Does 'Bridge-builder-in-Chief' Pence have a role in Trump's White House?
After rallying reluctant Republicans to support Donald Trump during the campaign, what's next for Mike Pence? Though he brings valuable insider knowledge, his social conservatism may hamper negotiations with Congress.
Then-Republican vice presidential candidate, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence (second from r.), accompanied by (from l.) Rep. Steve King (R) of Iowa, Sen. Charles Grassley (R) Iowa, and Sen. Ted Cruz (R) Texas, reacts to supporters before speaking at a campaign rally in Prole, Iowa in November.
Charlie Neibergall/AP/File
After joining the ticket in July, Mike Pence played a critical role in uniting congressional Republicans behind their presidential nominee.
During the campaign, he regularly appeared alongside moderate Republican legislators and governors, positioning himself as a 鈥渂ridge鈥 to the Washington establishment Donald Trump publicly scorned. He managed to persuade vocal critics, like Texas senator and Republican primary presidential candidate Ted Cruz, to support Republican presidential nominee Trump. Sens. Kelly Ayotte (R) of New Hampshire and Rob Portman (R) of Ohio publicly announced their plans to .
In fact, some credit Vice President-elect Pence with getting the Republican presidential ticket across the finish line on Tuesday 鈥 and taking the rest of the GOP with it. Now that the election is over, what鈥檚 next for Pence? The vice president-elect, with his years of experience on Capitol Hill, could be an important adviser for Trump, but Pence鈥檚 social conservatism makes it harder for him to be a bridge-builder there, some analysts have suggested.
鈥淭rump has a great deal of momentum [following the campaign] but I think he鈥檚 going to need someone who understands ... how the rules work in Congress,鈥 Patrick Sellers, a professor of political science at Davidson College in Davidson, N.C., tells 海角大神 in a phone interview. However, 鈥済oing forward, in terms of congressional work ... I think Pence is going to have limited utility for Trump,鈥 he says.
Presidents from outside the political establishment have historically turned to their vice presidential picks as key advisers on dealing with Congress. Jimmy Carter depended on Walter Mondale for insights about congressional Democrats, while Ronald Reagan garnered information from George H.W. Bush, who had served in Congress as well as playing other roles in Washington.
Trump may be the purest 鈥渙utsider鈥 of them all. Unlike every preceding president, he has , making the insight of his advisers particularly important.
鈥淧ence does understand how Congress works, and he鈥檚 going to be able to play that kind of advisory role,鈥 explains Professor Sellers. In fact, Pence once served as Republican Conference Chairman, the party鈥檚 third-highest leadership position.聽
However, he may be more limited when it comes to negotiating on policy issues.
鈥淥utside of Biden, I cannot think of a vice president who played a consequential role 鈥 or much of a role at all 鈥 in working with Congress, let alone a major role in legislating,鈥 writes John Johannes, a professor of political science at Villanova University, in an email to the Monitor.聽
That move, he notes, was a calculated choice by President Obama, who knew he didn鈥檛 have the popularity on the Hill that Vice President Joe Biden enjoys. Whether Pence has the opportunity to play such a role may聽come down to President-elect Trump, he suggests, a view echoed by Northeastern University professor of political science William Crotty.
鈥淢ike Pence's role in unifying the party, appealing to its fundamentalist/evangelical wing, working on legislation, will be exactly what Donald Trump decides it will be.聽No more,鈥 writes Professor Crotty in an email to the Monitor.
But Professor Johannes suggests that Trump and Pence cannot expect to replicate Mr. Obama and Mr. Biden鈥檚 behavior, even if they might like to.
鈥淧ence doesn鈥檛 enjoy Biden鈥檚 advantages. He wasn鈥檛 nearly as much of a presence [during his time in Congress] as was Biden,鈥 he explains.
Heather Cox Richardson, a professor of history at Boston College who wrote a history of the Republican Party, "To Make Men Free," says Trump鈥檚 policies have created a fundamental disconnect with Congress.
鈥淒onald Trump wants to drain the swamp. Well, Mitch McConnell is the swamp,鈥 she notes in a phone interview with the Monitor. And Trump, not Pence, would be the person to reach out to congressional Republicans, she suggests.
That may also be true across the aisle. According to Johannes, Democratic leadership is too socially liberal to make common cause with Pence, whereas Trump 鈥 a one-time Democrat 鈥 is pursuing certain policies, such as infrastructure improvements, that may be more appealing. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I) of Vermont, a Democratic primary presidential candidate, has already said that he will work with Trump on issues that improve the lives of ordinary people.
That doesn鈥檛 mean Pence is political dead weight, however. Pence may encourage social conservatives to stick with Trump when they consider his policies too liberal. And his close personal friendship with House Speaker Paul Ryan may be significant in promoting compromise within certain segments of the divided Republican Party.
Pence may also have long-term value to the Trump administration. Sellers suggests that the vice president-elect, while less useful in lobbying on policy issues, may be 鈥渁 more effective advocate鈥 if Trump seeks re-election in 2020.