Republican offers Obama a road map for what to do in Iraq
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| Washington
President Obama must come up with a strategy that 鈥渄isrupts鈥 the Islamic jihadists controlling swaths of Iraq and Syria, said Rep. Mike Rogers (R) of Michigan, the chairman of the House intelligence committee, at a Monitor breakfast on Wednesday.
Possible air strikes are a tactic, not a strategy, he said, later outlining what he thinks the US should do:
鈥淵ou have to directly target command and control and leadership in a way that is disruptive鈥 to the jihadists, known as the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS). That targeting, he said, must begin by destroying ISIS鈥檚 safe haven 鈥 its training camps and supply line 鈥 in eastern Syria.
Only then can the besieged Iraqi government have the 鈥渂reathing room鈥 it needs for political reconciliation, the outgoing intelligence chairman said. And, he added, a strategic blow to ISIS in Syria would also help thwart the Al Qaeda affiliate from expanding into Lebanon 鈥 which is part of its strategic goal of building a caliphate in the Middle East.
鈥淚f they ever decide to turn that around and head toward Lebanon, they are going to need that supply line both ways,鈥 he said.聽
Disrupting ISIS could mean US air strikes, and it could mean US Special Forces, though not 鈥渂ig troops鈥 on the ground, said Representative Rogers, who is leaving Congress at the end of this term to host a radio show for Cumulus Media.
Of all the global threats to the United States, Al Qaeda and its affiliates 鈥 including ISIS 鈥搘orry Rogers the most. While ISIS may be focused on building an Islamic caliphate in the Mideast now, its fighters have access to western passports, which could allow them to reach Europe and the US, he said.
This is why Tuesday鈥檚 decision by a US federal court declaring the no-fly list unconstitutional is a 鈥渞ecipe for disaster,鈥 in Rogers鈥檚 view.
Looking back, Rogers said the sudden sweep of ISIS into Iraq was not an intelligence failure, but a policy one, and he blamed the president for not acting during the three-year buildup of jihadists in Syria 鈥 despite the urging of Arab allies and members of Congress such as himself.
On a more positive note, he said that Sunnis in Iraq are already 鈥渃haffing鈥 under the control of ISIS, which is instituting sharia law that disregards the role of resident tribal leaders. Local mullahs are also losing some of their influence. It was such chafing that led to the Iraqi Sunni 鈥渁wakening鈥 that helped root out Al Qaeda terrorists during the Iraq war.
Rogers listed other serious global threats to the United States, including North Korea鈥檚 march toward nuclear weapons and China鈥檚 aggressiveness in the militarization of space and toward territorial claims in the South China Sea.
He believes 鈥渟ome maritime skirmish鈥 will occur between either China and Vietnam or Japan within the next 24 months. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 think it will be huge,鈥 but there will be a skirmish, which is important because 40 percent of the world鈥檚 trade goes through the South China Sea. The US Navy has been there 鈥渟ince we鈥檝e been a country,鈥 he said, and 鈥渨hen China starts telling us that the US Navy can鈥檛 be in the South China Sea, that鈥檚 a huge, significant strategic threat to the United States.鈥
The various threats, but especially that from Al Qaeda and its affiliates, he said, show why it鈥檚 important for the US to stay engaged around the world. It's a point he intends to make on his talk show.