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Meet the 鈥楬aley Voters for Harris鈥 who could tip the election

Nikki Haley endorsed former President Donald Trump, but not all her supporters are on board. Vice President Kamala Harris is angling for their votes.聽

By Sophie Hills, Staff writer
Washington Crossing, Pa.

Across the United States, more than 4 million people voted for former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley in the Republican primaries. Now, in a neck and neck presidential race, Vice President Kamala Harris is making a play for those very voters.

Instead of coalescing behind former President Donald Trump as the presumptive nominee, a notable share of Republican voters cast their primary ballots for Ms. Haley, even after she鈥檇 long suspended her campaign 鈥 in some states amounting to double-digit support.

Mr. Trump has appeared unconcerned about winning that voting bloc, which could be the difference-maker in several swing states. Last week on 鈥淔ox & Friends,鈥 the former president dismissed a question about Haley supporters who remain reluctant to give him their support. 鈥淚 beat Nikki Haley. I beat everyone else, too 鈥 badly,鈥 Mr. Trump said. 鈥淣ikki is helping us already.鈥

Ms. Haley endorsed Mr. Trump in July and has said she would campaign for him if asked. 鈥淗e鈥檚 aware that I鈥檓 ready if he ever needs me to do that,鈥 she said last month on CBS鈥 鈥淔ace the Nation.鈥 But she has yet to appear on the campaign trail for Mr. Trump, though there have been reports that his campaign is in talks to arrange an appearance with the former governor.

Polls show Mr. Trump is viewed unfavorably by a majority of Haley supporters, as is Ms. Harris 鈥 though she鈥檚 viewed more favorably than both Mr. Trump and President Joe Biden by these voters. An Oct. 9 survey found that 36% of voters around the country who supported Ms. Haley in the Republican primary say they鈥檒l vote for Ms. Harris in the upcoming election. The poll by Blueprint, a Democratic research group, only included registered Republicans and independents. Among the Republican Haley supporters, 49% planned to vote for Mr. Trump, even though 64% of them said they had voted for him in 2020. Among independents, 38% said they would support Mr. Trump, down from 48% who鈥檇 backed him in 2020.

The Harris campaign, aided by anti-Trump Republican groups, is zeroing in on Haley supporters who may yet be undecided, in an election where the outcome could be determined by just tens of thousands of votes in a handful of states.

鈥淣ikki Haley voters will show up to the polls,鈥 but it鈥檚 a 鈥渢oss-up鈥 who they鈥檒l vote for, says Dave Wilson, a South Carolina GOP strategist. 鈥淒onald Trump needs to bring every voter who might be on the fence across the fence, if he wants to win.鈥

鈥淭his election comes down to character鈥

Haley Voters for Harris, a super PAC unaffiliated with Ms. Haley, placed a seven-figure ad buy across swing states including Pennsylvania aimed directly at Haley supporters, who the group says are 鈥渋ndependent-minded鈥 voters.

鈥淥n the issues that are really most key to our voters, [Ms. Harris] has positioned herself as someone who will govern from the center,鈥 says Craig Snyder, national and Pennsylvania director for Haley Voters for Harris.

The group is not just trying to get Haley supporters on board with Ms. Harris鈥 policies, says Craig Peterson, who oversees its Wisconsin efforts 鈥 though he says Ms. Harris鈥 policy positions come closer to those of President Ronald Reagan than do Mr. Trump鈥檚. Rather, the goal is to assure Haley supporters that they can vote for Ms. Harris without forfeiting their identities as Republicans.

Mr. Peterson says there are 110,000 鈥渄ouble haters鈥 鈥 people who voted for Ms. Haley or former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and don鈥檛 like either of the two nominees 鈥 in Wisconsin. His group鈥檚 approach in that state, where the race could be as close as 20,000 votes, is 鈥渓aser-guided,鈥 he says, with TV ads aimed directly at those voters, many of whom are suburban women.

Matthew McCaffery, a lifelong Republican from Pennsylvania, supported Ms. Haley in the primary. Back in 2016, wanting a change in the political status quo, he鈥檇 backed Mr. Trump. But soon after, Mr. McCaffery began feeling as though the man he鈥檇 voted for couldn鈥檛 do the job.

By the time Gen. James Mattis called Mr. Trump unfit to serve, Mr. McCaffery 鈥 a Marine Corps veteran who had served in Iraq under Mr. Mattis 鈥 had decided to vote for Mr. Biden in 2020.

This year, he鈥檚 voting for Ms. Harris.

鈥淭his election comes down to character, behavior, and just who can be a steady hand at the wheel,鈥 says Mr. McCaffery. 鈥淭hough I may not agree with a lot of what the vice president believes in, I know that she鈥檒l be a capable leader.鈥

In Pennsylvania, 16% of Republicans voted for Ms. Haley in the primary, even though she鈥檇 dropped out of the race seven weeks earlier. Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump are now in a tight race in the state, and Democrats believe many of the 160,000 or so Haley supporters may be persuadable.

鈥淕iven that Pennsylvania is likely to be one of the more pivotal states and given that it could be close, anything could end up making a difference,鈥 says Anthony Fowler, a professor at the University of Chicago. 鈥淚 think it does make sense to go for people in the middle.鈥

A flurry of events with anti-Trump Republicans

Ms. Harris has been campaigning with former GOP Rep. Liz Cheney and other anti-Trump Republicans, holding a series of events in battleground states designed to appeal to disillusioned Republican voters.

鈥淭he coalition we have built has room for everyone who is ready to turn the page on the chaos and instability of Donald Trump. And I pledge to you to be a president for all Americans,鈥 Ms. Harris said at an event in Pennsylvania last week, where she stood in front of a white barn decorated with a 鈥淐ountry Over Party鈥 sign, on the banks of the Delaware River near where George Washington crossed on Christmas night in 1776.

Former Republican officials including U.S. Reps. Jim Greenwood and Adam Kinzinger, and Trump administration official Olivia Troye also spoke to the invite-only crowd of about 500. Others, including former Rep. Barbara Comstock, joined on the dais. After, Ms. Harris sat for an interview with Fox News鈥 Bret Baier.

Ms. Harris has won other recent endorsements from Republicans, including in a letter signed by 20 GOP leaders and voters from Wisconsin, from former Haley campaign staff in Michigan, and from former Arizona Sen. Jeff Flake. Ms. Cheney鈥檚 father, former Vice President Dick Cheney, has also endorsed the Democratic nominee.

The event in pivotal Bucks County, Pennsylvania, shows that the Harris campaign is serious about welcoming GOP voters uneasy with Mr. Trump, says Mr. Greenwood, a six-term former member of Congress from the area.

鈥淸It signals] that they鈥檙e seeking Republican support, and that they have Republican support, and that they want more Republican support,鈥 says Mr. Greenwood, a co-chair of Republicans for Harris.

Mr. McCaffery, the former Marine, says he knows other Republican voters who plan to break with their party this election. Many just aren鈥檛 publicizing it, he says. 鈥淭hey鈥檙e definitely more quiet,鈥 an approach he recommends after experiencing a swatting call, receiving hostile mail and online comments, and being ousted from his position as a local GOP leader since speaking publicly about his disapproval of Mr. Trump.

Pro-Harris Republican groups bet that if the Harris campaign can sway even a third of undecided Haley supporters in key swing states, that could bring Ms. Harris a winning margin.

But for some, dislike of both candidates is so strong they can鈥檛 see themselves voting for either one. Speaking by phone as she delivered ballots to a Philadelphia-area nursing home, Kim Decker, a Harris campaign 鈥渟uper volunteer,鈥 says she often meets undecided voters as she canvasses near her home north of the city. Many of them may wind up filling out the rest of the ballot but not casting a vote for president, she says. 鈥淭hey鈥檙e completely decided that they鈥檙e not voting for Trump or for Kamala.鈥

There鈥檚 an answer for those Republicans who feel torn between their Republican values and their dislike of Mr. Trump, says Mr. Greenwood, the former congressman. 鈥淭here will be lots of Republicans in Congress,鈥 he says. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not like there鈥檚 going to be some left-wing agenda moving through Congress.鈥