Many signs are now pointing to a third presidential run by Donald Trump. At a Monitor Breakfast yesterday, former senior Trump adviser Kellyanne Conway聽told us聽she expected him to announce 鈥渟oon鈥 after Tuesday鈥檚 midterm elections. Other outlets echoed that news today, with聽聽saying the former president鈥檚 鈥渋nner circle鈥 is looking at Nov. 14, and聽聽saying he could announce 鈥減ossibly as soon as鈥 that date.
Former President Trump has long been hinting at a 2024 run, and he did so again yesterday at a rally in Sioux City, Iowa. 鈥淚 will very, very, very probably do it again,鈥 he said.
Declaring this soon would be extraordinarily early; candidates typically announce in the year preceding the election. But Mr. Trump could have several reasons for moving quickly. He reportedly believes that being a declared candidate could insulate him from various criminal investigations, including ongoing probes of efforts to overturn Joe Biden鈥檚 victory in 2020.
And announcing his candidacy could help shore up his base of support, as polls show many Republican voters 鈥撀including some Trump supporters聽鈥 increasingly say聽聽as their 2024 nominee.
Mr. Trump鈥檚 entrance would have immediate ripple effects. There are at least a dozen other credible GOP candidates, many a generation younger than Mr. Trump, who would feel pressure either to jump in or bow out.
It would also likely supercharge the Democratic side 鈥 in ways that could actually help President Biden. He has long made clear that he ran in 2020 to counter Mr. Trump, whom he and much of the Democratic base view as a threat to democracy.
Of course, it鈥檚 entirely possible that Mr. Trump is just toying with the media 鈥 something he鈥檚 done in the past 鈥 and he isn鈥檛 actually planning an announcement at this time. Still, the political world has to take the hints seriously.
At our breakfast, Ms. Conway discussed why Mr. Trump might want another term. 鈥淗e's got a great post-presidency life,鈥 she said. But he鈥檚 had only one term and 鈥渨as just getting started. He loves this stuff and wants to continue.鈥