Ahead of Copenhagen, China sets targets to slow emissions growth
BEIJING 鈥� China pledged on Thursday to slow the rate at which its carbon emissions are growing, but acknowledged that they would continue to rise for the foreseeable future.
This represents a 鈥減ositive and responsible effort,鈥� said Xie Zhenhua, deputy head of China鈥檚 top economic policymaking body, the National Development and Reform Council. 鈥淚t is an ambitious but viable target.鈥�
Ten days before a climate change summit opens in Copenhagen, the world鈥檚 largest emitter of greenhouse gases announced it would emit between 40 and 45 percent less carbon per unit of economic output by 2020 than it did in 2005.
The announcement marks the first time China has set a numerical goal for its carbon emissions. It is seen as an opening bid ahead of the Copenhagen summit, due to set a new roadmap for global action against climate change, but it drew mixed reactions.
鈥淭his is a very serious and impressive commitment,鈥� says Wu Shanghua, China director for the Climate Group, an international nongovernmental organization promoting low-carbon development. 鈥淚t is a very good indicator to the international community that China is taking a leading role.鈥�
Other environmental activists were less enthusiastic. 鈥淭his is a good start,鈥� says Yang Ailun, a climate change analyst with Greenpeace, 鈥渂ut China could do more.鈥�
China鈥檚 negotiating partners in the industrialized world were expected to be disappointed by the target. United States climate negotiator Todd Stern is understood to have urged Beijing privately to pledge cuts in its carbon intensity of at least 50 percent by 2020.
鈥淚f China鈥檚 economy continues to grow at the rate it has over the past 10 to 15 years, the target that has been announced is unlikely to deliver sufficient emissions reductions to avoid irreversible and dangerous climate change,鈥� says one European diplomat.
The British government welcomed what it called 鈥渁n important opening contribution鈥� to the Copenhagen negotiations, but in a statement reminded the Chinese government that they have already committed themselves to 鈥渞educing their emissions by a meaningful deviation from 鈥榖usiness-as-usual鈥� levels.
The flexible goal, of a reduction in carbon intensity of between 40 and 45 percent over 15 years, is in fact less ambitious in numerical terms than China鈥檚 past performance.
Between 1990 and 2005, according to official figures, Beijing cut carbon emissions relative to economic activity by 47 percent.
Mr. Xie, however, insisted that the new goal would actually be harder to reach because many of the worst greenhouse gas culprits, such as small coal-fired power stations, old fashioned cement plants, and inefficient steel mills, have already been closed down.
鈥淭he further you go the harder it gets to increase energy efficiency,鈥� Xie said. 鈥淥ur target seems lower than before but it will be more difficult to meet and the costs will be higher.鈥�
鈥淭here is not so much low-hanging fruit any more,鈥� adds Ms. Wu. 鈥淭here is less room than there used to be to improve.鈥�
Under the Kyoto Protocol, due to be renewed at the Copenhagen meeting, only industrialized countries are obliged to make legally binding commitments to reduce their carbon emissions. Developing nations such as China are asked only to take voluntary steps to mitigate climate change while they pursue industrialization.
Xie said China would have to make 鈥渢remendous and remarkable efforts鈥� to reach the target the government had set, but that if rich countries provided the financial and technological assistance they have pledged 鈥渕aybe we will be able to meet the target at an earlier date.鈥�
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The US unveiled its targets for emissions cuts on Wednesday. Read more about its position here.
