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Why have 150,000 penguins mysteriously disappeared?

When a group of scientists returned to Antarctica's Cape Denison in 2014, they realized 150,000 Ad茅lie聽penguins were missing. It's a devastating blow to Ad茅lie penguin populations, but researchers aren't counting the species out just yet.

By Story Hinckley, Staff

No bird breeds farther south than the Ad茅lie penguin. Antarctica is a harsh habitat, but their fast swimming skills and colony-mentality has allowed these birds to thrive.

But scientists say 150,000 Ad茅lie penguins have disappeared from their home on Cape Denison within the last five years.

The authors suggest the 150,000 penguins died after the B09B iceberg was lodged in the Commonwealth Bay in 2010, blocking the birds鈥 main food source. This water is rarely covered by sea-ice, making it ideal for their hunting of krill and fish.聽

鈥淎lthough Ad茅lie penguins are able to breed successfully under a range of sea ice conditions, we believe the extensive fast ice at Cape Denison in 2013 was beyond that with which they could cope,鈥 the scientists from New Zealand and Australia explain in their study published Feb. 2 in the journal Antarctic Science.

The iceberg鈥檚 arrival 鈥渄ramatically increased the distance鈥 adult Ad茅lie penguins had to travel for food both for themselves and for their chicks waiting back at the colony. Because parents鈥 foraging trips were longer, 鈥渢he chicks were fed less often and meal size was reduced as the adults required more of the food obtained to meet their commute to and from the colony.鈥澛

Ice has blocked Ad茅lies鈥 food source route before, the scientists acknowledge in their study. But the worst case in recent history occurred at Cape Royds in 1994, when the adult penguins had to walk across 24 miles of ice for food. By comparison, the travel distance noted by researchers in 2013-2014 at Cape Denison was over 37 miles.

鈥淚 don鈥檛 think any of us anticipated what we saw: the ground was littered with dead chicks and discarded eggs,鈥 study co-author Chris Turney from the University of New South Wales Australia, told Live Science in an email. 鈥淲hat had been until recently a noisy, raucous colony was now eerily quiet. It was heartbreaking to visit.鈥澛

Most importantly, the authors note, the penguins are not coming back to the Cape Dension area. All birds that were recorded in the authors鈥 census were affiliated with current nests, there were no ready-for-breeding birds. And if no new members join this local colony, it could die out in 20 years, say the authors.聽

The researchers recognized some relocation in their census, with three percent of chicks immigrating to the Ross Island colonies, 12 to 30 miles away. And while this might spell the end of the Cape Denison colonies, similar relocation efforts will save the species as a whole.聽

鈥淪ince the formation of fast ice in Commonwealth Bay a very high percentage of breeding attempts at Cape Denison have failed and this will doubtless continue until B09B breaks up or relocates and the fast ice dissipates,鈥 the authors explain in their study. 鈥淓migration from the smaller colonies east and west of Cape Denison may, however, delay local extirpation and could provide a mechanism for eventual recovery when B09B moves from Commonwealth Bay.鈥澛

But some scientists aren鈥檛 buying it. Michelle LaRue, a penguin population researcher at the University of Minnesota who was not involved in the study, told Live Science that 150,000 Ad茅lie carcasses have not been found so no one can know for certain what happened to these birds.

鈥淛ust because there are a lot fewer birds observed doesn鈥檛 automatically mean the ones that were there before have perished,鈥 said Dr. LaRue. 鈥淭hey easily could have moved elsewhere, which would make sense if nearby colonies are thriving.鈥澛

And as for the Ad茅lie skeletons found by the researchers? Easily explainable, says LaRue. Because of the cold weather, carcasses don鈥檛 decompose: Ad茅lie penguin colonies are always scattered with dead birds.聽

Finally, even if 150,000 Ad茅lies did perish, which LaRue doubts, it is 鈥渉ardly apocalyptic.鈥 As of 2011, seven million Ad茅lie penguins were counted in Antarctica.