimously called on Syria Thursday to 鈥渦rgently and visibly鈥 halt all violence by an April 10 deadline in what UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said was the 鈥渓ast chance鈥 to save the country from civil war.

Meanwhile, a UN team was in Damascus Thursday to negotiate the deployment of a mission to monitor the potential cease-fire.聽

After months of failed attempts to act on Syria, the Security Council approved a nonbinding presidential statement that threatens 鈥渇urther steps鈥 if the regime of President Bashar al-Assad fails to implement the peace plan that Mr. Ban鈥檚 special envoy, former UN Secretary General Kofi Annan, concluded with President Assad last week.

The statement, sponsored by the United States, the council鈥檚 rotating president, also calls on all other parties to cease 鈥渁ll forms鈥 of armed action within 48 hours of the government pulling back from cities and ceasing its attacks.

The council鈥檚 action marked a modest unblocking of the diplomatic logjam that has stymied for more than six months Western attempts to secure international action against Assad. Russia and China have twice vetoed more consequential council resolutions on Syria, with Russia vowing to block any resolution the council鈥檚 three other permanent members 鈥 the US, Britain, and France 鈥 might use to intervene in the Syrian crisis.

Russia accuses the Western powers of going beyond the mandate of last year's UN resolution on Libya 鈥 which Russia supported 鈥 to launch the NATO air campaign against the forces of Muammar Qaddafi. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has repeatedly said that Russia would not leave any doors open to armed intervention in Syria by the West.

Again on Thursday, Mr. Lavrov warned that Russia would not approve any council action that contains 鈥渁ny ultimatums or threats鈥 aimed at the Assad government. And there was some indication that Russia was getting its way in a council anxious to weigh in on the Syria crisis. The statement approved Thursday 鈥渦rges鈥 Assad to comply with the Annan plan, whereas an earlier draft said the council 鈥渄emands鈥 compliance.

That left unclear just what the council might be able to approve in the way of 鈥渇urther steps鈥 in the event of a breakdown in implementation of the Annan plan.

French Foreign Minister Alain Jupp茅, speaking to reporters in Paris, said that if the Assad government does not open the country to the 200-observer monitoring mission called for in the Annan plan, or if it acts to block the mission鈥檚 work, then Syria will quickly return to the council鈥檚 agenda.

Mr. Jupp茅 expressed little confidence that the plan will work, insisting that Assad is 鈥渄eceiving鈥 the international community. The Arab League already had a team of observers in Syria last year that was pulled out over accusations that Assad was actively undermining the observers鈥 work.

Speaking to the UN General Assembly by videoconference Thursday, Mr. Annan said violence had yet to cease in Syria, and he called on all sides to silence their guns now. Ban said that violence was 鈥済etting worse鈥 in the days before the planned cease-fire.

Some regional experts are concerned that the Annan cease-fire plan allows Assad to buy time and to eventually blame the opposition for a return to violence.

To ensure some accountability from Assad, some UN diplomats are calling for a quick assessment of whether or not Assad is implementing the plan.聽They want Annan to brief the Security Council as of April 11 on whether or not Assad had complied with the April 10 deadline for ceasing government violence.

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