海角大神

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Why Chris Christie's hopes for 2016 might already be over

It's early in the race. Yet candidates loaded with negatives, such with Chris Christie, are already viewed as no longer viable. Others are scrambling to just get into the conversation. 

By James Joyner , Voices contributor

Peter Hart's lede reporting on his latest poll for WSJ/NBC News is a gem:

The accompanying graphic is less amusing but quite interesting.

It鈥檚 worth noting that, in answer to my question yesterday as to聽why Hillary Clinton is running away with the race聽for the Democratic nomination, 鈥86% of likely Democratic primary voters say they are open to supporting Mrs. Clinton for the party鈥檚 nomination, and 13% said they couldn鈥檛.鈥 While somewhat skewed by name recognition, that鈥檚 a staggering difference from any of the Republican possibles.

Back to the GOP side:

That鈥檚, of course, the peril of political punditry. What we can say about the race at this point is interesting but based on too little information to be of much use. Once there鈥檚 enough information to make meaningful commentary, it鈥檚 generally no longer all that interesting.

While I wouldn鈥檛 have said so six months ago given my own strong dislike of Clinton, it now appears that she鈥檚 going to simply walk to the nomination all but unopposed. I see Rubio, Walker, and Bush as the only viable Republicans in the field and think Bush by far the most similar to those who have won the nomination in the past. I don鈥檛 see how anyone else even gets seriously into the conversation.

James Joyner is editor of the Outside the Beltway blog at http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/.