A year ago, one year after the pandemic began, the Monitor found people showing resilience. Today the mood is more one of agency, as some begin to take back control of their lives.聽
Can the West go too far in punishing Russia with economic sanctions? Could humiliating Russia and President Vladimir Putin backfire? Post-World War I Germany shows the dangers of turning responsibility into retribution as a broken Germany turned to Naziism. Looking at today, The Economist says: 鈥淭he West has deployed an economic weapon that was until recently unthinkable. It must be used wisely.鈥
Our Fred Weir in Moscow looks at the question through two different lenses. On one hand, sanctions don鈥檛 need to take effect to humiliate Mr. Putin, Fred says. 鈥淚t is happening now.鈥 Guessing what Mr. Putin might do is a fool鈥檚 errand. Militarily, it鈥檚 still not clear what he wants to achieve. Diplomatically, it鈥檚 unclear if he has any interest in the compromises being proposed by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. What is clear is that he has forever changed Russia鈥檚 relationship with Ukraine through a 鈥渇ratricidal鈥 war. 鈥淚t鈥檚 a rift of historic proportions.鈥澛
Gauging the response of the Russian people is a different matter. They are no strangers to economic hardship. 鈥淣o one has ever made money betting against Russians to withstand privation,鈥 Fred says.聽
And today鈥檚 Russia is in many ways better equipped to handle severe sanctions than the Soviet Union was. Russia鈥檚 advances in sustainably feeding itself are 鈥減henomenal,鈥 he says. Grocery store shelves should remain stocked no matter what. That鈥檚 no small thing. The economic collapse of the 1990s 鈥渨as like a nuclear bomb鈥 by comparison.
As for humiliation, most Russians already think the West hates them. So the new sanctions, despite their severity, are simply a new chapter in an old story, Fred suggests. The 鈥渂unker mentality of stubborn patriotism鈥 is well ingrained.