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Iran nuclear talks: What happened to the nuclear fuel-swap deal?

Movement on a fuel-swap deal with Iran stalled after two days of nuclear talks in Istanbul ended in stalemate.

Iran's Chief Negotiator Saeed Jalili speaks to the media after two-day talks between Iran and world powers on Iran's nuclear program at the historical Ciragan Palace in Istanbul, Turkey, Jan. 22. Talks meant to nudge Iran toward meeting UN Security Council demands to stop uranium enrichment ended in stalemate, with Tehran shrugging off calls by six world powers to cease the activity that could be harnessed to make nuclear weapons.

Ibrahim Usta/AP

January 26, 2011

One issue was expected to be a centerpiece of Iran鈥檚 nuclear talks with world powers in Istanbul last weekend: a fuel-swap deal billed as a critical 鈥渃onfidence-building鈥 measure.

But the two days of talks ended in stalemate. Negotiators from the so-called P5+1 nations 鈥 US, Russia, China, Britain, France, and Germany 鈥 could not move beyond Iranian preconditions that the group recognize Iran鈥檚 鈥渞ight鈥 to enrich uranium and agree to drop sanctions before substantive talks could begin.

So what happened to the nuclear fuel-swap deal?

And how did the P5+1 revise the deal first put to Iran 鈥 and rejected by it 鈥 in October 2009? In that proposal, Iran would have exported the bulk of its homemade low-enriched uranium (LEU) for further refinement in Russia, then made into fuel rods in France, for a small research reactor in Tehran.

The short answer is that the deal was barely discussed. But the 鈥渦pgraded鈥 version of the deal, which was laid out for the Iranians at the Istanbul talks, requires that Iran export a 鈥済reatly increased quantity,鈥 according to Western diplomats engaged in the talks.

The long answer depends on whom you ask.

After the talks ended Saturday, Iran鈥檚 chief negotiator Saeed Jalili made no mention of the fuel-swap proposal in lengthy comments to journalists until asked specifically about it.

Speaking in the future tense, Mr. Jalili said a fuel deal 鈥渃ould be one of the most important areas for cooperation,鈥 and that during talks in Istanbul on this point 鈥渨e very openly put forward what we want.鈥

After the Istanbul sessions ended without progress, and while most press coverage cited Iran鈥檚 preconditions for the breakdown, Jalili鈥檚 deputy on Iran鈥檚 Supreme National Security Council talked further on the fuel swap.

A story by Iran鈥檚 state-run PressTV, titled 鈥淚ran ready to talk fuel swap,鈥 quotes Ali Baqeri as saying that Iran received the P5+1 proposal, but 鈥渨e stressed that Iran does not need fuel swap and what prompts Iran to negotiate on the issue is cooperation and not necessity.鈥

Iranian officials say the decades-old reactor in Tehran, which is used to make medical isotopes, is running out of fuel. Fabricating the material is a complex process only undertaken by a few countries anymore, a process that 鈥 as hopes for a deal have remained elusive 鈥 Iran has claimed it will master.

鈥淭hese talks could continue in the future and there is no obstacle, but the P5+1 should be given an opportunity to reach a conclusion for cooperation,鈥 Baqeri said.

Iranian officials have said before they would not give away more in a fuel-swap deal, as required by the one spelled out in Istanbul. Since the first offer, and in defiance of UN Security Council resolutions, Iran has continued to enrich uranium to 3.5 percent purity.

Iran also began enriching to 19.75 percent last February 鈥 the level needed to make its own fuel for the Tehran reactor, but also one step closer to being capable of making a nuclear weapon.

So what did that 鈥渦pgraded鈥 fuel offer entail?

On Friday night, the first night of Istanbul talks, Iranian negotiators seemed to 鈥渨aver鈥 in their insistence about previous preconditions, which paved the way for a Saturday morning meeting between the US, Russia, and France with Iran 鈥渢o set out what we meant [by] updating鈥 the fuel-swap deal, according to a senior European diplomat involved in the talks.

鈥淲hereas 15 months ago we saw the removal of 1,200 kilograms of [LEU] from Iran as a very considerable confidence building measure, its value had sharply fallen in the intermediate period because [now] they鈥檝e got a whole lot more [LEU],鈥 said the European diplomat, who spoke with several journalists after the talks on the condition of anonymity.

鈥淭herefore on our side, we wanted [Iran to export] a greatly increased quantity. The number changes over time. The important number is 鈥 not the number we remove, it鈥檚 what鈥檚 left behind,鈥 the diplomat said. 鈥淲hat we wanted to do is to leave behind in Iran roughly what would have been left behind in the original [October 2009] proposal 鈥 that is to say, it is a level which is some way short of what you need to make a weapon.鈥

The new P5+1 proposal would also include removal of all the 19.75 percent enriched material. 鈥淭hat had to go as well. And any deal would have to involve agreement by Iran that they would cease enriching to that level, too,鈥 said the diplomat.

Iranian officials have stated in the past that they would not accept a deal that requires them to ship out even more nuclear material in exchange for fuel. But Western diplomats say they never got far enough with Iran to test that position.

鈥淭here wasn鈥檛, on either the [fuel swap] proposals or the transparency measures which were suggested, a specific or detailed reaction [from Iran],鈥 said a senior US official at the talks. 鈥淎nd in fairness, we put them on the table [and] said we鈥檙e prepared to talk about them in more detail, and talk about them seriously, but 鈥 the conversation then shifted essentially to, 鈥榃hat鈥檚 the basis for having those kind of conversations?' "

IN PICTURES: Nuclear Weapons