Has Ted Cruz peaked?
Where does Ted Cruz go from here? The freshman Texas senator was the face of tea party resistance to Obamacare during the recent unpleasantness over funding the government and raising the US debt ceiling. That won him plaudits from the conservative side of his party but also embittered his Democratic and establishment Republican enemies. Given that, his future role in Congress itself appears unclear.
Not that he鈥檚 sorry about anything that happened. To the contrary, he remains unapologetic about his role in the fight and says he doesn鈥檛 care about the enmity he鈥檚 earned.
鈥淚鈥檓 not serving in office because I desperately needed 99 new friends in the Senate,鈥� Senator Cruz told in an on-camera interview.
Nor is he holding out an olive branch to his own chamber鈥檚 Republican leadership. Cruz told Mr. Karl that he still believes most of the Senate GOP surrendered rather than fight a battle against Obamacare that could have been won.
鈥淪enate Republicans made the choice not to support House Republicans,鈥� Cruz said.
He was even blunter this week in an interview with a conservative radio station, accusing Senate Republicans of 鈥渂ombing our own troops.鈥�
Wow, that is fairly tough language to use on folks who are at least supposed to be on your side. In the aftermath of a bruising week for congressional Republicans, it sure looks like Cruz is doing his best to continue irritating his own party leadership. That ensures he鈥檒l have virtually no influence within the Senate itself 鈥� not that he probably cares.
The chamber has always been divided between 鈥渋nside鈥� senators fond of working the levers of legislative power (think LBJ) and 鈥渙utside鈥� senators who use their office as a position to publicly push issues and develop influence, thus working on the legislative process via outside pressure (Edward Kennedy in his early years).
Cruz, for instance, won鈥檛 rule out further attempts to shut down the government when just-approved spending expires in January. But Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell said flatly on Thursday with National Review鈥檚 Robert Costa that 鈥渁 government shutdown is off the table. We鈥檙e not going to do it.鈥�
Offered an opportunity to comment on Cruz, Senator McConnell added that he had nothing to say. Translation: We in the Senate GOP leadership will do everything we can to make sure a freshman senator from Texas does not again push the party into traffic and wander away.
Of course, that makes Cruz鈥檚 fans like him all the more. Tea party Republicans want to fight, and they see Cruz and his ally Sen. Mike Lee of Utah as among the few Republican senators willing to metaphorically tie themselves to the railroad tracks as the Obamacare Express roars towards the station.
Former GOP Sen. Jim DeMint, president of the right-leaning Heritage Foundation, laid out this worldview in a Thursday. The costs of Obamacare will wreck the country, Mr. DeMint said, and given the stakes, the fight against it should use every legislative means available.
The government shutdown was not a debacle for the GOP, but a net positive, DeMint argued.
鈥淸Obamacare's] disastrous launch was spotlighted by our defund struggle, not overshadowed, as some contend. With a revived and engaged electorate, Obamacare will now be the issue for the next few years,鈥� he wrote.
Nor should the GOP just focus on winning back the White House and Senate as a better means of repealing the law. Americans should not have to wait three more years for relief, DeMint argued.
Heritage Action and its allies 鈥渁re thankful for the courageous leadership of people like Sens. Ted Cruz and Mike Lee,鈥� DeMint concluded.
Back home, Cruz鈥檚 major financial backers support his actions, too. Unlike his fellow Texas senator, John Cornyn, Cruz did not get big bucks from the state鈥檚 business interests. His biggest chunks of cash came from activist groups such as the Senate Conservatives Fund and Club for Growth, according to the campaign watchdog group . They鈥檝e to fight Obamacare.
But in terms of elected office, it鈥檚 not too soon to ask if Cruz鈥檚 career has peaked. While he鈥檚 been widely mentioned as a possible candidate for president in 2016, his recent star turn has polarized public opinion about him.
Since June, his in general has doubled, according to Gallup data. He鈥檚 now viewed unfavorably by 36 percent of Americans and favorably by 26 percent.
He鈥檚 extremely popular among self-described tea party Republicans, according to a Pew survey. They give him a 74 percent favorable rating, up some 27 points since July. But his approval rating among non-tea party Republicans has been falling, with some 31 percent of this group rating him negatively.
Wrapped together, those numbers mean that for 2016, he would at least be a factional candidate with a shot at winning the GOP nomination, but little chance of winning the general election.
