The Independent, UK
Felipe Fernandez-Armesto
鈥�Britain had virtually nothing of any material value at stake in the islands at the time of the invasion on 2 April 1982. But to allow the Junta to invade the Falklands with impunity was almost as unthinkable as allowing Hitler to seize Poland.... The war exacerbated feelings and made a negotiated outcome hard to imagine. Both sides worked themselves up into silly self-righteousness and unreasonable mutual condemnation.
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Today the islands are grossly under-defended and, if Argentina were to invade, there would probably be little international support for Britain this time round. Big oil would shift allegiance to the victors. It won't happen 鈥� but only because Argentina is now indelibly democratic and her citizens will no more vote for war than hens will for Easter.
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When the next opportunity for a settlement comes 鈥� probably sometime in the next 20 years, with renegotiation of international agreements on Antarctic exploitation 鈥� it may be possible to transfer sovereignty quietly, while divvying up amicably such resources as then remain. Maybe then we shall be able to admit the truth: it doesn't matter who rules the Falklands 鈥� or whether we call them the Malvinas."
