While some red-state Democrats and Republicans like Cornyn look like 鈥渘o鈥� votes that need to be persuaded, Republican Sens. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Susan Collins of Maine look like 鈥渁yes鈥� waiting to step forward.
Neither senator has endorsed the legislation, 脿 la Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) of New Hampshire, a close confidante of two of the bill鈥檚 main sponsors. She gave her support to the measure before it landed on the Senate floor.
But beyond the fact that Senators Murkowski and Collins both have a pragmatic streak, there are hints that they could back the measure.
Collins is the only co-sponsor of Senator Leahy鈥檚 amendment to offer same-sex couples equal immigration treatment. While that鈥檚 not tantamount to adopting the bevy of immigration changes in the bill, it is evidence that Collins 鈥� up for (a largely assured) reelection in 2014 in the blue state of Maine 鈥� has a different political calculus than many Republicans.
In Murkowski鈥檚 case, she signed a letter from the three-person Alaska delegation (which includes Begich and Republican Rep. Don Young), affirming that they would consider the legislation 鈥渨ith open minds and open hearts.鈥�
While that, too, is far short of a commitment to vote for the bill, the letter鈥檚 opening paragraphs, which stress Alaska鈥檚 diverse population and its history of welcoming of refugees, cast immigration reform as proposed by the Gang of Eight in a positive light.
鈥淲e want our country鈥檚 11 million undocumented people to be welcomed and to have a place to belong 鈥� free of fear,鈥� the letter reads, quoting a leader of a group of native Alaskans.
With Senator Ayotte, Murkowski, and Collins in the fold, Senate leaders will be, at worst, within a vote or two of the 60 senators needed to pass the legislation and perhaps pushing up toward their target of 70 affirmatives.
If Murkowski and Collins break against the bill, that would almost certainly be among the signals of its doom.
