海角大神

As global reach grows, China builds military to match

President Xi has implemented sweeping reforms to modernize the People's Liberation Army 鈥 which celebrated its 90th anniversary this week 鈥 and protect China's expanding economic influence. But as its ambitions increase, so does the risk of conflict.

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Andy Wong/ AP
Chinese paramilitary policemen march outside the Great Hall of the People after attending a ceremony to commemorate the 90th anniversary of the founding of the People's Liberation Army in Beijing on Tuesday, Aug. 1, 2017.
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China Daily via Reuters
Soldiers of China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) take part in a military parade to commemorate the 90th anniversary of the foundation of the army at the Zhurihe military training base in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, China on July 30, 2017.

The military parade China held on Sunday to celebrate the 90th anniversary of the People鈥檚 Liberation Army was an impressive show of force. More than 12,000 troops marched at the remote Zhurihe training base in Inner Mongolia, about 250 miles north of Beijing, as President Xi Jinping looked on from an open-top jeep.

On display were 600 pieces of military hardware and more than 100 aircraft, nearly half of which were making their public debut, according to the Defense Ministry. They included new and improved intercontinental ballistic missiles, surface-to-air missiles, stealth fighters, and drones specifically designed to target radar systems.

Two days later, China formally opened its first overseas military base in the Horn of Africa nation of Djibouti.

The message sent by these two high-profile events was clear: as China seeks to expand its global clout and position itself as an international leader, it wants to have the military to match. Years of double-digit percentage increases in the defense budget have led China to become the world's second-largest military spender after the United States.听

鈥淭he duty of the PLA [People鈥檚 Liberation Army] is to protect China鈥檚 national interests,鈥 says Zhao Gancheng, a senior fellow at the Shanghai Institute for International Studies. 鈥淚f China鈥檚 national interests expand to other parts of the world, its military ability will extend to those areas as well.鈥

A modern fighting force

The opening of the base in Djibouti is only the latest in a series of military milestones China has reached this year. In April, it launched its first domestically built aircraft carrier from the northeast port of Dalian. Then, in July, Chinese warships held drills with the Russian Navy in the Baltic Sea, more than 6,000 miles from their home ports 鈥 and in NATO鈥檚 backyard. The drills were China鈥檚 first war games in those waters.

China's military hasn't always been so well-equipped and far-flung.听Formed in 1927, the PLA originally fought against听China鈥檚 then-ruling Kuomintang, or Nationalists. After the PLA chased the Nationalists across the Taiwan Strait in 1949, it gained the reputation of being a bloated,

The modernization of China鈥檚 military has accelerated in recent years under Mr. Xi. As chairman of the Central Military Commission, Xi has implemented sweeping reforms aimed at transforming the PLA into a modern fighting force, including a reduction of 300,000 troops and a far-reaching crackdown on corruption. On Sunday, Xi said it was important for China to have a strong military 鈥渘ow more than any other time in history.鈥澨

鈥淣o one should expect us to swallow bitter fruit that is harmful to our sovereignty, security, or development interests,鈥 he added on Tuesday, at a ceremony to mark the anniversary in Beijing鈥檚 Great Hall of the People. 鈥淭he Chinese people love peace. We will never seek aggression or expansion, but we have the confidence to defeat all invasions.鈥

Guarding land and influence

With a standing military of 2.3 million members 鈥 the largest in the world 鈥 China has plenty of reasons to feel confident. But as the country鈥檚 global ambitions grow, so too does the risk of military conflict.

The South China Sea has long been a source of tension between China and its neighbors, as well as the United States. And now the country is bogged down in an armed standoff with India over a sliver of land in the Himalayas.

How China manages these disputes could have far-reaching implications for regional security, especially as it angles to supplant the US as the predominant military power in Asia. In his speech on Tuesday, Xi issued a tough line on national sovereignty, saying China will never permit the loss of 鈥渁ny piece鈥 of its land to outsiders.

鈥淐hina doesn鈥檛 want to have gunboat diplomacy used against it,鈥 says Carlyle Thayer, an emeritus professor at the Australian Defence Force Academy at the University of New South Wales in Canberra. 鈥淚t certainly has ambitions to deploy farther to better protect itself and its national interests.鈥

China鈥檚 ambitious 鈥淥ne Belt, One Road鈥 initiative is the largest example of its growing influence beyond its own borders 鈥 and its need for an expanded global military presence.听Through the initiative, Beijing has pledged $900 billion for the construction of infrastructure projects across Central Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.

But building roads, dams, and ports in many of these regions 鈥 some of the most unstable in the world 鈥 comes with serious challenges. Take Pakistan, for example, where China plans to spend $57 billion on joint infrastructure and industrial projects. Militants have killed more than 40 Pakistani workers on and around project sites since 2014. As China鈥檚 military capabilities improve, how the country uses them to protect its economic interests in places like Pakistan remains to be seen.

A long road ahead

Chinese officials say the new base in Djibouti 鈥 which they officially describe as a logistics facility 鈥 will enable China to better support anti-piracy operations off the coast of Somalia and peacekeeping operations across Africa. China has 2,400 troops serving as United Nations peacekeepers on the continent.

American military analysts say the base is a major strategic development for Beijing鈥檚 growing global ambitions and a possible threat to the longstanding dominance of the US military in Africa and the Middle East. Camp Lemonnier, America鈥檚 only permanent military installation in Africa, is just a few miles away.

Experts like Dr. Thayer, however, say that China has a long way to go before it catches up to the US on military grounds. The US spends more money on defense than the next seven countries combined 鈥撎齛bout $600 billion in 2016 alone. China has two aircraft carriers; the US has 10, with two more under construction.

Perhaps most importantly, the US has a large network of alliances that helps it maintain hundreds of bases with听tens of thousands of troops in dozens of countries around the world.

鈥淔or China, there is no alliance system like the US has,鈥 Thayer says. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization, a regional security group, is likely the closest thing.

鈥淲here would China be able to put 38,000 troops in the world and be welcomed?鈥 Thayer asks, a reference to the number of American听troops听stationed in South Korea. 鈥淚 can鈥檛 see that happening for decades.鈥

Xie Yujuan contributed reporting.

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