海角大神

On March 8, two members of the U.S. Senate joined in a statement calling for Congress to take action to address global warming. What was unusual is that one of them is a Republican and chair of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, while the other is the top Democrat on that committee.

鈥淭here is no question that climate change is real or that human activities are driving much of it,鈥� said Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, and Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., writing together in The Washington Post.

The call to action symbolizes a shift in both rhetoric and substance by conservatives on what鈥檚 widely seen as today鈥檚 central environmental issue. It鈥檚 an issue that Republican politicians in recent years have been more likely to dismiss than embrace.

Increasingly, lawmakers who had called climate change into question or framed it as highly uncertain are bluntly naming it a real problem. And others who had not been so dismissive, like Ms. Murkowski, are ramping up efforts to act on the issue.

Sen. Lamar Alexander, R-Tenn., is calling for a 鈥渘ew Manhattan Project鈥� on energy. Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., is trying to rally his colleagues to create a Republican plan to contrast with Democrats鈥� Green New Deal. And in the House, the GOP鈥檚 leading voice on a new climate change committee is Rep. Garret Graves, who speaks on the issue with an urgency linked to his experiences in the bayous and wetlands of Louisiana.

This Republican pivot doesn鈥檛 mean the two parties will be locking hands in a kumbaya moment over major climate legislation anytime soon, especially when President Donald Trump isn鈥檛 joining the chorus. But political analysts say the shift is rooted in political dynamics 鈥嬧�� rising public concern and on-the-ground evidence of a warming climate 鈥嬧�� that are likely to persist.

鈥淲hen the head of the party [is] opposed to action 鈥� that鈥檚 an enormous obstacle,鈥� says energy-policy analyst Josh Freed of the think tank Third Way. But 鈥渢hat being said, there are green shoots starting to show, where [Republicans] are starting to acknowledge climate change and they are starting to propose some actions that would be helpful.鈥�

In part, the question to be navigated by both parties is how to curb greenhouse emissions in a way that鈥檚 both environmentally meaningful and economically pragmatic.

At one end of the spectrum is the left鈥檚 Green New Deal, embraced by some House Democrats and Democratic presidential hopefuls, which aims to be environmentally meaningful by calling for reducing greenhouse gas emissions 鈥渁s much as technologically feasible.鈥�

Conservatives regularly bash the plan as radical and expensive socialism that would wreck the economy. But pollsters suggest that without a plan of their own, Republicans risk coming across as climate deniers, especially by young voters who increasingly represent a big chunk of the electorate.

A clean-energy push

Some in the party see a chance to win over these and other voters by positioning their party to promote clean-energy innovation while avoiding a command-and-control approach that could burden taxpayers and businesses.

Speaking to reporters in the Capitol building Monday, Sen. Mitt Romney, R-Utah, called innovation 鈥渁n ultimate solution to climate change鈥� and said 鈥渃urrent technologies will not get us to a point where we actually reverse the growth of emissions of greenhouse gases.鈥�

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Voters of all stripes tend to endorse clean energy.

鈥淚t鈥檚 not necessarily even about the climate. What should be driving our energy future is a capitalist free-market approach to embracing the innovation that we鈥檙e seeing,鈥� says Tyler Duvelius, a young Republican who heads the Ohio Conservative Energy Forum in Columbus.

About two-thirds of conservative voters in that key swing state said they want 50% or more of Ohio鈥檚 electricity to come from renewables, his group found in a poll early this year. 鈥淲ind and solar are on parity if not sometimes less expensive than traditional sources of energy,鈥� says Mr. Duvelius, who also touts the benefits of renewables for the nation鈥檚 energy independence.

For some Republican politicians, a rising urgency on climate change appears to be personal as well as political.

In the deep-red state of Idaho, 11-term Rep. Mike Simpson cites a 鈥渃onsensus among most policymakers鈥� as a reason to curb greenhouse gas emissions, but he also recently mentioned climate change in the context of efforts to revive populations of salmon that 鈥渁re the most incredible creatures, I think, that God has created.鈥�

Is the GOP sincere?

Democrats wonder whether the GOP听emphasis on promoting innovation is environmentally meaningful or just represents a delaying tactic.听听

鈥淚鈥檓 not sure I鈥檝e seen enough evidence鈥� of a genuine GOP shift, says Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md. 鈥淚 think the public鈥檚 way ahead of Republican members of the Congress.鈥�

鈥淚t鈥檚 neither a sufficient set [of lawmakers], nor are their solutions sufficient,鈥� says Mr. Freed at Third Way, which promotes center-left policies in Washington. Yet he says the story could change if more Republicans join the shift, if new technologies get a policy 鈥減ush鈥� for implementation, and if innovation becomes a gateway toward other actions.

鈥淚t鈥檚 a start. And the first step to addressing the issue is to acknowledge that there is a problem,鈥� he says.

Technology is one way forward

To Jason Grumet, president of the Bipartisan Policy Center, another Washington think tank, the evolution of Republican positions looks even more promising. After years of Congress being stuck amid inaction and bills that only one party could support, he sees barriers to bipartisan discussion coming down.

鈥淲hat I think we see now is a focus on the kinds of breakthrough technologies that will enable us to sustain our basic economic success and solve the climate problem,鈥� Mr. Grumet says. 鈥淚 think ... we鈥檙e going to see people become more comfortable and more enamored with those solutions and then start to ask the question 鈥榃ell, what kind of policy is going to be necessary to get these technologies to deploy at scale?鈥欌��

He sees early steps, including one bipartisan bill to encourage advanced nuclear power and another for a 鈥淯se It Act鈥� nurturing technologies that capture carbon dioxide emissions.

The effort by Senators Murkowski and Manchin 鈥渋s the kind of conversation that gives me optimism,鈥� adds Mr. Grumet. 鈥滵emocracy is a momentum sport.鈥�

For his part, Senator Graham is determined to try to win President Trump鈥檚 support for a bill that can be framed as helping both the environment and the economy.

鈥淟et鈥檚 just cross the Rubicon,鈥� he said at a late-April event in Texas. 鈥淟et鈥檚, as a party, say ... climate change is real鈥� while offering an alternative to the Green New Deal.