Quagmire? Nine years on, Americans grow weary of war in Afghanistan
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Until recently, the nine-year conflict in Afghanistan had become 鈥渢he forgotten war鈥 for many Americans 鈥 a complaint increasingly heard among US troops there.
But this week鈥檚 sacking of Gen. Stanley McChrystal as US commander puts Afghanistan 鈥 and especially how the fight against the Taliban is going 鈥 squarely back into public thought and concern.
Most Americans agree with Obama that McChrystal had to go, polls show. But they鈥檙e far less supportive of the conflict itself, weary of what鈥檚 become the longest war in US history.
A recent Rasmussen Reports telephone finds that just 41 percent 鈥渘ow believe it is possible for the United States to win the nearly nine-year-old war in Afghanistan.鈥 More to the point, a plurality of 48 percent now say ending the war in Afghanistan is a more important goal than winning it.
IN PICTURES: Fighting continues in Afghanistan
Meanwhile, 53 percent of those polled by Newsweek disapprove of how Obama is managing the war 鈥 a sharp reversal since February when 55 percent supported Obama on Afghanistan and just 27 percent did not. (Put another way, the percentage of Americans who disapprove of Obama鈥檚 Afghan policy has nearly doubled in four months.)
The same that 鈥46 percent of respondents think America is losing the war in Afghanistan (26 percent say the military is winning). A similar plurality think the US is losing the broader war on terrorism (43 percent vs. 29 percent)鈥︹
Part of this has to do with the nature of a counterinsurgency (COIN) effort 鈥 a phrase and acronym which has been around at least since the early days of Vietnam. Even when it works, counterinsurgency can take years. And the two most recent major examples 鈥 France in Algeria and the United States in Vietnam 鈥 hardly worked. Hearts and minds must be won, not only in the war zone, but at home as well.
In naming Gen. David Petraeus as McChrystal鈥檚 replacement, President Obama emphasized that there would be no change in war policy or strategy. The goal is still to defeat the Taliban, develop Afghan army and police forces, and seriously consider withdrawing US forces in little more than a year from now.
But as Tony Karon at time.com points out, 鈥渢he mounting difficulties facing that strategy were certainly a primary driver of the internecine backstabbing that was laid bare by the Rolling Stone article that got McChrystal fired.鈥
鈥淰iolence is on the increase, the Taliban is hardly in retreat, both Pakistan and Afghan President Hamid Karzai continue to hedge their bets, and NATO allies want out,鈥 . 鈥淭he idea that the war can be handed over to Afghan security forces anytime soon appears fanciful. And prospects for turning things around by next summer, the administration's putative target date to begin drawing down, are looking grim.鈥
Unsettled public opinion on the conflict in Afghanistan 鈥 where US combat casualties have been increasing 鈥 is reflected in Congress, which must approve war funding.
鈥淭he president and congressional critics, long on a collision course over the war in Afghanistan, are hurtling ever faster toward each other since the ouster of Gen. Stanley McChrystal, and doves on Capitol Hill are feeling a little tougher right now,鈥
Wall Street Journal columnist Peggy Noonan predicts that conservatives may 鈥渟tart to peel off鈥 as well.
鈥淣辞迟 Washington policy intellectuals but people on the ground in America,鈥 . 鈥淭here are many reasons for this. Their sons and nephews have come back from repeat tours full of doubts as to the possibility of victory, 鈥榳hatever that is,鈥 as we all now say.鈥
Noonan continued: 鈥淭he other day Sen. Lindsey Graham, in ostensibly supportive remarks, said that Gen. David Petraeus 鈥 鈥榠s our only hope.鈥 If he can't pull it out, 鈥榥obody can.鈥 That's not all that optimistic a statement.鈥
IN PICTURES: Fighting continues in Afghanistan
Related:
The third front in Afghanistan: the American public
Gen. David Petraeus takes over in Afghanistan: Will it make a difference?