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Is Donald Trump rising, or is rest of Republican field sinking?

GOP Washington veterans are wondering if the Trump phenomenon is the result of faults in other candidates as much as any innate appeal of Donald Trump himself.

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a rally at the TD Convention Center, Thursday, Aug. 27, 2015, in Greenville, S.C.

Richard Shiro/AP

August 27, 2015

Is Donald Trump rising? Or is he just standing there while the rest of the GOP field sinks?

That鈥檚 a question that some GOP Washington veterans are beginning to ask as they watch The Donald seize control of the Republican race. They鈥檙e wondering if the Trump phenomenon is the result of faults in other candidates as much as any innate appeal of Mr. Trump himself.

They鈥檙e crossing their fingers and hoping that Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, or some other candidate acceptable to the old guard will sputter into life. But they鈥檙e no longer sure that will happen. Maybe that鈥檚 their real fear: not that Trump will win, but that they鈥檙e increasingly losing control over the Republican Party鈥檚 direction.

What鈥檚 behind Trump鈥檚 assault on Harvard and crown-jewel US universities?

Publisher William Kristol at the right-leaning Weekly Standard raised this issue earlier this week. He wondered if 2016 will be 1988 all over again, when Democrats fumbled a good chance to win the White House by nominating an uninspiring Michael Dukakis.

鈥淚t may be that the lesson of the Trump surge 鈥 like that of the shorter-lived Herman Cain and Michele Bachmann boomlets in 2011 鈥 is that the rest of the field isn鈥檛 what it should be,鈥 .

Kristol鈥檚 answer: Maybe the historically large GOP field should expand further. Perhaps House Ways and Means Committee chairman Paul Ryan should enter the race, or Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito.

But Kristol鈥檚 not the only one talking about this issue. Rich Lowry of the conservative National Review writes that Trump鈥檚 rise is due in part to the rest of the field having "failed." They constitute a vacuum, he writes in a Politico column.

鈥淭here鈥檚 17 candidates and there鈥檚 nothing on. Except Donald Trump,鈥 .

Trump promised to bring jobs to the Rust Belt. The Sun Belt may get them instead.

The Washington Post鈥檚 right-leaning blogger Jennifer Rubin blames the situation on inaction. GOP candidates and interest groups should act more forcefully to spread the word that Trump鈥檚 not a real conservative, .

What鈥檚 going on here? Is there a whiff of panic in the air? Perhaps. That may be due to the fact that what鈥檚 sometimes called the establishment wing of the GOP dissects the polls like everybody else. They鈥檙e noticing that Trump鈥檚 support comes from across the Republican spectrum and from all demographic groups. It鈥檚 shallow, but wide. That means it鈥檚 stable enough to persist, probably for months, according to .

Second, this may be about Mr. Bush in particular. He鈥檚 struggling. His strategic plan had called for him to be the front-runner at this point in the race. It was supposed to boil down to a Jeb and a non-Jeb. Instead, it鈥檚 Trump and non-Trump.

Bush may have an impressive campaign, but 鈥渉e has so far barely warmed up an ember among voters,鈥 writes Lowry in the Politico column.

But primarily, this could be about the party鈥檚 soul. For decades, Republican presidential candidates have emphasized low taxes, fiscal rectitude, and foreign policy strength. Trump has said little about taxes, mused about the virtues of single-payer health care, and centered his run (so far) on tough anti-immigration policies.

Whose party is it anyway? The longtime establishment is worried that Trump鈥檚 rhetoric may ensure it鈥檚 the redoubt of only angry whites.

Republicans need to be the party of economic growth or they are 鈥渟uperfluous,鈥 writes venerable right-leaning columnist George Will.

鈥淚f in November 2016, the fragments of an ever smaller and more homogenous GOP might be picked up with tweezers, Trump, having taken his act elsewhere, will look back over his shoulder at the wreckage he wrought and say: 鈥極h, never mind,鈥 鈥 .