Russian troops are poised to invade Ukraine and yet many experts disagree on why. Does President Vladimir Putin want to restore the Russian Empire? Prevent Ukraine from joining NATO? Split Europe from the United States?
Well, now add another theory to the mix. Based on a new report from corruption watchdog Transparency International, seven countries in the former Soviet Union 鈥 from Estonia to Uzbekistan 鈥 have made significant reforms toward honest and clean governance in the last few years. Not so in Mr. Putin鈥檚 Russia. In the report鈥檚 ranking of countries on perceptions of corruption, Russia鈥檚 score has worsened. A new law, for example, has made reporting on corruption even riskier for pro-democracy activists.
It may be only a matter of time before Russian citizens wonder why so many neighbors are moving toward civic equality, transparent government, and other essentials for curbing corruption. Ukraine鈥檚 moves toward democratic ideals since 2014 may be driving Mr. Putin to end its progress. The country has a close association with Russian history, culture, and geography.
While Ukraine has instituted a host of anti-corruption reforms under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy since 2019, the Transparency report shows one of Russia鈥檚 other neighbors, Armenia, is the world鈥檚 top mover in making anti-corruption changes over the past few years. And that is despite the fact that the small landlocked nation of nearly 3 million suffered an embarrassing defeat in a brief war with Azerbaijan in 2020, triggering political turmoil.
Armenia鈥檚 military loss in the war, however, has been widely attributed to the country鈥檚 legacy of聽corruption from the Soviet era. It has stirred even more support for reforms, such as laws for an independent judiciary and a rule for public figures to declare their financial interests. By setting up anti-graft watchdogs, Armenia can help guarantee the country鈥檚 security, says Haykuhi Harutyunyan, head of a new body to prevent corruption.
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, a reformer who rose to power in a 2018 nonviolent 鈥渧elvet鈥 revolution, promised to end the country鈥檚 oligarch-led kleptocracy. 鈥淭here will be no privileged people in Armenia and that鈥檚 it,鈥 he said after taking power.
The Transparency report finds Armenia has 鈥渆xpanded civil liberties, paving the way for more sustainable civic engagement and accountability.鈥 If such reforms in many of Russia鈥檚 neighbors are the real threat that worries Mr. Putin, they could also be the best defense against Russian meddling. Many nations have rallied behind Ukraine and are sending arms and money. They would only do so knowing that Ukrainians reject corruption as a social norm. And that also sends a strong signal to Russians to do the same.