海角大神

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鈥楢ccept it鈥: GOP鈥檚 opposition to Trump is fading

Mainstream Republicans have fought to slow Donald Trump's momentum, but now some GOP insiders are embracing his potential nomination.

By Patrik Jonsson, Staff writer
ATLANTA

New York mogul and presidential aspirant Donald Trump continued a swing through the West Coast this weekend, prompting large crowds to turn out both for him and against him.

His campaign of bluster, showmanship, rudeness, and jubilation has prompted聽the GOP establishment to gape in wonder at Mr. Trump鈥檚 electoral success and gasp, "How?"

Mainstream Republicans have thrown the kitchen sink at Trump, who has artfully dodged. In just the last two weeks, Trump has pulled ahead in suburbs, exurbs, rural areas, and cities compared to votes preceding April 19.

From #NeverTrump to Mitt Romney's anti-Trump plea to whole conservative magazines being devoted to derailing the brassy mogul鈥檚 once-quixotic campaign 鈥 none of it has stuck against Teflon Trump.

His closest competitor, Ted Cruz, has been mathematically eliminated from winning the nomination outright. The prospects of a contested convention are fading fast, and, after all, could only confirm Trump鈥檚 central campaign point 鈥 that the system is rigged against regular folks.

鈥淭rump is ... close to winning this thing fair and square,鈥 wrote political blogger Chris Cillizza this week in The Washington Post. 鈥淵ou don鈥檛 have to like that reality. But you do have to accept it.鈥

Some have likened that "acceptance" to the last stage of grieving.

After all, Trump may yet jettison the Republican Party鈥檚 hopes, perhaps beyond this election cycle.

Analysts have twisted logic like pretzels to see how Trump can overtake the vaunted 35 percent barrier of his likely voters. In a Real Clear Politics poll average, Trump trails likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by 7.3 points.

Yet in part due to the contested primary, he has garnered over 25 million primary votes, 10 million more than Mitt Romney earned in 2012. GOP turnout has spiked by more than 300 percent in some states since the last go-round. And Trump has won just about everywhere: the South, the Northeast, the Midwest, the Mountain West.

Has his support from all corners of America finally impressed the party establishment?

From around the country this week, there was a growing sense of falling-in-line among party chieftains and stalwarts.

Former presidential contender Rick Perry once took some of the toughest shots against Trump, calling him a 鈥渂arking carnival act鈥 featuring 鈥渁 toxic mix of demagoguery and mean-spiritedness and nonsense鈥 that could set the Republican party on the path to perdition.

But this week, when asked on 鈥淭he View鈥 whether he鈥檇 support Trump in the general election, the former governor of Texas answered, 鈥淚 will.鈥

The problem for the party establishment all along has been the optics of their opposition.

GOP voters have flocked to Trump in droves, but the idea that 鈥渢he party decides,鈥 as the Monitor鈥檚 Peter Grier pointed out聽on Friday, has only fueled the candidate鈥檚 popularity.

At a speech in California聽on Friday, Trump said, 鈥淭here has to be unity in our party,鈥 before adding in an aside that he wouldn't need unity to win against Hillary Clinton.

Although a historic candidate in terms of gender equality, Mrs. Clinton still faces questions about her handling of classified information as secretary of State, as well as problems attracting of Millennial women (though Trump might fare no better).

At the same time, Trump has made fleeting efforts to appear more like a statesman than a showman.

Though many panned his foreign policy speech this week, one who didn鈥檛 was a former nemesis, Sen. Bob Corker (R) of Tennessee, who said he saw glimmers of a reasonable, realistic, and strong shift in American worldview, less tied to party ideology and more to Main Street interests.

Senator Corker, who chairs the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, called Trump 鈥渧ery thoughtful鈥 on foreign policy, and said Trump did the country a service by "challeng[ing] the foreign policy establishment 鈥 in Washington"聽鈥 though he stopped short of endorsing Trump for president.

Such philosophical warmth from a Washington heavyweight underlines the slow, but discernible, shift within the Republican Party.

What many analysts overlook, argues Will Rahn in a piece for CBS News, is that Trump would 鈥減robably be the most moderate nominee in decades."

He continues, "border walls and Muslim bans aside, Trump really most closely resembles an old-school northeastern centrist Republican" who is "pro-business, pro-military, pro-America."

But caution on the part of Republicans would be wise, argues Ross Douthat, a conservative columnist at The New York Times: While Trump holds many centrist opinions, he argues, his anti-woman and anti-minority rhetoric has burned too many bridges and alienated too many potential voters.

"The fact that so many Republican voters can鈥檛 seem to see this 鈥 may be a sign of cultural isolation," writes Mr. Douthat. "They can鈥檛 quite grasp how powerful that alienation is for the people who experience it, and how impossible it will be for Trump to overcome."