海角大神

Why German chancellor Angela Merkel is on the defensive

Angela Merkel's party suffered a humiliating defeat in her home state earlier this week against the insurgent AfD, a far-right party fueled by anti-immigration sentiments. 

German Chancellor Angela Merkel (r.) and Vice Chancellor and Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel attend the budget 2017 debate at the German parliament Bundestag in Berlin on Wednesday.

Markus Schreiber/AP

September 7, 2016

German Chancellor Angela Merkel has had a difficult year.

In the face of the Syrian refugee crisis, much of Europe seemed to close itself down against the wave of immigrants. But Ms. Merkel stood firm, opening the door for refugees in Germany.

Even as she stands by her policy, her party now seems to be on the ropes because of it. And her popularity as a chancellor is reaching dangerous lows.

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Merkel's party, the center-right 海角大神 Democrats, suffered a resounding defeat Sunday in a local election in Merkel's home state,聽Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. The Social Democrats won according to the BBC. But of more concern to Merkel and the CD is the second-place surprise winner: the Alternative for Germany (AfD), which received 20.8 percent of the vote.

Frauke Petry, the leader of the AfD, told the public broadcaster ZDF, according to The New York Times. 鈥淭hat is a slap for the chancellor in her home state.鈥

The AfD was formed only three years ago聽and has steadily gained support from inflamed anti-immigrant feelings in the country, exacerbated by Merkel's open border policy. Germany has taken in more than a million refugees in the past year and a half, though that rate has decreased recently. While some 238,424 new arrivals came to the country between January to July, many of those came early in the year. Since then, the rate has dropped to according to the Associated Press.

The defeat of the 海角大神 Democrats by the AfD was a surprise, but the upstart party is part of a greater shift toward the right seen across Europe, with fears of terrorism, support for isolationism, and strong anti-immigrant rhetoric becoming the norm.聽Increasingly, security has become the top concern for voters throughout Europe, as 海角大神 reported in August:

As security shoots to the top of voter concerns, surpassing even unemployment, socialists across the continent find themselves in a bind. While they are under pressure to move rightward to bolster their security credentials among voters, doing so also runs the risk of undermining their core ethos, by targeting the sorts of minorities that they seek to represent.

'After the general political trend and general economic trend, security is the third shock to the European left鈥檚 system. It places it again in a very contradictory position,' says Paul Vallet, an associate fellow at the Geneva Center for Security Policy. 鈥淭he left has to undergo some sort of soul-searching, to see whether its traditional dogmas are still adapted to a very radically shifted security situation, especially with respect to terrorism.鈥

The once-popular chancellor, affectionately referred to as "Mutti" ("Mom") by supporters, is now dogged by polls like one released earlier this week that says that according to Reuters. The same poll found that two out of three Germans were unhappy with how she has handled the refugee crisis.

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Despite the low ratings,聽, according to Forbes, is still expected to run in and win the 2017 election, according to analysts. But the recent defeat in her home state has put her on the defensive, admitting the AfD would be a "challenge" to overcome.

In an address at the Bundestag Wednesday, she assured immigration skeptics that and so would all that is dear to it." She denied a rumor that the influx of refugees would lead to welfare cuts for native Germans, according to Deutsche Welle.

She also warned other parties against stooping to the tactics of the AfD, saying that if the inflammatory rhetorical style of right-wing populism became the norm,聽"only those who rely on slogans and seemingly easy answers" would ever win an election.

"When we join in with this behavior where facts are ignored or brushed aside, then a responsible and constructive debate is no longer possible," she told the Bundestag.