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Arctic sea ice in 'uncharted territory,' say researchers

As Arctic sea ice melted to the lowest level ever recorded, researchers said they were unprepared for the speed of this facet of climate change. As Arctic ice melts, scientists worry it will add heat and moisture to the globe's climate system.

This image shows the amount of summer sea ice in the Arctic on Sunday, Sept. 16, 2012, at center in white, and the 1979 to 2000 average extent for the day shown with the yellow line. Sea ice in the Arctic shrank to an all-time low on Sunday, Sept. 16, 2012.

AP Photo/U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center

September 20, 2012

Arctic sea ice, a key indicator of climate change, melted to its lowest level on record this year before beginning its autumnal freeze, researchers at theÌýU.S. National Snow and IceÌýData CenterÌýsaid on Wednesday.

The extent of iceÌýprobably hit its low point on Sept. 16, when it covered 1.32 million square miles (3.42 million square km) of the ArcticÌýOcean, the smallest amount since satellite records began 33 years ago.

Changing weather conditions could further shrink the extent, the center said. A final analysis is expected next month.

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The record was broken on Aug. 26, when the iceÌýshrank below the record set in 2007. After that, it kept melting for three more weeks, bringing the iceÌýextent - defined by NSIDC as the area covered by at least 15 percent iceÌý- to nearly half of the 1979-2000 average.

"We are now in uncharted territory,"ÌýMark Serreze, the center's director, said in a statement. "While we've long known that as the planet warms up, changes would be seen first and be most pronounced in the Arctic, few of us were prepared for how rapidly the changes would actually occur."

The summerÌýice isn't just dwindling. It is also thin, relatively fragile seasonal iceÌýinstead of the hardier multi-year iceÌýthat can better withstand bright sunlight.

"The strong late-season decline is indicative of how thin the iceÌýcover is," said NSIDC's Walt Meier. "Ice has to be quite thin to continue melting away as the sun goes down and fall approaches."

The ArcticÌýis a potent weather-maker for the temperate zone, and is sometimes dubbed Earth's air conditioner for its cooling effects. However, as iceÌýwanes and temperatures rise in the far north, the ArcticÌýcould add more heat and moisture to the climate system.

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More extreme weather?

"What happens in the ArcticÌýdoesn't stay in the Arctic," saidÌýDan Lashof, a climate scientist at the nonprofit Natural Resources Defense Council. "This has a real impact on Americans where they live and work."

Melting ArcticÌýice changes the shape and position of the jetstream, allowing tropical air to penetrate further north and ArcticÌýair to penetrate further south, Lashof said in a telephone interview, leading to more extreme weather.

"That is a truly staggering rate of melting, far beyond what scientists thought would happen a few years ago,"ÌýBob WardÌýof theÌýLondon School of EconomicsÌýand Political Science said in a statement. "Policy-makers need to wake up to the scale and pace of the impacts from climate change."

Recent climate models suggest the ArcticÌýcould be free ofÌýiceÌýbefore 2050. But the observed rate of melting is faster than what is shown in many of the models, according to NSIDC scientistÌýJulienne Stroeve.

Both theÌýNorthwest PassageÌýalongÌýCanada's coast and the Northern SeaÌýRoute alongÌýRussiaÌýwere open to traffic this summer, and investors gathered inÌýAlaskaÌýlast month to discuss commercial and transportation opportunities for the Arctic.

The environmental groupÌýGreenpeace InternationalÌýtook issue with that approach.

"Rather than dealing with the root causes of climate change, the current response from our leaders is to watch theÌýiceÌýmelt and then divide up the spoils," the group's executive director,ÌýKumi NaidooÌýsaid in a statement.