海角大神

Venezuela's leftist President Hugo Ch谩vez never misses a chance to put himself front and center.

After the Honduran military ousted President Manuel Zelaya on June 28, Mr. Ch谩vez loudly condemned the US for a lukewarm response and said he would send his own forces to Central America to boost his ally if need be.

But when Mr. Zelaya returned to Tegucigalpa after three months in exile on Monday, he conspicuously turned to Brazil for help, not Venezuela. As police fired tear gas at Zelaya supporters on Tuesday, he was holed up in Brazil's embassy, not Venezuela's.

Brazil's Foreign Minister Celso Amorim stood behind Zelaya saying Tuesday that his country will not tolerate any actions against the embassy.

It could be a calculated political decision on the part of Zelaya 鈥� to distance himself from Ch谩vez, a polarizing figure in Honduras. Though Zelaya denies it, his foes say he was following the steps of his Venezuelan ally, particularly in regard to his alleged desire to change the Constitution to scrap presidential term limits, which was the reason for his ouster. Yet whether calculated or by default, Zelaya's refuge in the Brazilian embassy eclipses any role, for now at least, that Ch谩vez may have hoped to play in this political crisis.

"Seeking asylum with Brazil shows that [Zelaya] thinks Brazil is the neutral voice in the crisis, not the US, Costa Rica, [or] Venezuela. He's essentially throwing in his lot with the party he thinks has the best chance to get him restored to power," says Eric Farnsworth, vice president of the Council of the Americas, a consultancy based in New York. "It's a tangible representation of a power shift in the region."

Zelaya, a Ch谩vez ally

It is clear that Zelaya and Ch谩vez remain staunch allies. Ch谩vez, who calls Honduras's interim leaders "coup mongers," has seized every possible opportunity to rail against the US for not coming down harder on leaders in Honduras.

Mr. Farnsworth says he believes that a prolonged crisis in Honduras works in Ch谩vez's political favor. "So long as it remains unsettled," he says, "he can work with it to somehow blame the United States and promote his own interests."

But Ch谩vez's flair for rhetoric has been tempered in this case by the unusual fact that Ch谩vez and the US are on the same side, says Rafael Cortez, a political analyst at the Tend锚ncias consulting group in S茫o Paulo, Brazil. "Ch谩vez's rhetoric loses some of its force, in this case he and Obama are both defending the Constitutional order," Mr. Cortes says.

Anti-Ch谩vez sentiment in Honduras?

Mr. Chavez's lack of a role isn't for wont of trying, however. It was Ch谩vez who announced to the world that Zelaya had returned home. "President Manuel Zelaya, along with four companions, traveled for two days overland, crossing mountains and rivers, risking their lives. They have made it to Honduras," Ch谩vez trumpeted on Monday.

But Zelaya, perhaps worried about the lack of Honduran support for Ch谩vez's radical brand of leftism and anti-American bombast, appears to have returned the favor by keeping Ch谩vez at arms reach.

Ch谩vez's footprint on his return is counterproductive for Zelaya, given the strong rejection that so many in Honduras give the Venezuelan leader, says Kevin Casas-Zamora, the former vice president of Costa Rica and now at the Brookings Institution. It could raise questions about Zelaya's real intent to start a "process of national dialogue," says Mr. Casas-Zamora. "This only confirms in the eyes of the people in government that the person behind the plot of his return is Hugo Ch谩vez."

The episode is not likely to stoke tensions between Brazil and Venezuela, though, even as each seeks to hold the mantle of regional leader. Ch谩vez and Brazilian president Luiz In谩cio Lula da Silva are allies and they are clearly on the same side. "Lula has a good relationship with Ch谩vez in spite of the differences in the tone of their discourse," says Cortes.