Zambia's election: What's at stake for the country's economy?
Whoever wins Tuesday will have to tackle Zambia's billion-dollar debt and the prospect of falling copper prices.聽Ruling party candidate聽Edgar Lungu has maintained a slight edge that many attribute to his endorsement from the late president.聽
Whoever wins Tuesday will have to tackle Zambia's billion-dollar debt and the prospect of falling copper prices.聽Ruling party candidate聽Edgar Lungu has maintained a slight edge that many attribute to his endorsement from the late president.聽
Zambians head to the polls to pick their next president Tuesday with the hope of maintaining stability in a country rattled by the death in office of former President聽Michael Sata last October.
An unclear constitutional succession directive following Mr. Sata鈥檚 death has defined an expensive, divisive presidential by-election. It's been marred by infighting in the ruling Patriotic Front, and caused violent clashes rare in this southern African country known for its political stability and peaceful transitions.聽
The new president will have to handle Zambia's billion-dollar debt and deal with falling copper prices in Africa's second-largest producing nation.聽Copper accounts for about聽10 percent of gross domestic product聽and a quarter of government revenue, according to the the聽International Monetary Fund. Also at stake is a new mining tax聽that triples royalties on open-pit mines and has further soured relations between the ruling government and mining companies.聽
Ruling party candidate Edgar Lungu, who is also the justice and defense minister, holds a slight advantage a day before the vote, even though he faces stiff competition from United Party for National Development (UPND) leader Hakainde Hichilema. Mr. Hichilema is a familiar candidate who has run three times for the presidency. He says he would reverse the聽controversial聽mining tax if he won, a key issue in this election.聽
聽There are nine other candidates running for office. But,聽Mr. Lungu is seen as Sata's anointed successor.
鈥淭his is not a normal election because it鈥檚 just about replacing our late President Michael Sata. It鈥檚 not about changing governments. We need to finish all our developmental programs,鈥 said acting President Guy Scott at a campaign rally for the ruling party. Mr. Scott was the vice president under Sata.
Lungu had to overcome major party discord late into the campaign before finally gaining the nomination and full backing from Scott and the party.
The numbers seems to be on his side: there are more registered voters in his political strongholds than in those of the opposition. More important, Lungu's biggest advantage lies in the support he received from the late president, which has become a deciding factor in the outcome of the election.
A confusing succession
The top concern for Zambians is that succeeding Sata should have been a smooth handover.
When he first traveled abroad for medical care last October, the late president appointed Lungu as acting president, overriding the constitutional directive that gave then-Vice President Scott the role. Sata died a few weeks later.
Scott eventually took over as acting president for the 90-day period before the election, but the confusion has caused months of bickering.聽Scott is constitutionally barred from standing for office because his parents were not born in Zambia.
Lungu eventually received the party nomination, but the disunity gave the opposition an advantage and left the ruling party scrambling to put forward a united front just weeks before the election. They are campaigning to finish their five-year mandate that started in 2011 with the election of Sata.
Zambians are calling for a new 鈥減eople driven鈥 constitution that provides clear succession directives. All candidates have promised to deliver before the next general elections in September.
Nicknamed 鈥淜ing Cobra,鈥 Sata was extremely popular in Zambia, a聽mineral-rich聽country in聽Africa's copper belt.聽He won 43 percent of the vote on an anti-Chinese platform in 2011.
Zambians are not unfamiliar with presidents dying in office. Late president Levy Mwanawasa died in 2008 while in office, though the following election led to a peaceful transition.
Violence on Election Day?
Campaigning has not been free of violence.
鈥淭here are widespread pockets of political violence that have characterized the campaigns for the forthcoming presidential by-elections,鈥 Irene Mambilima, chairperson of the Electoral Commission of Zambia (ECZ), told The Anadolu Agency.
Supporters of the ruling party attacked a helicopter that was carrying leaders of the opposition UPND and caused a near crash in northern Zambia. In the west, several loyalists from both parties were injured when they clashed at an airport.
Zambia police have recalled all officers on leave to beef up security on Election Day.
ECZ public relations manager Chris Akufuma told 海角大神 that any violence could undermine the integrity of the body overseeing elections, despite a transparent process that has involved all competing political parties and stakeholders.
鈥淲e have opened up the process of conducting this election right from the start and they are involved at every stage,鈥 he says of the parties. 鈥淲e would like to call on all parties to concentrate on campaigning and leave us to do our work.鈥
Alex Mutale contributed reporting from Chingola, Zambia.