海角大神

Colombia looks poised to bring a formal end to its five-decade war against the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) rebels, with polls showing that a majority of the public, as well as the rebels鈥� rank and file, will probably ratify a newly finished peace accord.

And as the FARC prepares to lay down its weapons, it鈥檚 already taking the first steps toward transitioning into an electoral force. At this week鈥檚 10th and final wartime conference in the remote Yari Plains, rebel fighters are reuniting with their families and organizing into commissions that will work out details in coming months on the future party鈥檚 platform and strategies, reported El Tiempo.

鈥淭his is a very arduous process,鈥� says Nazih Richani, a political scientist and director of Latin American studies at Kean University, in an interview with 海角大神. 鈥淚t鈥檚 going to take them not just months but maybe years to complete this transition.鈥�

Under the terms of the peace accord, the FARC鈥檚 new party will be guaranteed five seats each in both houses of Colombia鈥檚 legislature in the 2018 elections, though their representatives won鈥檛 get a vote. Another 16 seats will be reserved for activist leaders from areas currently under FARC control, with other political parties that hold seats in the legislature barred from running there.

The group鈥檚 entry into the electoral sphere comes under the framework that would expand the political arena of a country that has often been a hostile one for leftists, meaning the FARC may not be the only beneficiary of the deal鈥檚 political reforms.

Among other things, says Robert A. Karl, an assistant professor of history at Princeton University, who specializes in 20th-century Colombia, the deal would create more equitable structures for government financing of political parties, and kick off ID campaigns to mobilize the vote in areas disenfranchised by violence and a lack of state presence.

鈥淚t鈥檚 opening up the field a little bit more,鈥� he tells the Monitor.

The group鈥檚 future may lie with its milicias urbanas, youth affiliates of several thousand members who run logistical support for the FARC from cities and college campuses, including arranging for deliveries of medicine or medical treatment for injured guerrillas.

鈥淚t has to break away from its isolation in rural areas and break into urban centers,鈥� says Dr. Richani.聽鈥淔ARC leadership has to rely on these young people who currently form part of the milicias urbanas. These are the ones who could be the new intelligentsia, if you wish: the cadre of the political party in the city. They have to rely on them as a core group and push them to leadership positions.鈥�

The facets of the negotiations in Colombia are being championed by some observers as a model for future peace talks. Kristian Herbolzheimer, a conflict resolution expert with UK-based Conciliation Resources, telling the Monitor in August that the country had achieved a 鈥渟ignificant innovation鈥�:

But this isn鈥檛 the first time the FARC has agreed to demobilize and try their hand at electoral politics. In 1985, the guerrillas joined forces with leftists of various stripes, including Colombia's Communist Party, and formed the Uni贸n Patri贸tica (UP), which by the following year had become the country鈥檚 third-biggest party. What followed was an extraordinary wave of violence, with several thousand UP members targeted by right-wing paramilitaries, drug traffickers, and in some cases, members of the military and government.聽聽

鈥淲e know of nowhere in the world where a single political party is being annihilated in such a systematic manner,'' Camilo Castellano, a researcher of a Bogota Jesuit rights group, told the Monitor in 1994.

That violence effectively succeeded in quashing the UP. And throughout negotiations in the present accord, the murder of union, indigenous- and land-rights activists has stirred trepidation among rebel leaders. Since the completion of negotiations in late August, five more activists have been killed, according to AFP.

鈥淭he killing of union leaders, peasant leaders is still going on now,鈥� says Richani. 鈥淭his is part of not only the FARC鈥檚 future, but also that of the whole democratic movement in Colombia.鈥�