海角大神

Bernie Sanders still going strong, but for how long?

Sen. Sanders is drawing audiences of impressive sizes, raising funds of considerable proportions, and rising in the polls. But will he be able to translate all the excitement into active voter turnout?

Sen. Bernie Sanders, (I) of Vermont arrives with his wife Jane at a campaign rally on Monday in Portland, Maine.

Robert F. Bukaty/AP

July 8, 2015

Could America鈥檚 longest-serving independent congressman really become the country鈥檚 next president?

Six weeks ago, before Bernie Sanders became a Democratic candidate and raised an impressive $15 million, the question would have represented more of a rhetorical scenario than a tangible threat to former secretary of State and presumed presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.

But as political analysts trace the campaign trail of the Vermont senator, the trend emerging is as unavoidable and vibrant as the tens of thousands greeting him: Senator Sanders is gaining traction, and the privilege of being the "presumptive nominee" has become increasingly up for grabs.

Monitor Breakfast

Steve Bannon warns Trump against heavy US involvement in Iran

Nearly 10,000 people filled an arena in Madison, Wis. last Wednesday. Then, more than 2,500 in Council Bluffs, Iowa, and this week, another 7,500 in Portland, Maine.

鈥淢r. Sanders is now doing nearly as well as Barack Obama did among liberal voters in 2008. That makes him competitive in relatively liberal contests, like the Iowa caucuses or the New Hampshire primary,鈥 Nate Cohn.

Even Mrs. Clinton has acknowledged Sanders鈥 potential. 鈥淭his is going to be competitive. It should be competitive,鈥 she in Iowa on Tuesday.

鈥淲e are worried about him, sure,鈥 Clinton鈥檚 Communications Director Jennifer Palmieri on Monday. 鈥淗e will be a serious force for the campaign, and I don't think that will diminish.鈥

Now, all eyes are turning to the senator鈥檚 still-nascent campaign infrastructure, the importance of which Clinton this week and a point that even Sanders admitted could be overwhelmed.

Why humiliating Iran is unlikely to bring surrender

鈥淲e've only been a declared candidate for two months,鈥 Sanders told The Associated Press on a campaign stop in Iowa. 鈥淚n a certain sense, our momentum is outpacing our infrastructure.鈥

Currently, Sanders鈥 team appears as a squint compared to that of the former secretary of state, but more staffers are scheduled to come aboard next month, said his campaign manager Jeff Weaver.

The senator has slightly more than 50 paid staffers overall, while Clinton has nearly 50 organizers in Iowa alone, as well as at least one in every other state.

Whether Sanders will be able to convert his arena audiences into active voters remains to be seen, but it will be critical to his success, analysts say. In terms of national poll numbers, the senator still Clinton by an average of more than 40 points, according to NPR News.

But Sanders is also rising among voters in New Hampshire, his neighboring state, where his gap with Clinton is now only eight points, reported NPR. In Iowa, , his support over the past month has doubled.

Soon, however, pundits predict Sanders will hit a brick wall 鈥 one standing within the Democratic establishment and etched with Clinton鈥檚 highly recognized initials.

Sanders鈥 messages about equality for the middle class and economic disparity have been resonating particularly well with Millennial voters, who describe him as and gleefully chant the slogan: 鈥渇eel the Bern.鈥

But many of the older and more conservative Democrats aren鈥檛 taking him seriously. William Arnone, a voter rally in New York, told NPR News that his 21-year-old daughter 鈥渂roke my heart the other day.鈥

鈥淪he said, 鈥楧addy, I met Hillary, I love her, I know you do too. I like Bernie Sanders,鈥 鈥 Mr. Arnone said with a chuckle. 鈥淚 said, 鈥榃ell, that鈥檚 okay, Alison, but let鈥檚 get real at some point.鈥欌

This report contains material from The Associated Press.