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Mitt Romney is out: Now, nobody can win

Amid all the punditry about candidates who are absolutely certain to lose, just remember the similar comments about nearly everyone who has gone on to win.

Former GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney speaks at Mississippi State University in Starkville, Miss., on Jan. 28, 2015. On Friday, Romney said he will not run for president in 2016.

Rogelio V. Solis/AP

January 30, 2015

Now that Mitt Romney has decided not to run, the shape of the 2016 presidential race is clearer. I hate to break it to you, but as of Inauguration Day, Jan. 20, 2017, the White House will be vacant. All of the remaining potential candidates have flaws that will make it impossible for them to win.

听is tied to the Clinton administration鈥檚 scandals and the Obama administration鈥檚 foreign policy. , Americans want the next president to offer different policies from the incumbent听administration 鈥 similar to figures in the second Bush term. And then there鈥檚 age. Born Oct. 26, 1947, she would be 69 years old on Election Day, which would make her the second-oldest president after Ronald Reagan.

Elizabeth Warren, born June 22, 1949, is almost as old as Clinton. She has won only one election, in liberal Massachusetts, and her progressive politics would travel poorly in a general election. (Think Michael Dukakis and John Kerry.)

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Martin O鈥橫alley was governor of Maryland. Even though that state is among the nation鈥檚 bluest, his policies were so that voters picked a Republican successor. Also, he was the inspiration for a character on 听鈥 which is not a good thing, since the character was an unprincipled double-crosser.

Jeb听听is named Bush. In opposition to , he supports听

听has alienated much of the GOP base over the issue of immigration. And Bush is already vacuuming up the Florida campaign money that Rubio needs.

Mike听听is well-liked. He also tends to make the kind of听听that would sink candidates who reach the top tier. Even some commentators have taken him to task for his recent comments on women who cuss at work.

Chris听听flunked his . Bridgegate might not bring him down, other elements of his past would weigh him down. To the delight of opposition researchers, will produce damaging YouTube moments.

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has made comments on national security that will alienate much of the GOP base. And he shown terrible judgment in associating both with and .

听won reelection in 2014 despite a campaign finance scandal. In a presidential race, however, the relevant documents will be subject to scrutiny by a large cadre of more-skillful and better-equipped opposition researchers. The e-mail trove will be like a natural gas well that reopens when a new technology becomes available. Call it political fracking.

听has irked colleagues in the party with counterproductive legislative tactics. Many Republican officials hate him, and they will undercut him in ways both obvious and subtle.

Bobby听听is best-known for his disastrous . He is听 back home in Louisiana.

Like Jindal, Rick听听is still living down an old embarrassment: In his case, the infamous "oops" moment in the 2012 campaign, when he could not remember one of the Cabinet departments that he wanted to scrap. Perhaps it will lower expectations for him. But another problem is that he will no longer be governor of Texas, and will not be able to gather "access money."

听expanded Medicaid, which might not hurt him in a general election but would cost him conservative support in GOP primaries. And with Christie and Bush, it is hard to see that there will be many votes left in the 鈥渆stablishment bracket.鈥

Dr. Ben Carson听is a world-class surgeon but has never held office or run a large organization. 听Every president has had one of those two experiences. His oratory may give him an early boost, but at some point, his lack of qualifications will kick in.

, like Dr. Carson, has never won an election, but she has run an organization (HP). That's her problem: HP sacked her for poor performance, and her stewardship opens her up to the kind of "callous clueless rich person" attack that hurt Romney. And at least Romney could make a plausible case that he was successful at Bain.

Others may be waiting in the wings, but they too undoubtedly have fatal liabilities. So we鈥檒l just have to make do without a president, right?

You鈥檝e probably figured out that my premise is a fib, which is the point. As we read all the punditry about candidates who are absolutely certain to lose, we should remember that there have been similar comments about nearly everyone who has gone on to win. In 1979, for instance, journalist Richard Reeves wrote an article titled, 鈥淲hy Reagan Won鈥檛 Make It.鈥 Reagan did make it, of course, and so will one of the flawed human beings who seek the presidency in 2016.

Jack Pitney writes his Looking for Trouble blog exclusively for the Monitor.