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Income tax vs. sales tax: What's better for Louisiana?

A proposal to replace income tax with a higher sales tax in Louisiana could lower compliance and administrative burdens, Harris writes. But it鈥檚 not worth asking low-income households to shoulder such a large share of the burden to achieve such a small statewide gain, he adds.

By Ben Harris , Guest blogger

Last week Louisiana鈥檚 Republican Governor Bobby Jindal proposed replacing the state鈥檚 individual income and corporate taxes with a higher sales tax. While details are scarce,聽initial media reports聽suggest Jindal would both raise the sales tax rate and make more goods and services subject to the levy.

Louisiana鈥檚 current 8.86 percent average combined state and local sales tax rate (4 percent state rate and 4.86 percent average local rate) is already the聽third highest聽in the nation. Jindal鈥檚 plan would boost it to the highest level in the country by far. One聽published report聽suggests the state levy alone could be increased to as much as 7 percent.

Broadening the sales tax base is a mixed bag. On one hand, taxing more goods and services helps to limit the tax鈥檚 distortions across consumption and also allows for a lower tax rate, all else equal. But base broadening can also push more of the burden to low-income households. Louisiana currently excludes groceries and utilities from taxation; taxing them would be especially difficult for families with limited resources.

In fact, even without base broadening, the proposal would dramatically shift more of the burden of Louisiana鈥檚 taxes onto lower-income individuals. Since low-income households devote a higher share of their income to consumption, they end up paying higher effective tax rates than higher-income households which tend to spend less and save more. This concern is particularly stark in Louisiana, which was聽recently ranked聽as the sixth most unequal state in the country by one measure of inequality.聽

The higher tax burden for low-income households is no small concern. Last year聽Louisiana collected聽$2.9 billion through the individual and corporate income taxes and another $2.6 billion through the general sales tax. Maintaining current revenues with Jindal鈥檚 plan would require that sales tax revenues more than double, which means that, absent a significant broadening of the tax base, the tax rate would also have to rise substantially.聽 For households that don鈥檛 pay income taxes and save little or no income, this amounts to close to a 4 percentage point drop in after-tax income鈥攁bout the same magnitude of tax pain for these households as聽going off the fiscal cliff.

The swap would have theoretical advantages: Taxing consumption, rather than income, encourages saving. An expanded sales tax base, perhaps including some services, eliminates unequal treatment across types of spending. And getting rid of two major tax bases may lower administrative costs for state revenue collectors and virtually eliminate compliance costs for Louisiana鈥檚 taxpayers. Lastly, sales taxes can 鈥渆xport鈥 the tax burden to non-residents, namely tourists, who spend in Louisiana but don鈥檛 live there.

Proponents of this major tax swap may also claim that eliminating the corporate tax will attract more businesses to Louisiana and dumping the personal income tax could make the state a magnet for high-income individuals.

Not all of these claims carry weight. There is聽little evidence聽that Americans will move to take advantage of lower state income tax rates. And since seven states already have no income tax, households that would move exclusively for lower tax rates would likely have already done so. It鈥檚 true that sales taxes help shift the tax burden to out-of-state tourists, but higher sales tax rates can also push consumption to other states, untaxed internet purchases, and off-the-book transactions.

Ultimately, the shift could lower compliance and administrative burdens, and help to boost long-run growth a little. But it鈥檚 not worth asking low-income households to shoulder such a large share of the burden to achieve such a small statewide gain.