海角大神

海角大神 / Text

Ready to pop? The subprime student loan bubble balloons

The feds pay for GIs to go to school. They give grants to the schools themselves. And they hand out hundreds of billions in loans, at low teaser rates to students; sometimes to students who are unqualified and unlikely to get much out of it.

By Bill Bonner, Guest blogger

Yes, dear reader, the market seems to have turned. Friday was a disaster鈥

鈥淕rim Job Report Sinks Markets,鈥 reported The Wall Street Journal.

We鈥檝e had our 鈥楥rash Alert鈥 flag up for the last two weeks. Hope it helped.

Day after day stocks have been falling. And day after day has brought more bad news. Greece was on the verge of collapse. US growth figures revised downward. Consumer sentiment fell. House prices are still going down. Unemployment is going up.

The whole world is 鈥榯urning Japanese.鈥

And then, oil closed at $83 on Friday. The Dow fell 274 points. The 10-year T-note must have thought it was already in Tokyo; the yield dropped to an unbelievable 1.45%. Was that a typo on the Bloomberg line?

And get this, gold rose $57.

Whew!

What鈥檚 happening?

The Great Correction is getting greater. And the odds that the feds will panic鈥n the US or in Euroland鈥re increasing.

Remember, the Fed works for the banks. And the bankers know who their ultimate master is. They鈥檒l play it cool. But if stocks fall below 10,000 on the Dow鈥nd unemployment gets worse before the November election鈥hey鈥檒l come in with more QE. That鈥檚 why gold is up so strongly. Investors are running scared. They know they can鈥檛 trust the euro. As for the dollar, they鈥檙e not so sure鈥

We can hardly wait to find out what happens today!

What鈥檚 the next industry to bubble up鈥op鈥nd collapse?

鈥淪tudent loans,鈥 said our new friend, Barry Dyke.

From the far north鈥ell, from New Hampshire鈥arry has been following the money. And he sees a lot of it going to the education.

Why?

鈥淚t worked just like subprime,鈥 he explained.

The feds bankrolled it. Guaranteed it. Regulated it. And conveniently didn鈥檛 notice as it got to monstrous proportions鈥 And then, when it blows up鈥hey鈥檒l be there again, pointing fingers and promising to 鈥渞egulate鈥 more heavily.

鈥淲hen you pay for something, you get more of it,鈥 says presidential candidate Ron Paul.

The feds paid for one heckuva a lot of education鈥ubsidizing students and colleges鈥ith trillions of dollars. They pay for GIs to go to school. They give grants to the schools themselves. And they hand out hundreds of billions in loans, at low teaser rates (just like subprime!) to students鈥ften to students who are unqualified and unlikely to get much out of it.

Here鈥檚 the Washington Post story:

Colleague, Justice Litle is on the case too:

Geez. It looks like college students have been the chumps in this story鈥limflammed by the feds and the universities.

But, remember, we are grateful to the patsies. They鈥檙e the ones who keep the whole scammy economy going.

Imagine what would happen if young people decided to learn something instead of going to college? They could get a job learning from a plumber or a machinist鈥r apprenticing to a furniture maker鈥r just sitting in the library with a big stack of books and a notepad. No tuition payments鈥o beer parties鈥o orientation programs (No means no!)鈥o graduation programs (You can make a change!)鈥o research labs鈥o football stadiums鈥

鈥magine if a group of them got together, hired a teacher鈥nd learned the classics鈥r theoretical physics鈥r quantum mechanics鈥r linguistics鈥he old fashioned way? Let鈥檚 see, pay the teacher $80,000鈥plit it among 7 students鈥 Good teacher/student ratio鈥uch better than sitting in a lecture hall with 150 other students. And $8,000 each.

A lot better than the $40,000 we spent to send our five children to college. Yes鈥e spent about $40,000 for each of them, per year. You can do the math. It adds up to $800,000. And we鈥檝e got one more to go!

That鈥檚 why we鈥檙e still writing these Daily Reckonings鈥e can鈥檛 afford to stop.

And it鈥檚 kinda fun, frankly鈥s long as you don鈥檛 take it seriously.

But let鈥檚 not talk about us. Let鈥檚 talk about them. Those poor young people鈥eaving school with $25,000 in debt (approximate average)鈥nd a punky job market.

If they got a degree in math or science, they can probably get a job. But what if they got a degree in the social sciences? Or the arts? Or no degree at all? How many baristas can Starbucks hire?

What can they do?

Go to work for the government! Or at least go to work in ZombieTown. You don鈥檛 need to know anything to work for the feds. No kidding.

Regards,

Bill Bonner
听蹿辞谤 The Daily Reckoning