Tech stocks: Some reach 'cult' status
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Struggling tech companies have failed to acquire "cult" status in an oversaturated market and the successes of Google, Facebook and Apple in particular are largely due to their massive followings in a "cult-based economy", Keith Woolcock, Partner at 5th Column Ideas, told CNBC.
鈥淎pple has one of the smallest R & D budgets; it spends two percent on R & D and has the smallest portfolio of products, so it鈥檚 a little bit like what Voltaire once said, God is on the side of the sharpest shots not the biggest armies, and you know you鈥檙e competing with a cult," Woolcock told Squawk Box Europe.
鈥淲e are now in a cult-based economy, Google is a cult, Facebook is a cult, Apple is a cult, cults are what you need to see through too much choice,鈥 Woolcock said.
聽In a week when Sony鈥檚 new CEO Kazua Hirai doubled the Japanese electronics firm鈥檚 annual loss forecast to a record $6.4 billion, Woolcock said things were likely to get worse for Sony if Apple enters the TV market.
聽He explained that Apple had not become "uncool" despite having a very narrow product range and devices that evolved at a slow rate.
聽鈥淲hat鈥檚 interesting for Apple now if you look at it over the last couple of years they haven鈥檛 come out with any revolutionary products, you know the iPhone 4S was identical to the previous (iPhone) 4 or 3.聽 The new iPad is absolutely identical to the previous one, so now you鈥檙e waiting and this is bad news for Sony鈥 Probably the next big product will be the TV market,鈥 he said.聽
Woolcock added that "cannibalization" within the tech sector - single products with multiple features - would render specialist use products made by firms like Sony obsolete.聽 Woolcock singled out the digital camera market as an example.
聽鈥淲e all have digital cameras, we all have a multitude of digital cameras,鈥 Woolcock said.
聽鈥淚f you鈥檙e a company like Sony or Cannon or Nikon that makes a lot of your money from selling single lens reflex cameras with those great big lenses you鈥檙e going to have a problem because within the next five years that market鈥檚 going to disappear because the new thing that鈥檚 coming out, and it started on smartphones and you can turn the function on on your iPhone. It鈥檚 this thing called HDR, High Dynamic Range," he explained.
鈥淲hat that means is you use a very high powerful processor which you have on the smart phone to take multiple shots 鈥β it takes multiple shots and then it averages them out," Woolcock said.
"And now, if any of you viewers go onto the internet and put in HDR, High Dynamic Range, look at the types of photos you get, it鈥檚 phenomenal, it鈥檚 phenomenal, now that will kill the single lens reflex market,鈥 he added.