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What does Bangkok explosion mean for antigovernment protests?

Demonstrators have been attempting to 'shut down' Bangkok since Monday. Dozens were injured today as violence escalated after days of relative calm.

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Wason Wanichakorn/AP
Thai anti-government protesters pack a street during a rally Friday in Bangkok, Thailand. Dozens of people were wounded in Thailand's capital Friday when a grenade exploded in a crowd of demonstrators, raising tensions in the country's political crisis.

An explosion during an antigovernment march in Bangkok today wounded at least 36 and raised concerns about escalating violence after the protest movement appeared to be losing steam in recent days.

Police told Reuters that an explosive device was marching with protest leader Suthep Thaugsuban near Chulalongkorn University in downtown Bangkok.

So far, no one has taken responsibility for the blast; the government and the protest movement , which was likely caused by a grenade, AFP reports.

A spokesman for the protest movement told Reuters that Mr. Suthep was about 100 feet away from the explosion and was unharmed.

Antigovernment demonstrators have been attempting to 鈥渟hut down鈥 Bangkok since Monday by blocking major intersections and staging rallies throughout the city. They have vowed to occupy the city until Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra resigns and they have rejected her call for an election on Feb. 2.

So far, Prime Minister Yingluck鈥檚 government has 鈥渂een praised for a restrained response to a political crisis that has been percolating for several months,鈥 as 海角大神鈥檚 Bangkok correspondent reported yesterday:

Police have put up no resistance to protesters blockading major intersections in Bangkok and government ministries have quietly relocated to temporary offices in response to threatened occupations. 聽

At least eight people have been killed and hundreds injured since the latest unrest broke out. However, none of the incidents have directly involved聽Thailand's influential and coup-prone army, which has called for restraint from both sides.

But the Monitor鈥檚 correspondent also noted that progovernment supporters in Bangkok are ready to act if their leaders ask them to protest and that some hardcore supporters have stockpiled ammunition and weapons.

The Council on Foreign Relation鈥檚 Joshua Kurlantzick that 鈥淢any currents of tension run just below the surface of the situation in Bangkok, and were visible even on the peaceful first day of protests.鈥

Risk analysis firm Maplecroft and the International Crisis Group have issued warnings this week that the window of opportunity for a peaceful solution to Thailand鈥檚 conflict is narrowing.

On the other hand, Chulalongkorn University professor Pasuk Phongpaichit and historian Chris Baker write that, despite today鈥檚 blast, the protesters are 鈥渓osing ground with a constituency whose support they badly need: the urban middle class," and that could open up the path toward a solution:

...the demonstrations have threatened to become so disruptive to everyday life and the economy that even people who support the opposition are being turned off it. This is a significant shift, for it presents Thailand with an 11th-hour opportunity to find a peaceful resolution to the deadlock.聽

The protests are the latest iteration of a cycle of violence between Bangkok鈥檚 middle class and traditional elite, and the largely poor and rural supporters of Yingluck and her brother Thaksin Shinawatra, the self-exiled former premier who was removed in a military coup in 2006.聽聽

Yingluck has called for early elections on Feb. 2, but the opposition vows to boycott the polls 鈥 expected to be easily won by Yingluck 鈥 in favor of establishing an unelected people鈥檚 council.

Protests were sparked in early October when Yingluck鈥檚 government attempted to pass an amnesty bill that would have brought her brother back to Thailand.

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