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Nuclear weapons-free world: a vision of Kennedy, Reagan, Obama

Presidents Kennedy, Reagan, and now, Obama all envisioned a world free of nuclear weapons. The US-Russian START accord, announced Friday, is a next step in that direction, experts say.

US-Russia agreement on a new treaty to reduce nuclear weapons is being hailed as President Obama鈥檚 first real foreign-policy victory and a personal triumph for a leader who envisions a nuclear-weapons-free world.

But that vision stretches back at least as far as President John Kennedy, and actually came tantalizingly close to fruition under President Ronald Reagan.

Indeed, many nuclear disarmament advocates share a sense that the treaty Mr. Obama announced Friday is the first step of many toward a nuclear-free world, given the long-standing and 鈥渃entrist鈥� support behind nuclear-weapons reduction and elimination.

鈥淭his vision of a world without the Damocles sword of nuclear weapons hanging over it, as John Kennedy said, is one whose time has come,鈥� says Joseph Cirincione, president of the Ploughshares Fund, a Washington organization that supports initiatives designed to prevent the spread and use of nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons. 鈥淚t鈥檚 the fact that the idea of moving in this direction is one shared by conservatives and moderates as well as liberals that is giving it such strength.鈥�

START's broader importance

The weapons reductions called for in the follow-on START (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty) accord, to be signed April 8 in Prague, Czech Republic, are themselves not that revolutionary, most disarmament experts say. Russia and the US were already both headed in the direction outlined by the treaty鈥檚 warheads and delivery-systems reductions, they say.

The treaty's broader importance lies in its tone and the direction it sets at a time of rising interest in nuclear-arms reduction and of international steps to advance the vision of a nuclear-weapons-free world. Obama hosts a summit of 44 heads of state in Washington in April to focus on nuclear-materials security. Then, in May, the United Nations holds a five-year review meeting of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT).

The last NPT review conference occurred under an unenthusiastic Bush administration. But the new START should give a boost to the NPT鈥檚 underlying quid pro quo: weapons reductions by nuclear powers (the US and Russia have more than 90 percent of the world鈥檚 nuclear warheads) in exchange for nonnuclear powers verifiably foregoing nuclear weapons in exchange for civilian nuclear energy uses.

First Kennedy, then Reagan, now Obama

It was before the United Nations, in the depths of the cold war, that Kennedy ventured to envision a world free of the nuclear threat. Then, Ronald Reagan 鈥搕he same president who had been vilified by nuclear-freeze advocates because of his arms buildup 鈥� stunned the world by coming close to an accord with Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev to destroy all nuclear weapons within 10 years.

The two leaders came within a word of reaching a no-nukes accord 鈥� that word being 鈥渓aboratory,鈥� Mr. Cirincione says. He says Mr. Gorbachev insisted that Reagan鈥檚 鈥渟tar wars鈥� missile defense project be limited to laboratory research, but Reagan said no and a deal fell through.

But the vision stuck with Reagan鈥檚 secretary of State, George Shultz. It was he who emboldened a little-known Democratic senator from Illinois named Barack Obama, when Mr. Schulz joined another Republican diplomatic icon and two prominent Democrats in 2007 to promote the idea of a nuclear-weapons-free world.

鈥淚t was really the Jan. 7, 2007, Wall Street Journal op-ed by Schulz, Henry Kissinger, Sam Nunn, and William Perry that put the idea of eliminating nuclear weapons back on the map,鈥� Cirincione says. 鈥淵ou can trace the push in this direction from Obama as a political leader from there,鈥� he adds. 鈥淎nd it鈥檚 the impeccably bipartisan and centrist nature of the position they laid out that has allowed it to prosper.鈥�

Will the Senate ratify?

Can the vision of eliminated nuclear weapons survive in a polarized Washington? The new START, a 10-year treaty, will require Senate ratification, and by a two-thirds majority, or 67 senators 鈥� eight more than the Democrats鈥� 59.

The White House took as a good sign a statement from Sen. Richard Lugar (R) of Indiana, ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, that he expects to 鈥渨ork quickly to achieve ratification of this new treaty.鈥�

Several Republican senators, including John Kyl of Arizona and minority leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, had said previously that ratification would fail if the new treaty contained limits on US missile defense programs. The Obama administration has said it does not. (President Obama had already announced modifications to Bush-era missile defense plans that addressed a number of Russia's concerns.)

The biggest threat to the treaty, and the larger goal of a no-nukes world, may be those who argue that it is too pie-in-the-sky for a world of multiple nuclear powers and nuclear wannabes 鈥� including the likes of Iran and North Korea.

鈥淭here鈥檒l be some opposition from the nuclear hawks, but the real resistance is going to come from the cynics who have no particular interest in nuclear weapons but who believe eliminating them is undesirable or unrealistic or can鈥檛 be done by this administration,鈥� Cirincione says. 鈥淭hat kind of cynicism could be quite crippling.鈥�