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Israeli tanks on the Golan Heights fired on and hit a Syria artillery battery on Monday in response to cross-border mortar fire, marking the first time after 18 months of watching the Syrian conflict from the sidelines that the Jewish state has allowed itself to participate.

The Israeli fire, the first hit inside Syrian territory since the 1973 Israel-Arab war, follow weeks in which the Israeli army held its fire as the civil war increasingly spilled across the border with mortar and bullet fire. Syrian tanks also have been entering a United Nations patrolled buffer zone.

But because the Golan spillover is still viewed as the result of errant聽fire rather than intentional, the conflict hasn鈥檛 yet reached a tipping point that will force Jerusalem to become embroiled like Turkey and Jordan, say analysts.

Instead, Israel is likely to stick with its policy of just rooting for the downfall of President Bashar al-Assad 鈥撀爏een here as the link between Iran and the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah 鈥撀爓hile refraining from throwing its lot in with any of the opposition groups, many of whom are seen as Islamist radicals that could destabilize their border.

鈥淚srael would like to stay out. There is nothing we can gain from being involved,鈥欌�� says Shlomo Brom, a fellow at Tel Aviv University鈥檚 Institute for National Security Studies and a former military strategic planning chief. 鈥淲hat is happening on the border is the beginnings of a chaotic situation. If Syria was in full control聽of the border territory, [the fire] wouldn鈥檛 happen.鈥欌��

In recent weeks, mortar fire from Syria has come close to an Israeli kibbutz while errant bullets have damaged a jeep. Meanwhile, Syrian tanks entered the United Nations enforced demilitarized zone between the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and Syria. In all cases, Israel has complained to the United Nations.

Warning shots fired

Yesterday, Israel finally fired a warning shot in response to a mortar that an army outpost. Mr. Brom sees the fire as an effort by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu 鈥� who is starting a reelection campaign聽鈥撀爐o show Israelis that the military isn鈥檛 standing idle amid the violations.

"We are watching the developments closely and will respond accordingly," Mr. Netanyahu said in a statement on Monday. 鈥淲e won鈥檛 allow our borders to be breached or our citizens to be fired on."

In the early days of the uprising, Israeli officials preferred the survival of Syrian President Assad for fear that the alternative would destabilize its northern border. Eventually, however, Israeli officials came to see the fall of the Syrian leader as a strategic blow to Iran and its allies, especially Hezbollah, the Lebanese Shiite militant group.

Israel wary of helping rebels

Though some Israeli politicians and public figures have called on Jerusalem to offer humanitarian assistance and embrace the Syrian rebels, the government鈥檚 attitude is that Israeli intervention won鈥檛 help the opposition and could even backfire.

Moshe Maoz, a Hebrew University professor who is an expert on Syria, says the fire into Israel in recent weeks is accidental and that Assad doesn鈥檛 seek to draw Israel into a conflict for fear that Israel could topple him.

Israeli policy makers, should consider following other Arab states in the region and helping the rebels, he says. It shouldn鈥檛 fear Muslim Brotherhood affiliates of Syria, he said, because they are liable to be pragmatic actors.

鈥淚srael should ally itself with the Sunni Muslim actors in the region,鈥欌�� he says. 鈥淭hey have a common enemy: Iran. If Syria falls, its an important link in the chain.鈥欌��