Jitters over sovereign debt: Is it time to buy gold?
Some 73 percent of traders believe worries over sovereign debt default may boost the price of gold, a new survey says.
A golden tiger of fortune was on sale at the Beijing Jewelry Exhibition in November. Many traders think that worries about sovereign debt default in Greece or other European countries could boost the price of gold.
A Qing/ChinaFotoPress/Newscom/File
It鈥檚 almost never a good idea to follow a crowd, but it鈥檚 certainly wise to be aware of where it鈥檚 headed.
In today鈥檚 case, a Bloomberg survey has shown that some 73 percent of surveyed traders believe that sovereign debt problems in Europe may serve to boost the price of gold. More below鈥�
According to BusinessWeek:
鈥淣ineteen of 26 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, or 73 percent, said bullion would rise next week. Six forecast lower prices and one was neutral. Gold for delivery in April was up 1.1 percent for this week at $1,131 an ounce at 11:30 a.m. in New York yesterday.
鈥淒emonstrators in Greece, which is struggling to narrow a budget deficit, blocked streets in Athens yesterday to protest austerity measures. Fellow euro-zone members Spain, Portugal and Ireland also face budget gaps. Gold rose to a six-week high of $1,145.80 on March 3 as holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the largest bullion-backed ETF, gained to the highest level in seven weeks.
鈥溾�橳he growing issue of sovereign debt continues to draw investment demand into the market,鈥� James Moore, an analyst at TheBullionDesk.com in London, said in an e-mailed statement.鈥�
The contrarian play would be to bet against the crowd and for some downward pressure on gold prices.
There鈥檚 certainly a case for that strategy, relative to sovereign debt, in light of the measures that Greece seems to be aggressively developing (for the time being).
Still, the traders may be right in the short run, which is rarely going to be straightforward to predict. Gold may have some additional room to gain in value as the inevitable wrinkles in the austerity plan get ironed out, publicly and tumultuously.
Regardless of how you choose to interpret the data, you can review the full details on how gold may gain on concern about sovereign debts at .
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