Herman Cain: Is his political career kaput?
Ginger White claims she had a 13-year affair with Herman Cain, and that she鈥檚 got records of 61 calls or text messages from his private phone to prove it. Is this the end of the Hermanator鈥檚 presidential hopes?
Well, no and yes. No, in the sense that Ms. White鈥檚 allegations have yet to be proved, and Mr. Cain denies them. It鈥檚 possible there was no affair. Given the extent of the allegations, and the possibility of a paper/e-mail trail of evidence, we may well know the full story soon enough.
But yes, in the sense that Cain鈥檚 chances of sitting in the Oval Office as part of anything but a White House tour group are pretty much gone. That鈥檚 not due to the most recent charges, per se. His time as flavor of the month had expired prior to Ms. White鈥檚 going public.
鈥淢ost people no longer care about Cain,鈥� noted conservative Tuesday morning.
Cain himself may realize the damage already inflicted on his campaign 鈥� and perhaps his political career overall. On Tuesday morning he reportedly told his senior staff he is reassessing whether to stay in the race. He'll make a decision over the next couple of days, reports the National Review's The Corner blog.
His polls had already fallen sharply in the face of allegations of sexual harassment by other women. He peaked in late October with about 26 percent of the Republican primary electorate, according to the . Now he鈥檚 down to about 15 percent, and Newt Gingrich has taken his position as the chief opponent to Mitt Romney.
Perhaps worse for him, his likeability score is plummeting. His , created by subtracting the percentage of voters who view him unfavorably from those who view him favorably, has dropped to 14, from an October high of 34. He fell three points last week alone 鈥� before the latest allegations became public.
So the Cain train鈥檚 in the station. Allegations aside, he was done in by lack of cash in the early stages, and later by bad staff, according to Erick Erickson, editor of the conservative RedState blog.
Mr. Erickson points to the fact that Cain鈥檚 lawyer issued a nondenial denial of the Ginger White allegations 鈥� a statement that sounded as if it were admitting something had occurred.
鈥淲hether Herman had an affair with this lady or not is largely beside the point at this point,鈥� on Tuesday.
Who鈥檚 unhappy about Cain鈥檚 apparent political demise? Other than Cain himself, we mean. Oddly, the person who has the most to lose here might be Mitt Romney.
Yes, Cain was challenging Romney for front-runner status. Yes, Romney鈥檚 been running steadily in recent months, the only GOP candidate to do so. But Romney just can鈥檛 get up over 30 percent in the polls, because conservatives see him as a once-and-future moderate.
Romney would benefit from a splintered conservative vote. As long as Cain seemed viable, he siphoned votes from other right-side hopefuls such as Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich. But now the split scenario seems unlikely to occur. With Cain plummeting, and Mr. Perry earthbound, only Mr. Gingrich remains.
鈥淭he latest allegations regarding Cain, when coupled with the dead-in-the-water candidacies (at least for the moment) of Perry and [Minnesota Rep. Michele] Bachmann, make it increasingly likely that Republicans looking for a Romney alternative will view Gingrich as the only viable option,鈥� writes Washington Post political analyst Chris Cillizza on his blog, .
[ Video is no longer available. ]
