As the global economy sways on bad news, few expect nations鈥 interconnectedness to end. 鈥淒eglobalization鈥 isn鈥檛 quite the word. But our writers found some signs of a coming evolution.
Welcome to your week. Today鈥檚 stories: how globalization may evolve, the thought shift underlying one U.S. primary, why charter schools seem high and dry, the kindness of (actual) rats, and six helpings of progress. First, a look at where rising diversity could change how we assess emerging global trends.
If the future is female 鈥 or at least less male 鈥 then what about the future of ... futurists?聽
The title has more often been linked to names like Issac Asimov, Alvin Toffler, and George Gilder than to ones like Faith Popcorn. But cites a powerhouse roster of women futurists and notes that a third of the field鈥檚 professional association members now are women.聽
Why might that matter as the world confronts new challenges, from coronavirus to oil shocks?聽
Preparedness 鈥 the work of good futurists 鈥 comes from analyzing emerging changes. That requires data, but also an openness to unknowns. As Shane Parrish wrote in his , 鈥淸Generally], the people who know the most about something talk in terms that involve uncertainty. ... People that know the least tend to talk in absolutes.鈥
Those camps don鈥檛 break reliably along gender lines. But futurist thinking has skewed male and white. I reached out to , a quantitative futurist I鈥檝e met. She sits atop that Forbes list.聽
鈥淥ur field ... has been around for the past century, but until recently [it] was dominated by men,鈥 she replied, 鈥渁nd that meant a limited field of view.鈥 In teaching an MBA course at New York University鈥檚 Stern School, Amy likes to mentor young women and people of color in the science of strategic foresight.
Her work adds perspectives. With the extra nuance comes, ultimately, a more accurate take on what's coming.聽鈥淸T]he most reliable future forecasts,鈥 Amy notes, 鈥渁re those that account for deep uncertainty, and include a diverse set of insights.鈥