Columbine. Sandy Hook. Parkland. Uvalde. What do we do now?
Will Beck (right), a sophomore at Columbine High School who escaped during the shooting attack nearly 20 years ago, joins his family during a vigil at the memorial April 19, 2019, in Littleton, Colorado.
David Zalubowski/AP/File
Uvalde, Texas
Columbine. Parkland. Pulse. Virginia Tech. Sandy Hook. Las Vegas.
Now Buffalo and Uvalde. Two more tragic mass shootings, added to the heartbreaking list of the worst such incidents in American history.
Does nothing change? That is what it can seem like. Politicians make familiar utterances about thoughts and prayers, and there鈥檚 a spurt of citizen energy and media attention, but that fades, and big things intended to lower the nation鈥檚 shocking level of deaths caused by firearms don鈥檛 happen.
Why We Wrote This
Can America break free of its cycle of anger, despair, and inaction on mass shootings?
It may be true that Washington has taken little concerted action on gun violence in recent years. It鈥檚 a difficult, complex issue 鈥 and national politics is polarized and too often gridlocked.
But some states and cities have taken significant steps to respond to gun tragedies, says Daniel W. Webster, co-director of the Johns Hopkins University Center for Gun Violence Solutions. Grassroots organizing against gun violence is growing.
And it is important to push back against the fatalist attitude that terrible shootings will continue, says Professor Webster. Accepting them as inevitable becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. There are things that work to curb such violence. They can be implemented, realistically.
Two tragedies in a month could be a tipping point.
鈥淔rustration and momentum for change does multiply,鈥 says Professor Webster.
鈥淚t starts with our neighbors鈥
It鈥檚 been 48 hours since a gunman ran into Robb Elementary School here and killed 21 people, including 19 fourth graders. In that time, Brandon Amor has driven from San Antonio to Uvalde and back, a three-hour round trip between the town where he spent much of his life and the city he now lives in.
Mr. Amor is in his early 20s. He was born around the time a massacre at Columbine High School in Colorado ushered in a new era of fear and social paralysis around mass shootings, particularly at schools. The country has wrestled with the crisis ever since, with little meaningful, visible progress. Now it has come to Mr. Amor鈥檚 hometown, and 24 hours after the shooting he鈥檚 audibly fighting the same numbness and despair.
鈥淚 hate that feeling. I know a lot of people hate that feeling,鈥 he said on Wednesday. 鈥淵ou feel like you can鈥檛 do much.鈥
He drove to Uvalde Tuesday night after he heard about the shooting, to go to a Mass and, generally, to support his hometown. Watching the town crawling with law enforcement and journalists, seeing TV trucks lining the streets and helicopters flying overhead, he barely recognized it. He isn鈥檛 sure Uvalde will ever be the same again, and he doesn鈥檛 know what can be done to spare other communities the pain and chaos brought on his town this week.
鈥淚t starts with our neighbors. Love your neighbor like you would love yourself,鈥 he adds. 鈥淢aybe that鈥檚 where we need to start.鈥
Can Congress break through?
The problem of guns and gun violence is difficult because it touches on many of the most intractable divides in American society: red versus blue states, urban areas versus rural ones, hunters versus non-shooters, and economic and racial schisms.
In the wake of Buffalo and Uvalde, Congress is struggling to reach agreement on some sort of response that could draw 60 votes in the Senate and pass. That might be a national 鈥渞ed flag鈥 law empowering law enforcement to seize guns from individuals who appear to be a danger to themselves or others.
But even a minimal gun bill may not pass muster. In general, Republicans oppose gun control bills, saying that proposed changes would not prevent the worst incidents from happening, and that gun ownership is a foundational right of Americans, enshrined in the Constitution.
Pressed on possible gun restrictions by reporters this week, Republican Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas echoed the traditional GOP view this way: 鈥淭hat doesn鈥檛 work. It鈥檚 not effective. It doesn鈥檛 fight crime.鈥
However, Texas鈥 senior senator, John Cornyn, has taken a quieter, more hands-on approach 鈥 negotiating with Democratic senators this week to craft potential solutions. He did this at the behest of GOP Leader Mitch McConnell, who told reporters, 鈥淚 am hopeful that we could come up with a bipartisan solution.鈥
Public polls generally show strong support for specific gun control measures. A found 86% support for universal background checks, 85% support for banning gun sales to stalkers, and 76% approval of mandatory safe storage for guns in homes, among other proposed national laws.
There are many reasons why such figures do not translate into legislative changes, however. An energized organized minority, such as gun owners led by the National Rifle Association, can often block action by a less-interested, unorganized majority. Many red state politicians know that a majority of their voters, particularly in primaries, are committed gun owners. And few citizens base their votes in elections on single issues.聽
鈥淲here do we start first?鈥
The next day, normal life has resumed for Mr. Amor. He鈥檚 back in San Antonio, back at work. But he鈥檚 been talking with his supervisor about the shooting. They鈥檝e talked about red flag laws, about writing lawmakers and channeling grief and anger into political action. He returns to what he was thinking about the day before, and he wonders if there鈥檚 something deeper at play.
鈥淟ove your neighbor like you love yourself 鈥 but nobody knows their neighbors anymore,鈥 he says. 鈥淓verybody鈥檚 just stuck in [their] own world, and nothing else really matters.鈥
People have tunnel vision, he adds. 鈥淚t鈥檚 all fast-paced, and then it鈥檚 either fast-paced in the right direction or it鈥檚 fast-paced in the wrong direction.鈥
Sitting outside at a Starbucks near his work, he cycles through possible solutions. Hardened schools, red flag laws, raising the age to buy a long gun. But then he cycles through all the arguments against those solutions. Under the fierce Texas sun, he debates himself over and over, until he throws his hands in the air and flashes a rueful smile.
鈥淚t鈥檚 easy to [say], 鈥業t鈥檚 out of our hands,鈥欌 he says. 鈥淏ut how do we 鈥 ah. I guess, where do we start first?鈥
What about taking a step back? We always see the same pattern: an initial wave of grief and anger, and then life moves on, because it has to. Do we need to not move on somehow? How do we do that?
鈥淵ou bottle up the anger, and you shake it up and you use it as a motive,鈥 he says. 鈥淪hove it in front of their face every single time we have to vote. Make sure they know that we do not want this to happen again, it cannot happen again.鈥
鈥淎s long as we try to entertain the reasons why we couldn鈥檛, we鈥檙e never going to see the reasons why we can, and really take on the responsibility to do those things,鈥 he adds.
鈥淎ccept small victories鈥
Reducing gun violence today might seem daunting, perhaps even impossible. But America has handled complex social problems before. Take auto safety in general. Over the past 100 years, the fatality rate per 100 million miles driven has been reduced by 90% due to better roads, traffic engineering, and car devices from seat belts to air bags.
Cutting gun violence will similarly require a systematic approach. Professor Webster compares it to cutting the teen drunken driving rate. Under pressure from the citizen activist group Mothers Against Drunk Driving, states raised the legal drinking age from 18 to 21. Driver education stressed the dangers of inebriation. Driving tipsy became not humorous, but dangerous.
In 2020, Professor Webster analyzing data on specific firearms policies dating back to the 1980s. His takeaway from this was that two things in particular had a strong effect: requiring licenses for firearm purchase, and banning sales of large-capacity ammunition magazines.
Licensing gun owners, akin to licensing drivers, had a powerful effect on all forms of gun violence, including homicides and suicides. Limiting magazines would target mass shootings in particular, which are a limited percentage of gun violence, but have been on the rise.
Following recent school shootings 鈥 such as the Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School shooting in Parkland, Florida, in 2018 and the Sandy Hook Elementary tragedy in Newtown, Connecticut, in 2012 鈥 a number of states acted to expand the background checks required for gun ownership, Professor Webster points out. Nineteen states, including red states Florida and Indiana, now have gun violence restraining 鈥渞ed flag鈥 laws. Child access protection laws, which mandate safe storage of guns in locked safes in homes with children, could also be effective, and possibly passable in the current political environment.
Perhaps most important, following past tragedies a grassroots energy around anti-gun violence activism has arisen in the U.S. 鈥淢oms Demand Action鈥 now has chapters in every state, says Professor Webster.聽
鈥淧arkland started a youth movement that expanded grassroots energy,鈥 he says.
Another expert says that citizens organizing against gun violence might take lessons from another recent social effort 鈥 the push to ban or limit abortions in the U.S.
David Meyer, a sociologist from the University of California, Irvine who has , says the anti-abortion movement demonstrated a number of points that the anti-gun violence advocates should keep in mind. It accepted that social change could take a long time. It showed persistence matters. It learned that public opinion helps, but is not definitive. It was unafraid of partisan politics. It did not ignore the courts.
And it showed that progress can be incremental.
鈥淵ou have to be willing to accept small victories. ... Don鈥檛 be dispirited by getting so much less than you need,鈥 says Professor Meyer.
鈥淕et people talking鈥
Erika Alonzo moved from Uvalde to Austin, Texas, seven years ago. She rushed back this week after the shooting. Her parents settled here after they emigrated from Mexico, and her sisters are teachers in the town. Like everyone else, they have spent the past few days in a state of numb disbelief.
On Thursday, there is a pleasant distraction. Ms. Alonzo鈥檚 nephews are graduating from high school in Laredo, a city two hours away, and the family is hurrying to get on the road.
Leaning against a fence in the front yard, she contemplates the scale of America鈥檚 mass shooting crisis.
鈥淚f we have the right resources, it can be solved,鈥 she says.
Eighteen-year-olds shouldn鈥檛 be able to buy those kinds of guns, for example, she says. But 鈥渋t also starts with the school district, and I just don鈥檛 think they were prepared for it鈥 in Uvalde, she adds.
鈥淲e have very little resources, and they never thought it was going to happen here,鈥 she continues. 鈥淚 think that there鈥檚 a lot of small towns that don鈥檛 think that it鈥檚 going to happen.鈥
The car is filling up, and it鈥檚 almost time to hit the road. Will this be a wake-up call then, for Uvalde at least?
Ms. Alonzo doesn鈥檛 think so. 鈥淚t will be in the news for a little bit, until the next big story,鈥 she says.
But Uvalde has been chaotic this week, and she believes it鈥檚 important that the town remains chaotic. It quickly became clear that the initial timeline law enforcement gave of the shooting didn鈥檛 add up. On Friday, the head of Texas鈥 Department of Public Safety admitted that up to 19 police officers waited more than 78 minutes to break into the classroom, while inside students dialed 911 repeatedly for help.
鈥淚t was the wrong decision. Period,鈥澛燙ol. Steven McCraw said at a press conference.
Uvalde, Ms. Alonzo says, needs to remain the big story.
鈥淜eep the children鈥檚 names in the news. Really make sure that nothing gets covered up, that everyone knows exactly what happened,鈥 says Ms. Alonzo.
鈥淐ontinue to talk about it so that things do change,鈥 she adds. 鈥淕et people angry, get people mad, get people upset, get people talking and wanting to make a change.鈥