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When a breakup makes you rethink your relationship: Brexit and Germany

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John MacDougall/AP
German enthusiasm for the U.K. was on display as Britain's Prince Charles greets a crowd during his visit to the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin, May 7, 2019.

When Prince Charles, heir to the British throne, and his wife the Duchess of Cornwall visited this historic city recently, thousands of Anglophiles waved Union Jacks and German flags on the central Marktplatz square to greet them.

The royal House of Windsor is hugely popular in Germany, a sentiment that reflects a broader affection for a country long admired as liberal and pragmatic.

That image has been tarnished by the 2016 Brexit referendum taking Britain out of the European Union. But Germany will still miss the U.K. more than other members of the bloc, even if Berlin is counting on continued strong bilateral ties with London after Brexit.

Why We Wrote This

Public sentiment doesn鈥檛 always drive government policy. But Germany鈥檚 disappointment over Brexit may affect its relationship with a good friend 鈥 and how it thinks about the EU鈥檚 future.

Its politicians are bewildered that Britain is turning its back on the post-war European order. 鈥淎fter the horrors of the Second World War, the U.K. was one of the allied forces that welcomed Germany back as a European nation,鈥 points out Norbert R枚ttgen, who heads the German parliament鈥檚 foreign affairs committee. 鈥淭hese historic ties are deeply ingrained in the German collective memory.鈥

Even J眉rgen Klopp, the manager of Europe鈥檚 soccer champions, Liverpool, and the most popular German in Britain, has weighed in. 鈥淚鈥檓 51 years old so I have never experienced a war,鈥 he told the BBC last May. 鈥淲e are really blessed in our generation, but the past showed us that as long as strong partners are together, Europe is a much safer place.鈥

鈥淭he Germans are just shaking their heads and wondering how on earth did this happen,鈥 says Fraser Cameron, senior adviser at the European Policy Center in Brussels. 鈥淭here has been a mixture of exasperation, frustration, and sheer incredulity鈥 over Brexit, he adds. 鈥淣ow the German mood is one of resignation.鈥

A fondness for Britain, unrequited

Jon Worth, an Englishman, has lived in Berlin for six years and is in the process of becoming a German citizen. The author of a popular blog on Brexit, Mr. Worth recalls how, on the day after the British electorate voted to leave the EU in June 2016, he went to his sports club and one of his colleagues 鈥 a technician with the police force 鈥 approached him.

鈥淗e put his arm around me and said: 鈥楯on, don鈥檛 worry, it鈥檒l be okay, you can stay.鈥 The attitude towards me has not changed,鈥 he says. But while there is great fondness for the U.K. among the German elite, he finds, that feeling is not reciprocated. 鈥淚f British politicians have spent any time anywhere else it鈥檚 usually the USA,鈥 Mr. Worth says. 鈥淭here is not any sort of cultural affinity with Germany whatsoever.鈥

Ties are closer on the music front. Closing a recent show at the open-air Zitadelle venue, Kele Okereke, singer in British indie band Bloc Party, told the audience how sad he was that the next time he visited Berlin, Britain would most likely have left Europe. There was a collective shaking of heads in the crowd, a mixture of Berliner 30-somethings and British expats.

Those foreigners are especially concerned about how Brexit will play out. Over 17,000 Britons became naturalized Germans between 2016 and 2018, more than three times as many as in the previous 15 years. 聽A significant number of Brits whose ancestors fled the Nazis are now reclaiming German citizenship.

Thoughts on Boris Johnson

Helmut Scholz, a European Parliament member from the left-wing German party Die Linke, will be sorry to see Britain leave the EU; he is a fan of the U.K., where his daughter went to university and he has close political ties.

But he sees Brexit as a useful warning sign. 鈥淲e have similar [nationalist] tendencies in all EU member states,鈥 he points out. We were critical of the [British] decision to leave but we need to ask the question within the EU what we can do to stop other countries taking the same decision. It is time for European countries to recognize their common values and responsibilities in a common market and show we are willing to protect these values,鈥 says Mr. Scholz.

Mr. Scholz, who is personally acquainted with the British Labour party leader Jeremy Corbyn, has an especially sour view of Boris Johnson, the champion of Brexit who is expected to be Britain鈥檚 next prime minister. Mr. Johnson has made himself unpopular with Germans for a series of anti-German remarks, including comparing the EU to the Third Reich. 鈥淚t will be interesting if Boris Johnson really becomes the new prime minister, as everyone expects. Poor Britain!鈥 says Mr. Sholz.

That attitude is shared across the German political spectrum. In an interview with the British parliamentary magazine The House, Elmar Brok, a long-time associate of conservative Chancellor Angela Merkel, said he enjoyed Mr. Johnson鈥檚 company but did not think he was suitable to be leader of his country.

During the European elections campaign, the Social Democrats tweeted a picture of Mr. Johnson dangling from a zip-wire waving a Union Jack with the caption, 鈥淭his is what happens when populists muscle in: Chaos.鈥

Ties that still bind

Many Germans still harbor the hope Britain will opt for a second referendum and end up staying.

鈥淭he discussions in the aftermath of the referendum have shown how difficult it is to reverse 40 years of EU integration. Since the negative repercussions of Brexit have only become clear after the vote, a second referendum to revoke or confirm one鈥檚 position in my view seems sensible,鈥 says Dr. R枚ttgen.

Even if this doesn鈥檛 happen, ties will remain strong, not least because of the two countries鈥 trade relationship. The U.K. is Germany鈥檚 fourth most important export destination and Germany is Britain鈥檚 second biggest foreign market after the United States.

Beyond that, 鈥渢he U.K. and Germany stand together on every major international issue which confronts us, from global trade to the nuclear deal with Iran, to climate change,鈥 Britain鈥檚 ambassador to Germany, Sir Sebastian Wood, said in an interview with a local English-language newspaper last year. 鈥淭hat won鈥檛 change. Why should it?鈥

聽鈥淭he relationship with Britain is still very close and that hasn鈥檛 changed,鈥 agrees Mr. Scholz. 鈥淵oung people are very disappointed with Brexit, and they don鈥檛 understand it, but that doesn鈥檛 affect the bilateral relationship.鈥

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