海角大神

As South Sudan's army continues its fight against rebel forces it claims are backed by the Khartoum government, the question of how everyday South Sudanese caught in the crossfire can and should be protected is becoming increasingly urgent.

I on how the United Nations Mission in Sudan (UNMIS) may be ceding ground on its relatively robust civilian protection mandate. According to an internal UN document鈥檚 account of recent events, the UN peacekeeping mission accepted the Sudan People鈥檚 Liberation Army鈥檚 鈥渄emand鈥� that the UN cease all operations in a 鈥渘o-go鈥� zone specified by the army due to its own military campaign against George Athor, a southern rebel commander who launched a revolt against the southern government after losing his bid to be governor of volatile Jonglei state in last April鈥檚 elections.

This is not the first time the UN mission has come under fire for failing to intervene to protect civilians 鈥渦nder imminent threat of physical violence,鈥� to quote the Chapter VII element of . Another notable instance was in 2009, when intercommunal violence 鈥� which largely took the form of armed cattle-raiding 鈥� killed some 2,500 southerners. In that case, the blue helmets could, in theory, have come in to protect villagers in places like Jonglei state who came under attack from armed raiders seeking to steal their cattle or cause them other harm. In practice, despite UN attempts to preemptively protect civilians by setting up 鈥渢emporary operating bases鈥� in particularly vulnerable locations, little on-the-spot intervention occurred when violence broke out.

In this latest instance of the UNMIS taking heat on protection issues, the challenges are clearly different. The South Sudanese army has declared war on an intransigent rebel movement posing serious security threats within its territory and the UN mission has, at least for the moment, stepped aside to let this operation go ahead, turning its head at least a little to the side to avoid noticing the likely collateral damages that will accrue to civilians unable to escape the army-rebel violence on their doorsteps.

Civilian protection is not a cut-and-dry affair, and word in the south's capital of Juba is that the UN is attempting to renegotiate access into the 鈥渘o-go areas鈥� it accepted to stay out of ten days ago, but at the very least the current quandary illustrates the myriad challenges that tend to block success in peacekeeping missions saddled with 鈥淧oC鈥� (protection of civilians) responsibilities.

Another reason why these issues are particularly relevant in South Sudan at the moment is that less than four months before South Sudan declares independence and becomes the world鈥檚 newest country, some key players in the UN鈥檚 New York-based Department of Peacekeeping Operations are here in the south scoping out what 鈥渢he future of UNMIS鈥� looks like. In fact, the mission will not be called UNMIS, since it will be a whole new mission with a new mandate and arrangement with the newly sovereign Southern Sudanese government. More on all this over the coming weeks鈥�

鈥� Maggie Fick is a freelance journalist based in Juba, Sudan who blogs .