The rules for drone killings by the US military in a declared war like Afghanistan are clear, with strict guidelines in place. But when the CIA is using drones for covert purposes in places like Pakistan, Yemen, and Somalia, the extent of the oversight is far less clear.
鈥淭here鈥檚 a big difference when you鈥檙e using a drone in a full-scale military operation. Then it鈥檚 just a weapon,鈥 says Sarah Holewinski, executive director of the Center for Civilians in Conflict at Columbia Law School in New York, which produced a report this week, "The Civilian Impact of Drones: Unexamined Costs, Unanswered Questions." 鈥淵ou鈥檝e got boots on the ground and intel from soldiers out in the field.鈥
But the secrecy of CIA operations means that they do not get scrutinized under any international law, and other countries could argue that they are entitled to use armed drones at will, too.
That means the US could be vulnerable to attacks from enemies who argue that, since the CIA is carrying out such attacks, CIA headquarters in Langley, Va., is also a legitimate military target, some analysts argue.
In the short term, it is more likely that the secrecy around CIA drone policies could cause other nation states to use the technology as they see fit as well 鈥 and spark some major international relations meltdowns.
India, for example, has recently purchased armed drones. Might it now begin using them in neighboring Pakistan for its own military purposes, arguing that if the United States does it, why shouldn鈥檛 others? With two nuclear-armed states, the consequences could be dire.
鈥淚ndia isn鈥檛 going to want the US to say, 鈥楴o no, you can鈥檛 use these in Pakistan, just because we did,鈥 鈥 Ms. Holewinski says. 鈥淭here鈥檚 going to be a really tough argument for the US to make for how other nations use these drones.鈥