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New Hampshire鈥檚 Republican governor described Don Bolduc as a 鈥渃onspiracy theory extremist鈥� just two months ago. But now, a week before Election Day, Gov. Chris Sununu is vowing to support him. And the leader of the GOP鈥檚 campaign to retake the U.S. Senate stood at Mr. Bolduc鈥檚 side over the weekend and called him 鈥渁 true patriot.鈥�

鈥淚鈥檓 here for one reason, and that鈥檚 to make sure Don Bolduc is the next U.S. senator,鈥� Rick Scott, a Florida senator and chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, told dozens of voters on Sunday gathered inside an Atkinson, New Hampshire, community center.

鈥淗ere鈥檚 a guy who鈥檚 a true patriot,鈥� Mr. Scott said as he introduced Mr. Bolduc, a retired Army general. 鈥淗e served his country. He believes. He cares.鈥�

The New Hampshire dynamic reflects the emboldened GOP鈥檚 increasing confidence in candidates who party leaders believed were essentially unelectable 鈥� or at least seriously flawed 鈥� just weeks or months ago. But heading into the final full week of the 2022 midterms, Republican leaders are betting that anti-Democratic political headwinds will supersede what Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell himself called 鈥渃andidate quality鈥� issues in his own party.

Republican Senate contenders from Arizona to Georgia and North Carolina to New Hampshire are grappling with revelations about their personal lives, extreme positions, and weak fundraising. Yet they may be in position to win on Nov. 8. Leaders in both parties believe Republicans are poised to take the House majority, with control of the Senate in sight as well.

At the same time, Republicans are waging competitive battles for governorships in swing states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin.

As Republican optimism grows, Democrats have been forced into a defensive position with voters looking to punish the party that controls Washington for surging inflation, crime concerns, and general pessimism about the direction of the country. Saddled by weak approval ratings, the leader of the Democratic Party, President Joe Biden, has avoided many of the nation鈥檚 most competitive battlegrounds for fear he would do his party more harm than good.

Mr. Biden is set to spend the night before Election Day at a rally in deep-blue Maryland. He鈥檒l travel this week to New Mexico and California, two Democratic strongholds where Republicans are threatening to make gains.

Former President Barack Obama rallied voters in Michigan and Wisconsin over the weekend.

鈥淚 understand why people are anxious,鈥� Mr. Obama said in Detroit. 鈥淢oping is not an option.鈥�

It was first lady Jill Biden, not her husband, who campaigned with New Hampshire Sen. Maggie Hassan on Saturday. The first lady called New Hampshire鈥檚 Senate contest 鈥渁n enormous race鈥� and encouraged volunteers to 鈥渄ig a little deeper鈥� and 鈥渨ork a little harder鈥� in the coming days.

In an interview moments before taking the stage with the first lady, Ms. Hassan refused to say whether she wanted Mr. Biden to run for a second term when asked.

鈥淗ow about we just get through 2022?鈥� Ms. Hassan said. 鈥淭hat鈥檚 obviously his decision to make.鈥�

The GOP鈥檚 embrace of risky Senate contenders has been playing out for months in states like Georgia, where $60 million will have been spent on television advertising to benefit Republican Herschel Walker by Election Day. That backing comes even as Mr. Walker confronts reports of violence and mental health issues from his past and more recent allegations that he paid at least two women to have abortions. Mr. Walker has denied the abortion allegations.

The Republican Party is also rallying behind Arizona Senate contender Blake Masters, a so-called election denier viewed as deeply flawed by GOP leaders earlier in the year. Washington Republicans aggressively recruited outgoing Gov. Doug Ducey to run for the Senate, but Mr. Ducey declined.

Mr. Masters, a 36-year-old venture capitalist, is now the GOP鈥檚 only hope to defeat incumbent Sen. Mark Kelly, a retired astronaut. Ignoring Mr. Masters鈥� embrace of former President Donald Trump鈥檚 lies about the 2020 election, former Vice President Mike Pence campaigned for the Arizona Republican recently and called him 鈥渙ne of the brightest stars in the Republican Party.鈥�

In North Carolina, local Republicans have raised concerns about the strength of Trump-backed Republican Senate candidate Ted Budd. The congressman who has struggled to energize Republican voters in his campaign against Democrat Cheri Beasley, a former chief justice on the state Supreme Court. Local GOP officials openly criticized Mr. Budd for skipping a recent debate against Ms. Beasley, although over the last week Sens. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Tom Cotton of Arkansas, and Ted Cruz of Texas campaigned with him.

It鈥檚 been much the same in Ohio, where local officials have spoken out against Mr. Trump鈥檚 preferred Senate candidate, J.D. Vance, a venture capitalist who has promoted the former president鈥檚 election lies and underwhelmed as a fundraiser.

Steven Law, a chief McConnell ally who runs the McConnell-aligned super PAC known as the Senate Leadership Fund, says that apparent flaws in candidates 鈥� including those who have railed against Mr. McConnell himself 鈥� are far less important than the party鈥檚 ultimate goal this fall: winning.

鈥淎t the end of the day, our focus is on winning the majority. And I feel like a lot of those concerns have faded into the background as we work toward that goal,鈥� Mr. Law said in an interview.

Still, the Senate Leadership Fund shifted roughly $6 million it had planned to invest in the New Hampshire Senate race to Pennsylvania in recent days, suggesting it was essentially giving up on Mr. Bolduc. But just days later, the NRSC invested another $1 million 鈥� and Mr. Scott, its chairman, campaigned with Mr. Bolduc, sending the unmistakable message that the GOP stands behind the controversial New Hampshire Republican.

Over the weekend, a conservative group aligned with the conservative Heritage Fund invested another $1 million into Mr. Bolduc鈥檚 candidacy.

Meanwhile, Mr. Bolduc continues to rail against Washington leadership in both parties as he wages an aggressive retail campaign across New Hampshire. In a brief interview before a Windham town hall on Saturday, Mr. Bolduc said he would work to replace Mr. McConnell and other Republican leaders if elected.

鈥淭he leadership on both sides have drug us into the mess that we see ourselves in. I鈥檓 the only candidate that says that,鈥� Mr. Bolduc said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 a Republican problem. It鈥檚 a Democrat problem.鈥�

Inside the town hall, one Mr. Bolduc supporter mistakenly believed that Mr. Bolduc backed abortion rights. She sought to clarify his position as he shook her hand before taking the stage.

鈥淚 have a question,鈥� said the voter, who declined to give her name. 鈥淎re you pro-choice?鈥�

鈥淚 am pro-life,鈥� Mr. Bolduc responded.

He added that he would not support a federal ban on abortion and instead prefers to let the issue be decided at the state level. That鈥檚 despite telling Republicans in Dover, New Hampshire, earlier in the year: 鈥淚鈥檓 not going to vote contrary to pro-life. I respect life from the beginning to the end.鈥�

Mr. Sununu, the New Hampshire governor who Washington Republicans tried and failed to recruit for the Senate contest, addressed his change of heart on Mr. Bolduc during a Sunday appearance on NBC鈥檚 鈥淢eet the Press.鈥� In August, Mr. Sununu had dismissed Mr. Bolduc as 鈥渘ot a serious candidate鈥� and a 鈥渃onspiracy theory extremist.鈥�

鈥淒on and I didn鈥檛 see eye to eye during the primary,鈥� Mr. Sununu said. 鈥淏ut again, I鈥檓 going to support the Republican ticket because the issues that folks are voting on are inflation, gas prices, heating oil, which is skyrocketing here in New Hampshire and causing a major concern.鈥�

Mr. Sununu was not asked about Mr. Bolduc鈥檚 repeated allegations of voter fraud in New Hampshire.

Mr. Bolduc has softened his tone since winning the GOP primary, but during a debate last week, he falsely claimed voters had been bused into the state to vote illegally. And when asked about the integrity of the 2020 election at a town hall earlier in the month, he said, 鈥淚 can鈥檛 say whether it was stolen or not.鈥�

Meanwhile, Ms. Hassan, a former Democratic governor with a massive fundraising advantage, acknowledged that Mr. Bolduc is waging a competitive campaign.

鈥淒on Bolduc has been working really hard to conceal his extremism from the people of New Hampshire,鈥� she said. 鈥淗e is the most extreme U.S. Senate nominee we have seen in modern New Hampshire history.鈥�

Michigan Sen. Gary Peters, who leads the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, predicted Democrats would retain their narrow Senate majority because of the sharp contrast in the quality of candidates.

鈥淭he Republicans have put up a cast of characters who are extreme and not ready for 鈥� not just prime-time, but any time,鈥� Mr. Peters said. 鈥淭here鈥檚 not a red wave. And we will win. But these are going to be close races.鈥�

This story was reported by The Associated Press. Associated Press writers Gary Robertson in Raleigh, North Carolina, and Bill Barrow in Atlanta contributed to this report.